Category: Jen

Tuesday, 16 June 2015

07:44 – All signs are that yet another Greek default is imminent, perhaps as soon as the end of the month. When or if that happens, Greece crashing out of the euro is almost inevitable. The follow-on effects on the European and world economies are unpredictable at this point, but they won’t be good, to put it mildly. Best case, eurozone taxpayers are left holding the bag and are likely to vent their fury on EU politicians and mainstream political parties, with unpredictable consequences and likely regime changes. Worst case, we’re looking at a catastrophe unfolding over the coming months and years that will make Lehman look minor and will spread to affect the rest of the G7. In any case, Greece is toast.

There’s some time left, but now would be a good time to get stocked up, if you haven’t done already.


13:17 – Email from Jen, saying that she’d ordered one can each of the Keystone canned chicken and pork to see how she and her family liked them. She commented that at $4.44 for a 14.5-ounce can the Keystone chicken was more expensive than the Costco Kirkland-branded chicken at $2.30 for a 12.5-ounce can, but that she wanted to try them side by side to see if the Keystone was enough better to justify the higher cost. Actually, the Costco product is more expensive because that 12.5-ounce can is “packed in water” and contains only 7 ounces of actual chicken. The Keystone product is “no water or broth added” and contains the full 14.5 ounces of actual chicken. On a per-ounce basis, the Costco canned chicken is just under $0.33, or about $5.25/lb., while the Keystone is about $0.306, or about $4.90/lb.

Keystone is even a better deal in the 28-ounce cans, which shouldn’t be a problem given how many people Jen plans to feed. The chicken in 28-ounce cans is $7.34, or $0.262/ounce or $4.19/lb. The 28-ounce cans of ground beef, pork, and turkey are less expensive than the chicken, at $6.28 each, or $0.224/ounce, or $3.59/lb.

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Sunday, 7 June 2015

09:24 – I got email from Jen overnight. She and her husband had been talking about the idea of converting some of their paper assets to hard assets. She and her husband decided to kill a whole flock of birds with one stone. Her husband is a veterinarian who has a mixed small- and large-animal practice. Until now, he’s been reordering supplies the first of every month, keeping only a small month-to-month reserve. As of the first of June, he started boosting his inventory levels, particularly of items that are also suitable for human use in an emergency. For items that don’t expire or have very long expiration dates, like bandages, he’ll shoot for a one-year stock initially, and then continue reordering monthly to cover current usage. For drugs, he’ll adjust stocking levels according to their expiration dates because it would be unethical to use expired drugs in his practice, even if they’d been kept frozen. But it’s perfectly ethical to use drugs that are near their expiration dates, which will allow him to keep a greatly increased inventory of antibiotics and other drugs that are equally suited to human use in an emergency. If he misjudges and ends up with drugs that have expired, he’ll simply continue to store them frozen as emergency supplies. I told Jen that sounded like an excellent plan to me. In any long-term emergency, antibiotics and other essential drugs will be better than gold. And a veterinarian will be the next best thing to an MD. Humans are, after all, large animals.



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Monday, 1 June 2015

09:11 – I just read an interesting article about hurricanes: The flip side of years of no hurricanes: Good luck runs out

The point of the article is that we have been extraordinarily lucky over the past century. Katrina and other memorable hurricanes notwithstanding, we’ve suffered only a small fraction of the loss of life and property damage we might have expected based on historical norms. People tend to underestimate hurricanes. Even a small hurricane is gigantic, and dissipates enough energy to make a hydrogen bomb look like a BIC lighter in comparison. The real nightmare would be a Cat 5 hurricane striking Houston, not just because tens of thousands of people might die, but because the damage to our petroleum and gas infrastructure would be devastating and take years to replace.

Another email from Jen. She, her husband, her brother, his wife, and their two kids had a different kind of Memorial Day get-together. First thing Saturday morning, they declared a test emergency. Her brother and his family evacuated to Jen’s house, where they hunkered down in emergency mode. Jen’s husband turned off the electric power at the main breaker, as well as the natural gas and water. They spent the three-day weekend using only their emergency supplies. They did grill out Saturday, but as Jen said they’d also be doing that in a real emergency before their frozen meat spoiled. Jen said that things went pretty smoothly, but they did encounter a few unexpected issues, which they treated as learning experiences. They’re planning another emergency simulation over the July 4th three-day holiday.

More kit stuff today.


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Saturday, 23 May 2015

08:20 – I got email from Jen, letting me know that she’s ordered egg powder, Morning Moo’s, butter powder, and cheese blend powder from Augason Farms via Walmart. Thirty cans of powdered eggs, 24 cans of Morning Moo’s, and 18 cans each of butter powder and cheese blend powder. That’s 90 total #10 cans for four adults and two teenagers. This woman doesn’t mess around. Her UPS guy is going to hate her. Again.

