Category: Jen

Sunday, 8 January 2017

09:50 – It was 2.7F (-16.3C) when I let Colin out this morning. He ran out, peed on the bird feeder pole and well casing, and ran back in. I’m not sure what the new-fangled, politically-correct official wind chill is out there, but I’d estimate the actual wind chill at around -40F (-40C).

Ordinarily, I take Colin out for his morning constitutional, but yesterday and today Barbara did that. With as much snow and ice as we have on the ground and my balance issues, even if I took Colin off-leash, it’s very likely I’d fall.

Actually, it turns out that falling is an issue for Colin. When Barbara took him out, he plopped down on the snow. At first, we both thought he was telling her he wanted to play, but it soon became obvious that he had actually fallen and was having trouble getting up or standing. She lifted him by his tail, which we’ve done with all our dogs as they’ve gotten older. Colin turns six years old in about a month, and it seems that he’s developing a minor problem with his hips. So we’ll be very careful with him, particularly when there’s snow or ice on the ground.

I’d forgotten to mention that I’d gotten email from Jen about the ten-day readiness exercise they ran from before Christmas to New Year’s Day. She didn’t have much to report, because everything went pretty much without a hitch. Although this was their longest exercise to date, it’s the fourth or fifth one they’ve run and, as Jen says, they’ve pretty much got all the kinks worked out by now. They heated with wood, pumped well water with solar power, and cooked and baked LTS food and heated water with propane. As Jen said, although they had only a few snow flurries, it was pretty much like a snowed-in weekend with the family all present.

Oh, and I forgot to mention the other day Barbara’s comments about grocery shopping. Ordinarily, she makes a weekly supermarket run on Fridays on her way home from the gym. Because of the winter storm forecast, she decided to head to Lowe’s on Thursday to do her weekly grocery shopping. In Winston, it would have been a madhouse, crammed with people stocking up for the emergency, and the shelves empty of bread, milk, and eggs. Here in Sparta, it was just like an ordinary supermarket trip. No more shoppers than usual, and the shelves fully stocked. For people who live up in the mountains, a winter storm warning is just normal for this time of year. People don’t need to rush out and stock up because they’re already stocked up.


Read the comments: 50 Comments

Friday, 16 December 2016

11:14 – I spent the morning yesterday at the dentist, undergoing oral surgery. When Barbara retired from the law firm as of 10/30/15, we elected to continue her dental insurance under COBRA. That expires in March 2017, so I wanted to get done whatever needed to be done while we were still covered for dental. Barbara is volunteering again today to get the public library moved to its new location. She just called to check on me.

It was 14.8F (-10C) when I got up this morning to take Colin out. By the time I did his after-breakfast walk an hour or so later, the temperature had skyrocketed up to 15.3F. It’s not officially winter for another week or so, but winter has definitely arrived in Sparta, NC.

I just ordered another humidifier like the one we’re currently using. The tank holds just short of a gallon (maybe 3.5L), which on high it runs through in about 12 hours. Putting two gallons of water per day into the air helps, but it’s not quite enough. When it’s really cold outside, our indoor humidity starts to drop. Even with one unit running flat-out, the humidity gets down into the 45% range, which is uncomfortable for Barbara. She likes it up around 55% to 60%, which running two units should allow us to maintain.

Email overnight from Jen. They’ve run several readiness exercises over the last couple of years, hunkering down in their home over a long weekend. They decided to run another, longer-term exercise over Christmas, starting Friday evening the 23rd and running through Monday morning the 2nd of January. They’ll have to “cheat” a bit because not all of them can take off the whole week between Christmas and the New Year. Her husband David, for example, has to cover two days that week at his veterinary practice, and her brother Jim will have to go into work for at least half-days most of that week. They’ll both be taking their lunches and thermoses with them, so it’s only a minor cheat.

They haven’t tried to do a week-long readiness exercise before, because Christmas was the only realistic time to run it and the women decided there was just too much going on over that holiday to try a hunkering down exercise. But Jen and David have made some significant improvements to their infrastructure over the last year that’ll make it a lot easier for them. They’ve installed a decent size off-grid solar setup with a high amperage true sine-wave inverter that allows them to run their well pump, basic lighting (which is all LED now), TV, and so on. They also installed a high wattage Honda inverter generator as a backup means of charging their battery bank and driving their refrigerator and freezer directly. Finally, they also did what we just did: installed a large propane tank and a gas cooktop in their basement living area, along with a small propane water heater, which feeds only the sink and bathroom in the basement living area. They didn’t replace their main electric water heater because propane is about three times as costly as electricity, and they use a lot of hot water. Still, as Jen says, that gives them hot water for showers and food-prep/dish-washing downstairs. She can still do laundry upstairs, but she’ll just have to run cold-water washes.


