Category: science kits

Tuesday, 9 August 2016

10:00 – Barbara is down in Winston today for a follow-up appointment with her doctor and to run some errands. Colin and I are working on administrative stuff. Kit sales continue strong for early August, but we’re in pretty good shape on finished-goods inventory for now.

Jen and Brittany started CC’ing me on a private email discussion they’ve been having. I think they’ve been reading too many post-apocalyptic novels. In those, there’s often a trigger event that causes cities to empty out as urban residents seek the perceived safety of the surrounding rural areas. Those areas are overwhelmed by this “Golden Horde”, and gun battles between rural residents and these urban refugees ensue. I don’t think this is likely to happen, for several reasons.

First, people are likely to leave their urban and suburban homes only as an absolutely last resort. In a catastrophic emergency, government aid will focus on large population concentrations. Food and other critical supplies will go to large urban concentrations, and to rural areas last, if at all. The same is true of things like restoring electric power, water and sewer services, and medical and emergency services. Most residents of high population-density areas will (correctly) think that they’re better off where they are.

Second, even if a mass exodus from cities occurred, the mess would be awesome. Look what a simple snow storm did in Atlanta a couple years ago, and there was only an inch or so accumulation. Interstates became parking lots, literally. Not even emergency vehicles could move. In a SHTF scenario, it would be orders of magnitude worse. I mentioned some time ago the concept of tenth-value distances, the number of miles that would cut the number of people getting that far to 10% of the number who’d originally set out. That TV distance varies depending on a lot of factors. For us in Sparta, I estimate it at 10 miles. That is, if 100,000 people set out from Winston-Salem heading northwest, by the time you get 10 miles outside the city limits that number would be down to 10,000 people because of wrecks, disabled cars, road blockages, fights with local residents at roadblocks, and so on. By the time you get 20 miles outside Winston, the number would be down to 10% of that, or 1,000. At 30 miles, it’d be down to 100, at 40 miles down to 10, and at 50 miles down to 1. By the time you extend the ring to 60 miles, which is Sparta’s distance from Winston, you’re down to a tenth of a person. Call it an arm wiggling in the middle of the road.

Obviously, this is a SWAG on my part. The true tenth-value distance may be more than 10 miles, but it also could be much less. The point is, it’s non-trivial to get to Sparta even under normal circumstances. Lots of curvy two-lane mountain roads. In a catastrophic emergency, the difficulty would increase by orders of magnitude. Just a few big trees dropped across the roads at strategic points would suffice to stymie most refugees. So, although I don’t expect the cities to empty out and Golden Hordes go looting and pillaging through the countryside, if that did happen I don’t think Sparta is likely to see many invaders. And there are more than enough well-armed local Good Old Boys to mop up any that did make it this far. I told Jen and Brittany that they’re both far enough from major populations centers that I don’t think they need to worry, either.




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Monday, 8 August 2016

09:32 – I’m back up and running after losing several hours to a computer problem yesterday. Barbara got four dozen more small parts bags for chemistry kits built yesterday, among other things. We now have five dozen chemistry small parts bags and two dozen SPB’s for biology, so the next step is to build regulated and unregulated chemical bags for both and then get more kits built. That and related tasks will occupy us the rest of this week.

Email from Brittany overnight. They did a Marathon repackaging session over the weekend, and now have more than a year’s worth of bulk staples packaged for long-term storage, as well as a boatload of canned vegetables, meats, sauces, and so on, plenty of herbs and spices, and a bunch of Augason Farms dehydrated stuff. Brittany says that after they finish building the shelving and getting everything organized and put away, they’re going to take a break from prepping. And who can blame them? Like Jen, Brittany went from a pitiful state of preparedness to pretty much fully prepared in a matter of a few weeks. She’s planning to prepare a decent-size garden plot this autumn for planting next spring. She’s also considering getting set up to do pressure canning for preserving garden produce. I suggested she instead look into dehydrating. I’m not a big fan of home canning. It’s expensive to get set up, in terms of equipment and consumables as well as time and effort. For the same money, one can buy a ton of canned fruits and vegetables, literally, and the safety and shelf life of commercially-canned products is significantly better than that of home-canned products.