As I told her early in our exchange of emails, it makes me nervous when people order huge amounts of stuff based on my lists rather than thinking things through and deciding what specific items are best for them. But she raised an excellent point. I’m writing a prepping book, tentatively titled The Book That Will Not Die, and many readers are going to do exactly what she’s done, ordering specific items that I recommend. Not because they’re mindless drones, but because they want to get at least the basics in place as quickly as possible. Even if their purchases aren’t optimum for them, they’ll be a hell of a lot better prepared than if they sat there analyzing things to death and never actually getting around to stocking up.

Jen recommended a site run by a woman named Brandy Simper, who writes as The Prudent Homemaker. Jen recommended I start with About The Prudent Homemaker and Living on Our Food Storage. Both are well worth your time to read if only as more evidence that there doesn’t have to be an asteroid strike or pandemic or EMP to make long-term storage worth the time, effort, and cost. All it takes is a routine event like job loss, which happens thousands of times every day. This woman fed herself, her husband, and their seven children for two years from her stored food when the Las Vegas housing market collapsed and her husband, who’s a real estate agent, found his income cut to a small fraction of what it had been.


13:58 – I just shipped a kit to Switzerland, which isn’t a new country for me but is still kind of cool. I remember how cool it was when I finished, in amateur radio terminology, WAS (worked all states) by *finally* shipping a kit to Hawaii. And then how cool it was to reach WACEA (worked all continents except Antarctica). I seriously doubt we’ll ever reach the WAC milestone, if only because there are countries I wouldn’t ship to on a bet, but it’s pretty cool to have shipped kits to as many countries as we have. Things must be pretty dismal outside the US if people are willing to order science kits from us and pay heavy shipping surcharges to get them shipped internationally. I know that’s true of several countries, including Canada, because I’ve had several Canadian buyers tell me that it wasn’t a matter of them thinking our kits were better than local products; it was a matter of there not being any local products.

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Saturday, 18 April 2015

10:07 – We’re doing the usual Saturday stuff. I’m just getting ready to start the laundry. Barbara is out running errands. She’ll be doing yard work later, but she has to wait for the grass to dry.

I’ll call this guy Tim. It’s not his real name, but then Jen isn’t her real name either. I’d written a complete response that totaled about 800 words, but WordPress ate my text when I tried to publish. So I’m just going to send Tim a copy of the draft chapter on emergency kits.

I realize you’re busy, and if you don’t have the time for a specific reply that’s fine. Feel free to quote this message, but please do not identify me.

I’m going to be doing as much as I can to be more prepared without drawing too much attention. I may buy a trunk full of stuff from Sam’s Club every Saturday morning instead of renting a trailer like Jen did.

The reason I’m trying to be low key is my wife’s sister and her husband that I previously mentioned as poorly prepared have given more thought to the subject than anyone else in my wife’s family. I’m sure they already think I’m a bit eccentric, so that’s not the issue. There are lots of people around me who are too busy not planning for the “normal” future to consider being prepared for unanticipated events. I don’t want to freak them out too much. If I brought home an AR-15, they’d get weird. So when the time comes that the next thing on the list is to get an AR-15, it will just show up next to the shotgun in the gun safe. Which reminds me that I need a shotgun and a gun safe. Both are higher on the list than an AR-15 though.

One of my wife’s high school friends and her husband are preppers, who told my wife they have an emergency kit in their car and my wife should too. I guess I’m going to have to “give in” to their suggestion.

I know you have talked about some of the stuff in your in car and bugout kits before. Have you posted an actual inventory yet? It would be a good starting point for my assembling in car and grab and go kits.


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Friday, 17 April 2015

07:41 – Most of the news in the local paper is unpleasant, but every once in a great while I see an article that actually cheers me up. There was one of those this morning, about a Wake Forest student volunteering with local middle-school girls to help them get started doing real science. I love seeing young people getting involved in science, but what really made me happy was reading that this Wake Forest student is doing a double major in Biology and Physics with a minor in Chemistry. The world needs more students like this young woman.

Here’s what I did to prep this week:

  • I ordered a dozen more #10 cans of Augason Farms dehydrated foods, including two more cans each of Egg Powder, Butter Powder, Honey-Coated Banana Slices, Brown Sugar, and Lentils, and one can each of Cheese Blend Powder and Granola.
  • I read half a dozen PA novels, including the rest of Steve Konkoly’s Perseid Collapse series, and a couple of non-fiction prepping books, including Joseph Alton’s Survival Medicine Handbook. I also used Kindle Unlimited to check out another dozen or so books. None of those were worth taking the time to read in full. In general, books of this class range from mediocre to abysmal, but there are a few bright spots. What’s interesting is the sheer volume of books available. Prepping has obviously become a serious concern for a lot of people and has become a big business. Sam’s Club and Costco both feature emergency food on their web sites and in their monthly promo flyers, which they wouldn’t be doing if they weren’t making lots of money at it.
  • I put in another couple days’ work on the non-fiction prepping book.