Read the comments: 41 Comments

Saturday, 12 November 2016

09:17 – Email from Jen. The anti-Trump protests have arrived in her area. Well, kind of. The small town where her brother and his family live, about half an hour from Jen and David, had an anti-Trump protest Thursday. It didn’t amount to much; fewer than ten people gathering in front of the courthouse carrying not-my-president signs. They stood around for half an hour or so and then dispersed. Everyone else pretty much ignored them.

Jen’s first thought, of course, was to check her inventory in case she needed to head out to buy some stuff. But she and her group decided they were about as well-prepared as they needed to be, and a minor protest didn’t warrant taking any additional action. She and David filled their gas tanks, but that was it.

Brittany weighed in to say that the general attitude in her area was happiness that Clinton had been crushed and Trump was our next president. Their family is even more rural than Jen’s, with the nearest city of any size several hours’ drive from them.

It’s pretty much the same situation here in Sparta, although we do have Winston-Salem 60 miles away. This county went about 75:25 Trump:Clinton, and if there are any dissatisfied Clinton supporters, they’re keeping very quiet about it.

And, speaking of dissatisfied Clinton supporters, I see that the Tampa police had to protect a huge group of them who were about to confront a group of US Marines who’d gathered to celebrate the Corps’ birthday and raise money for the Wounded Warrior project. It’s almost a shame that the cops got in the way. It would have been interesting to see what happens when a group of special snowflakes attacks a group of pissed off Marines. My guess is that the final score would be Marines – 1,000+, Snowflakes – 0.

And I see increasing calls from the progs for conciliation. What they mean, of course, is that we Normals may have won the elections, but it’s up to us to adopt the progs’ agenda. Yeah, right. I’m not interested in their feelings, and I suspect no other Normals are, either. I’d as soon shoot them as look at them.


Read the comments: 50 Comments

Monday, 24 October 2016

09:54 – Barbara is off to the gym. This afternoon, she’s volunteering at the Friends of the Library bookstore, and tomorrow evening she’s volunteering at the annual library Quiz Bowl. Yesterday, her new friend JoAnne from the historical society stopped by with her husband, Jeff, and their son, Colin, who’s 15. They have roots in Sparta and have owned a vacation home here for 15 years, but they’re just now in the process of moving here from New Jersey to live full-time. Jeff is 55 and just retired as manager of a waste water treatment plant after a 33-year career in water treatment.

After numerous email questions to me and Jen’s husband, David (a veterinarian), Brittany has decided what antibiotics to order for her, her husband, and their two young children. I suggested and David concurred (in his role as a layman) that Brittany and her husband should read the detailed data sheets for each antibiotic on drugs.com before deciding. Brittany also asked my advice on where to order, expecting that I’d know who offered the best prices and quality. I suggested aquabiotics.net as an inexpensive source of good-quality antibiotics.

After careful consideration, mainly because of the side effects in children, Brittany decided to order two 50-packs of these ($30 total), which is five courses of doxycycline. She also decided to order two 50-packs of these ($30 total), which is five to seven courses of SMZ/TMP, five 50-packs of these ($67.50 total) or a total of 100 grams, which is 2.5 courses at 4,000 mg/day for ten days, or ten courses at 2,000 mg/day for five days of metronidazole, and one 24-pack of these ($32 total), which they’ll use in combination with ordinary 500-mg amoxicillin capsules they already had to provide three courses of amoxicillin/clavulanate. They decided to pass on the ciprofloxacin entirely, and instead buy two 30-packs of these ($42 total), which is four to six courses of levofloxacin. Levofloxacin is a more expensive later-generation fluoroquinolone, similar to ciprofloxacin but with fewer resistance issues.

The idea of self-prescribing antibiotics scares the hell out of Brittany, which is good. It scares the hell out of me, too, even more so because I know a fair amount about them and their side effects. But Brittany intends to store these medications in the freezer against a truly catastrophic emergency, using them only as an absolute last resort. She looks at this purchase as a one-time outlay of $200+ on insurance.

Brittany’s first job in high school was working at a local pharmacy. As she said, most people who walk into a pharmacy and see hundreds or thousands of large bottles of drugs on the shelves behind the counter probably just assume that means the pharmacy keeps enough drugs on hand to fill prescriptions for weeks or months on end. She knows the truth is different. Most pharmacies get daily or more frequent deliveries of drugs, and what they have on hand of any particular drug at any given time may be a one-week supply, or less. If the transportation chain breaks down for any reason, a community may have at best a week’s or ten days’ supply of most critical drugs. That’s counting everything: pharmacies, hospitals, emergency-care clinics, doctors’ offices, veterinarians’ offices, everything. As Brittany said, a doctor without access to drugs is severely hampered in what he can do. But if the patient can provide his own drugs based on the doctor’s recommendation, there’s a much better chance of a good outcome.