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Saturday, 6 August 2016

09:34 – We have a bunch of science kit stuff to get done this weekend, along with several tasks around the house. I need to replace the mechanism in the foyer toilet, so we’re heading over to Blevins sometime today to pick up a replacement flapper assembly, along with a pack or two of water sediment filters for our whole-house filter and another pack of Rid-X septic tank treatment. I also want to stop at the Dr. Grabow factory store, which is just down the road from us, and look at their pipes.

We went out to run some local errands yesterday. The first stop was the Blue Ridge Electric Co-op, where we talked to a nice young woman about getting propane installed. I told her we were thinking about fueling three appliances with propane: a cooktop in the kitchen, a radiant heater for upstairs, and eventually our generator. She said she’d have their installer call us to set up an appointment to give us a quote on running lines and so on. The smallest tank they carry is 120 gallons, which they fill to 100 gallons. The next size up is 250 gallons, which they fill to 200 gallons. I’m inclined to go for the latter. Anything much larger becomes a major hassle because it has to be buried. The deal is that there’s an annual tank rental fee, but they waive it if you use at least one tank’s worth per year. If we’re running only a cooktop, even the 120 gallon tank would easily be a year’s worth, so we’d probably end up paying tank rental on the larger tank.

Especially since we may not have the space heater installed. Compared to the electric heat pump, propane is very costly. We pay about ten cents per kWh of electricity to drive our heat pump. To heat with propane, it would have to sell for about $0.72 per gallon. It’s three times that much, so it makes sense for us to use propane only for the cooktop and perhaps the generator and just pay the tank rental if we don’t use enough propane to have the rental fee waived.

Propane yields about 91,600 BTU/gallon, versus roughly 135,000 BTU/gallon for fuel oild. But a gallon of propane weighs only about 4.2 pounds, versus about 8.2 pounds for fuel oil. In other words, for equal heat yield, propane would have to sell for just over half as much per gallon as fuel oil. But propane actually sells for more per gallon than fuel oil, so it’s a very expensive source of heat. For that reason, I’d prefer to have a big fuel oil tank installed, but fuel oil doesn’t burn nearly as cleanly as propane and you can’t run a cooktop with it. So we’ll probably end up with propane.

I just read an interesting article a couple weeks ago about the reliability of our electric power grid, or lack thereof. The powers that be define a major power outage as one that affects 20,000 or more homes. A dozen or so years ago, the US as a whole experienced less than one such outage per week, something like 45 major outages in 2004. Since then, the frequency has increased every year. In 2015, the US as a whole experienced nearly one major outage per DAY. That is not a good trend line. Our electric power infrastructure is obviously being degraded every year.

Our next stop was Southern States, which is basically a hardware/seed/feed store that caters to farmers. We just wanted to look the place over. While we were there, we met some of the staff. One of them introduced himself as Jerry Edwards. I asked him if he was the Jerry Edwards who used to live on Macedonia Church Road. He said he was, and I introduced myself and Barbara as the people who’d bought the house he used to own. I took the opportunity to ask him about details on the well (it was already there when they built the house), the location of the septic tank and drain field, and so on. He seemed like a nice enough guy.

Our final stops were the two dollar stores in town. Neither Barbara nor I found them at all impressive. They’re basically a combination of a small supermarket and a chain drugstore. Their prices weren’t all that good, either. But I wanted to check them out because, at age 63, I’d never been inside one before. That’s another thing I can check off my list, and now I know that there’s no point to going into one again.


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Friday, 5 August 2016

07:56 – Barbara is pretty much recovered from surgery, although I’m insisting that she take it easy until she’s back to 100%.