So, what precisely did you do to prepare this week? Tell me about it in the comments.


12:20 – I got email from Jen, the woman who contacted me a month or so ago about how to get started prepping. Her list this week is about ten times the size of mine. Talk about a Whirling Dervish. She’s gone from basically unprepared a month ago to being better prepared now than literally 99.99% of the population. She and her husband have also started to socialize with the prepper couple next door, who were formerly just friendly neighbors. Both couples are pleased, not least because their critical skillsets don’t overlap much.

But Jen has run into the same problem that nearly all couples do at some point when it comes to prepping. She’s reasonably comfortable at this point, but thinks they still need to do a lot more. Her husband is completely comfortable with their level of preparation as it is. He’s not yet voiced strong opposition to doing more, but as I told Jen, that day will probably come. Her brother’s family is similarly split, but this time it’s he who wants to do more and his wife who thinks they’ve done enough.

I’m in the same situation with Barbara, who believes in being well prepared but thinks we’ve already done enough. Except, of course, that she really wants to relocate to a small town away from the city. I’m reasonably comfortable with where we stand, and we have all of the major purchases out of the way. But I would like to extend our food supply further by purchasing more cheap bulk staples for dry packing as well as additional stuff like fruits and vegetables in #10 cans. At this point, I don’t think it’s the cost that concerns Barbara as much as the space and clutter. I’m going to try to do something about those over the coming weekends.

Incidentally, I suggested to Jen that she should start posting here herself, because I think she could make some useful contributions, but she wants to remain as low-profile as possible, so she’ll just keep emailing me when she has something to say. I asked her about quoting her emails anonymously, but she prefers not.

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Thursday, 2 April 2015

09:52 – Yesterday I started on taxes, which get more outrageous by the year. I’m sure we’ll have to write big checks for both federal and state taxes. We always do.

We finished series eight of Heartland last night. Amy married Ty after only eight years of dithering. I expect next season will be all about the newly married couple, and probably about them having a baby. One commenter on the CBC website said he’d just happened across the first five seasons on Netflix streaming and hoped to be watching Amy become a grandmother in 25 years or so. That’d be 33 seasons, which the series has the potential to do assuming that it continues to be funded and assuming that people are still making TV series 25 years from now.

I got email from Jen, who’s wisely decided to try cooking and baking at least once or twice a week using only her long-term shelf-stable stuff. The first problem she ran into, of course, was that most of her recipes call for fresh products like dairy and eggs. So she says she’s “cheating” on those items, but asked for suggestions. I told her to visit the WalMart website and order #10 cans of Augason Farms powdered eggs, butter powder, and cheese sauce powder and work those into her recipes. Two dozen #10 cans of each will cost them less than $1,200, or under $200 for each of the six people she’s planning a one-year food supply for, and will go a long way toward making the bulk dry staples she’s storing into palatable meals. I told her to start by ordering one can of each and trying them out. All of them are “best by” for one year after you open them, and a lot longer if you stick the open cans in the freezer.


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Saturday, 28 March 2015

09:05 – I got email from Jen to update me on their progress. They have all their food neatly stored on shelves in the basement, with the exception of the 50-pound bags of dry staples. They’re planning on having a packing party next weekend with her brother and his family to get those into Mylar bags and on the shelves. They also picked up several kiddie pools, which they plan to leave on the shelf. They’ll deploy them on the basement and garage floors, wash them out, and fill them with a hose in an emergency, which will increase their stored potable water significantly.

Jen also had an interesting across-the-fence conversation with one of their neighbors this week. The neighbor had noticed Jen and her husband hauling in cases of canned food and asked Jen if she was one of those prepper types. Jen hemmed and hawed and finally told her neighbor that she and her husband were getting more concerned about current events and had decided it’d be a good idea to lay in some supplies in case of emergency. She expected the neighbor to tell her she was nuts, but was pleasantly surprised when the neighbor told her that she and her family were also preparing for bad times. Jen was surprised because they’d known this family for years and had no clue that they were also storing food and other supplies. They had a long conversation, and the upshot is that the neighbors are going to come to the packing party and help Jen and her extended family get their dry staples into Mylar bags this coming weekend.

Prepared neighbors are a Very Good Thing, and Jen’s story made me wonder how many of our friends and neighbors are also preparing. I know of at least one family a couple houses down the street who’s doing so, but there may be others in our immediate neighborhood. It sure makes it easier to know that you’re not on your own.