Read the comments: 83 Comments

Sunday, 23 October 2016

10:00 – Email from Brittany yesterday, CC’d to Jen. Like many preppers, with only a couple of weeks until the election, Brittany is trying to make sure she has all her ducks lined up.

She’s been reading about fish antibiotics, and wanted to know which specifically I’d recommend she buy RFN. With the usual disclaimer that I am neither a physician nor a pharmacist and so as an unqualified person all I can do is tell her what I would store in her place, I mentioned the following, assuming that neither she nor her family has any allergies to any of these antibiotics:

1. Doxycycline — probably the most flexible of readily-available broad-spectrum antibiotics. The usual adult course of treatment is one 100-mg tablet/capsule every 12 hours for a week to ten days, which means that a bottle of 60 tablets is 30 days’ worth, or three to four full courses. (For a dozen people, I’d keep 12 to 25 courses on hand.)

2. SMZ/TMP — another readily-available broad-spectrum antibiotic. The usual adult course of treatment is one 400/80-mg tablet every 12 hours for a week to ten days, which means that a bottle of 60 800/160-mg tablets is 60 days’ worth, or six to eight full courses. (For a dozen people, I’d keep 12 to 25 courses on hand.)

3. Metronidazole — another readily-available broad-spectrum antibiotic, which is also active against anaerobic bacteria and many protozoal pathogens. Although it varies with the disease being treated, the usual adult course of treatment is 2,000 to 4,000 mg total per day (at 7.5 mg/kg) divided into three or four doses for five to ten days, which means that a bottle of 60 500-mg tablets (30 grams total) is one to two full courses of treatment for a 150-pound adult. (For a dozen people, I’d keep 12 to 25 courses on hand.)

4. Ciprofloxacin — another readily-available broad-spectrum antibiotic. The usual adult course of treatment is one 500-mg tablet/capsule every 12 hours for seven to fourteen days, which means that a bottle of 60 500-mg tablets is two to four full courses. (For a dozen people, I’d keep 6 to 12 courses on hand.)

Although it’s harder to come by than the antibiotics listed above, I’d also want to keep a few courses of 875/125-mg amoxicillin/clavulanate on hand. Resistance to plain amoxicillin is now so widespread that many physicians treat it almost as a placebo, so don’t bother stocking it or other beta-lactam antibiotics.


Read the comments: 9 Comments

Friday, 14 October 2016

10:44 – Friday the 13th falls on the 14th this month…

I see that NTSB has concluded that the recent small plane crash in Connecticut was an intentional act, carried out by a musloid jihadi who was attempting to destroy a facility owned by a defense contractor. Any reasonable person might wonder why these scum are even allowed into the US, let alone allowed access to planes. Not to worry, though. That asshole Obama is importing lots more of these scum, and if Clinton is elected you can be sure that she’ll be importing more by the hundreds of thousands. Eventually, such incidents will become so commonplace that no one will even notice unless they’re directly affected. Or so it would appear that the progressives intend.

Email from Jen, who’s anticipating a Trump victory and violent civil unrest to follow. Like us, Jen and her family are pretty well prepared for whatever may happen. But, also like us, Jen intends to devote some attention over the next 3.5 weeks to getting even better prepared before the election. She wants to have sufficient food on hand to be able to help friends and neighbors if it comes to that, so she and David and the rest of her family are planning to add a lot of bulk staples by buying a dozen or more additional 50-pound bags of flour, rice, beans, sugar, and so on, along with several more large containers of cooking oil. She says they may not have time to get it all repackaged immediately, but it’ll be fine just sitting in the original bags on the tables in the basement. They’re also planning another trial run over the Thanksgiving holiday.



Read the comments: 90 Comments

Thursday, 6 October 2016

10:05 – Email overnight from Jen and Brittany. For the last ten weeks, they’ve both been keeping track of how much toilet paper their families actually use, counting dead rolls each time they emptied the bathroom trash. They both thought the toilet paper they had in LTS was sufficient for at least a year. They were both optimistic by at least a factor of two.

Jen and David average 2.2 rolls/week for the two of them. Brittany and her family average 4.1 rolls/week. That sounds about right. Men average about half a roll per week. Women, particularly those of menstrual age, go through two to three times that much. Young children average somewhere in between.