One of the two companies we contacted to get quotes about putting down concrete on our driveway delivered their quote while they were out here measuring on Tuesday. The second had measured last week and the guy stopped by Wednesday afternoon to deliver his quote. I liked both the guys, who seemed honest and competent. One company came in $4,000+ higher than the other, mainly because the first company quoted on putting in rebar on 3-foot centers. The second company said they didn’t recommend rebar because it was very costly and wasn’t needed. In the words of that guy, rebar doesn’t stop the concrete from cracking. All it does is hold the pieces together. That guy plans to use a lot of fiberglass fiber in the mix. It’s not like we’re going to have a lot of heavy trucks parking in our driveway. Barbara and I decided on the lower quote and told the guy to get us on his schedule.

We got a fair amount done yesterday on kit work. I spent much of the day creating POs for components we’re running short of. While I was doing orders for kit stuff, I also put in a couple orders for prepping stuff. I noticed that Costco was back in stock on their canned chicken, so I ordered two cases of the 12.5-ounce cans. I also put in a Walmart on-line order for another 26-pound bucket of Augason brown rice, a test #10 can of Augason potato shreds, two dozen wide-mouth quart Mason jars, and a Lodge 8 Quart Cast Iron Deep Camp Dutch Oven with a Lodge Lid Lifter.





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Thursday, 4 August 2016

09:56 – August is starting out faster than usual. We shipped seven kits Tuesday, three yesterday, and four today. We also have several more kits that we’re awaiting checks or POs on. We’re averaging four+ kits per day, which is fast for early August. Things should pick up even more in the next week or ten days. So we’re building more kits in anticipation, which means I need to get more components on order today and tomorrow.

Our climate isn’t quite a temperate rain forest, which requires 60 inches of rain annually, but at an average of 56 inches, we’re not far off. It’s raining as I write. In the last week, we’ve had about 5.5 inches (14 cm) of rain, with more in prospect. I think of July and August as dry months, which they’ve been everywhere I’ve lived, but not up here in Sparta. That’s good in several ways, not least that it makes rainwater harvesting a practical alternative for emergency water.

The other different thing about the climate up here is the earliest frost date. I think of September as a warm month, the end of summer, and October as a time of warm days and chilly nights. Up here, our earliest freeze date is in early September, only a month from now. We could go from temperatures near body temperature to freezing temperatures with snow and ice in only a month.




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Wednesday, 3 August 2016

10:20 – Barbara is recovering nicely. She didn’t even bother to fill the hydrocodone prescription her doctor gave her. She’s making do with high-dose ibuprofen combined with mid-dose acetaminophen.

More kit stuff today and every day for the next couple of months at least. This is still early August, and the craziness doesn’t usually start until mid-August, as people get ready for the new school year. I’ve never figured out why homeschoolers, who can set their own schedules, almost all follow the public school year.

We’ll make time sometime in the next two or three weeks to do a Costco run down to Winston. We’ve started going on weekdays because it’s so much less crowded than it is on weekends. We’ll pick up a lot of meat, as usual, and stock up on other stuff we’re running short on. I also want to pick up several 50-pound bags of flour, sugar, rice, etc. and 30 or 40 pounds of oats. This time, we’ll repackage in the LDS one-gallon foil-laminate Mylar bags, which will be a lot easier, faster, and less messy than using empty 2-liter bottles.

Brittany has read the comments here about securing their LTS food against rodents. Her husband picked up some scrap sheet metal from his brother, and plans to use it to enclose their storage shelves, including building covered doors for the shelving. He’s working on that this weekend. Also, Brittany and Jen are now in contact with each other and exchanging emails and phone calls. Brittany and her husband decided to run a readiness exercise over the Labor Day holiday, so Britanny has been getting tips from Jen. Each of them is formidable. The two in combination are a force to be reckoned with.