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Monday, 16 March 2015

08:03 – I got email from Jen overnight. She and her husband ended up making two more trips to Sam’s Club with the trailer. Their basement is now populated with hundreds of #10 cans in cases of six, stacked eight cases high along one wall, atop 2×6 runners on 2×4 spacers to keep them off the floor. That, and hundreds more standard-size cans of soups, meats, etc., dozens of cases of bottled water, and a bunch of 50 pound bags of rice, flour, and sugar queued up to be repackaged later.

Kim was excited yesterday. Jasmine got a real job, one with benefits and a career path. She’d been working at Babies-R-Us as a sales clerk. She starts her real job the first of next month. Kim has already paid off as much of Jasmine’s outstanding student loan balance as she can afford, leaving Jas owing only a couple grand. I hope Jas appreciates just how big a favor Kim has done for her. Jas now gets to start life better off than about 99% of her contemporaries, with a real job and no student loans to worry about.

The more we watch of Saving Grace, the better we like it. Excellent writing. Excellent cast. It’s by far the best cop show I’ve ever seen, and that includes ones like The Shield. Holly Hunter is a genius. She not only stars in the series, she produced it. If I owned a TV production company, I’d give this woman money and tell her to go make me a TV series. Anything she wanted to make, and I wouldn’t interfere with whatever she wanted to do. She’s a lot like Joss Whedon.


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Saturday, 3.1415

9:26:53.58 – Happy π day.

It’s a chilly, drizzly day here. Barbara has some errands to run, and then we’ll be doing kit stuff. Once we get our current stock of empty bottles labeled and filled, I’ll be reordering so that we can get thousands and thousands more bottles labeled and ready to go for the summer rush.

I haven’t yet heard again from Jen. I’m assuming that she and her husband picked up their trailer load of supplies at Sam’s Club yesterday and are now sitting in their basement wondering what they’ve gotten themselves into. The canned stuff won’t be too bad; they can just stack cases. But they were planning ultimately to buy about 1.5 tons (1363 kilos) of rice, sugar, flour, and other dry staples in 50-pound bags. I’m not sure how much of that they came back with yesterday, but getting that stuff repackaged in 500 one-gallon Mylar bags is going to be a lot of work. I did warn her to get a hundred bags filled BEFORE she opens a 100-pack of oxygen absorbers, and THEN drop one into each bag and seal the bags as fast as possible. I did encourage her to buy a good impulse sealer rather than one of the $35 cheapies on Amazon.com, and to have a regular clothes iron in reserve just in case.


10:56 – One advantage I mentioned to Jen of packing your own dry staples in foil-laminate Mylar bags also holds true for home-canned goods: in a large scale emergency, the “authorities” are much less likely to confiscate them, as happens frequently in major emergencies. They want commercially-packaged products, and the food industry has spent a lot of money to brainwash people into believing that food past its best-by date has gone bad. You can make confiscation even less likely by labeling your home-packaged food properly. For example, the next time we repackage dry staples, instead of labeling them “Rice, 6 pounds, Packed March 2015”, I’ll label them “Rice, 6 pounds, Expires March 1985” and so on. Who would want food that “expired” 30 or more years ago?


14:27 – We just returned from a very quick visit to Sam’s Club. The only shelf-stable foods I picked up were three #10 cans of vegetables and two #10 cans of Bush’s Best Baked Beans. Call it 35 pounds of food.

Before we went to Sam’s, we ran over to pick up Mary’s and Paul’s mail and paper, thinking they weren’t due back from Iceland until late today. Turns out, they had just gotten home. As we turned onto their street, Barbara said their garage door had just gone down. I told her to pull into their drive, where I pushed the button and made it go up again. Paul said it made him jump. He and Mary hadn’t even made it out of the garage yet.

They enjoyed their trip, even though the main purpose was to see the Northern Lights and Iceland was clouded out the whole time they were there. That, and there were no Northern Lights anyway. As I said, at least the volcano didn’t choose this week to erupt and strand them there.

I mentioned that Barbara and I were watching Saving Grace, and both of them had nice things to say about it. I really put it in our queue for Barbara, since I had no desire to watch a series that co-stars an archangel. (Why is archangel pronounced as in ark, while archbishop et al. are pronounced as in arch?)

But Grace is a strong atheist who isn’t buying what the archangel is selling. I consider myself a pretty strong atheist–a 6 out of 7 on Dawkin’s scale–but even I would believe given the evidence that Grace sees. So I’m assuming that she must be a 7/7.

This is the first time either of us has seen Holly Hunter, who’s extraordinary. Hunter manages to make her character likable, despite the fact that Grace is a 50-ish dissolute cop who arrests people who’ve committed no crimes, drives drunk and killed someone while doing so, engages in frequent one-night stands, and has an ongoing affair with her married partner. Even Barbara likes her, which is saying something.

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