One interesting thing I’ve noticed in these email exchanges I have with preppers is that, while they are evenly divided between men and women, the women tend to be a lot less public about what they’re doing. Also, although there are exceptions, the women tend to focus on food and the men tend to focus more on guns and other tools. I suppose that makes sense biologically. A couple million years of evolution has equipped women to think about feeding their families and men to think about protecting them.


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Tuesday, 2 August 2016

09:14 – Barbara called last night to let me know she was doing fine and looking forward to coming home this morning. I didn’t want to call her for fear I’d wake her up. Al is going to pick her up at the hospital and bring her home this morning.

I just closed out July, which was our best July ever by about 15% for kit sales revenues. Unfortunately, January and June of this year sucked month-on-month, so we’re still down about 11% on YTD revenues this year versus last year. Still, August is starting out well–there are seven kits sitting awaiting pickup this morning–so I suspect things will even out before year-end.

Email from Brittany. She and her husband had a Marathon repackaging session over the weekend, and they now have a huge pile of LDS foil-laminate Mylar bags filled with bulk staples and sealed. Britanny says her feeling of relief is immense when she looks at all that LTS food, knowing that no matter what happens she’ll be able to feed her family.

They’re in pretty good shape now, not just in terms of having a year’s food but in terms of water, shelter, heat, power, defense, and so on. Brittany says they’re going to take a short break from prepping, but not because they’re out of money or time. They used all 250 of the foil-laminate Mylar bags from LDS as well as all their oxygen absorbers. She’s going to re-order those supplies and keep going. Her family and in-laws are all local. None of them are into prepping, at least no more than most rural families are, so Brittany and her husband are going to extend their preps to cover their families as well, at least to the extent they can afford to do so and that they have space to store the stuff. As her husband said, this stuff is cheap now and may be invaluable later. It lasts essentially forever and he’d rather have it safely at home than sitting in a warehouse if things ever get really bad.

With everything else that’s been going on, I haven’t had much time to prep lately. FedEx did show up the other day with several #10 cans of Augason Farms stuff and a 4-pound plastic bucket of lard. This is the first time that Walmart has actually shipped me the AF products rather than having them drop-shipped direct from AF. Once things settle down a bit, we’ll make a Costco run and stock up on bulk staples as well as restock the canned and bottled goods we’ve been using for the last several months without replacing them.


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Monday, 1 August 2016

14:50 – Barbara had surgery scheduled for 0545 this morning. We left here at 0400, drove down to Winston, and got her checked in about 0530. She was to have gone into surgery at 0700, but didn’t go in until about 0750. The surgery ran 90 minutes or so, as best we could tell, and then they put her in recovery for another 90 minutes. They finally got her to her room about 11:15. Frances and Al sat with me until Frances had to leave about 10:30 to get to work. Al and I sat with her in her room until she shooed me out around noon to get home and take care of Colin, who’d been on his own for eight hours by that point. The surgeon told us that everything had gone extremely well, that she expected a quick full recovery, and that Barbara wouldn’t be limited physically or in diet. The physician said they were keeping her overnight just to make sure she was fine before she left. Al is going to go back to the hospital tomorrow morning, pick Barbara up, and bring her home. I told him that I’d be happy to drive back down to Winston tomorrow morning to pick Barbara up, but he insisted on bringing her home himself. I think he wants to check out the new rototiller. I told him that he was of course welcome to borrow it any time he needs a larger tiller, but he said that it was probably too large for the jobs he needs to do.

As soon as I got home and fed and walked Colin, I got started on processing unfilled orders. There are currently six kits waiting in the shipping queue to go out tomorrow morning.


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Saturday, 30 July 2016

09:22 – When Barbara read my post yesterday, she asked me not to buy any more canned meat. I thought she meant any at all, including chicken. But then she clarified that canned chicken was fine, and that the Keystone Meats canned ground beef was also acceptable for casseroles and so on. She just doesn’t like the Keystone beef chunks or pulled pork. She also hates tuna. She said salmon would be okay, but she’d just as soon have all chicken, which is also fine with me. Oddly, when I hit the Costco web site to order another case or two of their canned chicken, it wasn’t listed. It still isn’t as of just now. Apparently, Costco.com has run out of chicken.

So I hit the Walmart website, which has the Keystone Meats canned hamburger and chicken. But having ordered Keystone Meats products from Walmart on-line before, I won’t do so again. They do such a poor job of packing that the cans invariably arrive badly dented. Their packing consists of tossing the cans into a box much too big for them and then adding a piece of two of twisted paper. The cans bang into each other in transit and arrive badly dented. Fortunately, some Walmarts stock the products, including the one up in Galax, Virginia, which is 30 miles or so from here. Unfortunately, they don’t stock many. The last time we were up there, they had about ten assorted cans of Keystone Meats. I grabbed the ones I wanted, which was only four or so. What I may do is use Walmart’s free pickup option to have the product delivered to the Walmart store in Galax or Elkin, NC and just pick it up from there.

Colin is pushing. This morning when the mail arrived, Colin went out the front door without permission. Then, as Barbara was putting him out on the back deck so that she could vacuum the floors without him attacking the vacuum, she turned to come in the door and he nipped her hand. She grabbed him and yelled and shook him to tell him that was completely unacceptable. He knows what it means to be called a Bad Dog.

More science kit stuff today, mostly filling bottles.




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Friday, 29 July 2016

09:38 – As she was making a skillet dinner last night, Barbara commented that everything she was using was from long-term storage. A can of Costco chicken, a pound of Barilla rigatoni, a pint of Bertolli Alfredo sauce, and a cup of chicken bouillon makes a tasty meal sufficient to feed four at about 600 calories each. For dessert we had fresh peaches, although we could have had canned peaches instead.

I’m trying to get us to the point where we’re eating at least one or two dinners a week entirely from LTS. What we’re finding is that we don’t give up much, if anything, in terms of taste by using LTS food exclusively. We still eat a lot of fresh and frozen foods, but if necessary we could easily make the shift to using only LTS foods. There’s no need for hideously expensive freeze-dried foods, either. Canned and dehydrated foods are a completely acceptable and much cheaper alternative. We have zero freeze-dried foods in our pantry, and I have no intention of changing that.

My next food storage goals are to build up our stocks of bulk staples, add more canned meats, add more supplemental stuff from Augason Farms (cheese, butter, and egg powder, TVP bouillon, and so on), and replace a lot of stuff like spaghetti sauce and applesauce that we’ve been using for the past year without replacing. Although I wouldn’t say that Barbara is 100% on-board with my food goals, I think she’s coming around to my point of view. She’s as aware of the news as anyone else, and understands that things could get very bad very quickly. And, of course, the stuff we’re buying is stuff we’d eventually use anyway. By stocking up now, we’re just buying what we’d buy anyway but at a lower price.

So on our next Costco trip, I intend to buy a lot of bulk staples like sugar, flour, oatmeal, and rice, in addition to restocking our canned goods and replenishing our supply of toilet paper and other non-food consumables. I’ll order what I can from Costco and Walmart on-line. It costs no more to do it that way, and we don’t have to haul it back home.

Work continues on building science kits and subassemblies. We now have over 100 finished kits of all types in stock, but this is the time of year when they start disappearing like dreams.

We’re starting to run out of good stuff to watch on Netflix and Amazon Prime streaming. I suggested the other day that we start re-watching Heartland. I was kind of surprised that Barbara didn’t object. It used to be that she wouldn’t re-watch anything, even if it had been 30 years since we’d seen it. My argument has always been that I’d rather re-watch something that was really good instead of watching something new just because it was new. And anyway we don’t remember much about stuff we watched even five or ten years ago, so in effect it’s new to us.


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