So Jen and Brittany both plan to do Costco/Sam’s runs devoted to paper products. Not just toilet paper, but paper towels, napkins, and plates, all of which would be consumed at much higher than normal rates during an emergency. In fact, those things are on my Costco list for our next run as well. And I suggested to Jen and Brittany that no matter how much toilet paper they have on hand, it may eventually run out. If that happens, it’s an excellent idea to have a bunch of personal cloths on hand, as well as lots of bleach/pool shock to sterilize them.


Read the comments: 66 Comments

Friday, 30 September 2016

09:07 – The guys got the driveway dug out and graded and got the forms in place yesterday. They were planning to pour the concrete this morning, weather allowing. Yesterday evening and overnight, we got 2 inches (5 cm) of rain, with some hail. Ricky called at 0700 this morning and said the forecast for today was iffy enough that he planned to put off the pour until Monday, which is fine with us. Better safe than sorry.

Email from Jen overnight. She wanted to know what the shelf life of the potassium iodide was and asked if I had any recommendations about storing it. I told her the shelf life was probably about another 4.3 billion years, and that I recommended storing it in solution form to make it easy to measure out doses. A 100-gram bottle of KI is 760+ adult doses, at 131 mg/dose. I suggested dissolving the 100 grams of KI in a gallon (3.8 liters) of water, and then dividing that into four labeled one-liter bottles, each containing 190 adult doses, at 5 mL per dose. That way, doses are easily measured, at one teaspoon per adult dose, a half teaspoon per child dose, and a quarter teaspoon per infant dose.

I warned Jen that potassium iodide is easily oxidized by atmospheric oxygen to elemental iodine, which will give the solution a pale yellow color. There’s no real downside to that–the same amount of iodine is present as before–but some people can’t stand the taste of iodine (versus iodide ions, which have no taste other than a slight saltiness). To prevent that, Jen can add a vitamin C tablet to each bottle to act as an antioxidant.

Jen also asked if there were any other chemicals I’d recommend storing in bulk. I told her that other than the obvious–salt and baking soda–the other one I store in bulk is magnesium sulfate (Epsom salts), which has several uses, notably as an effective laxative. We keep about five kilos of it on the shelf.


Read the comments: 55 Comments

Thursday, 29 September 2016

10:20 – The guys showed up this morning to start work on the driveway. They’re prepping the surface and building forms today. If the weather tomorrow is favorable, they’ll pour. Colin has been barking continuously since they arrived, shouting, “Bob! Bob! They’re stealing our driveway!”

Email from Jen overnight. She has one pack of commercial oral rehydration salts in stock, good for making up 15 liters of ORS solution. She and her husband started with the Wikipedia article and then read the other references it links to. They’re prepping for at least the six of them and possibly for two or three times that many, and they decided that 15 liters was grossly insufficient.

They didn’t want to depend on the makeshift sugar/salt solution mentioned in the article, which has much worse outcomes than the formal ORS solution, but neither did they want to spend $300 or $400 on the commercial product, so they decided to order what they’d need to make ORS solution up in bulk. As Jen said, in the larger scheme of things, it’s a very cheap prep. So she multiplied out the quantities stated in the article to determine that for each 100 liters of ORS she needs:

1350 grams (~48 ounces or 3 pounds) of anhydrous glucose
290 grams (~10.3 ounces) of trisodium citrate dihydrate
260 grams (~9.2 ounces) of sodium chloride (table salt)
150 grams (~5.3 ounces) of potassium chloride

She and her husband decided that it’d be a good idea to have at least 300 liters’ worth on hand. They obviously have table salt stored in quantity, so Jen ordered 10 pounds of anhydrous glucose, two pounds of trisodium citrate dihydrate, and a pound of potassium chloride, all food grade. She also ordered a couple bottles of zinc sulfate tablets to use with the ORS. The total cost came to well under $100. When it arrives, they’re going to repackage all the powders in foil-laminate bags with oxygen absorbers, but first Jen is going to use a scale to determine how much of each is needed by volume to make up each liter. As she says, they may not have a functioning scale when they need it, so they’ll label the bags with quantities of each component needed in teaspoons/tablespoons per liter. She also ordered a 100 gram bottle of KI, just in case. That took the total to just over $100.


11:01 – It occurs to me that I should have mentioned that Jen did not fully take my advice about buying bulk components for ORS. I actually recommended that she order them from Soapgoods, a vendor that we buy a lot of stuff from. They used to describe many of the chemicals they offered as “food grade” (FCC) or “USP”, but they discontinued doing that a couple years ago. Most of the items they sell start out as food-grade or USP, but they buy stuff by the trailer load and repackage it into smaller containers. Since their repackaging facility is not certified FCC or USP, they can’t legally describe the repackaged products as either FCC or USP. I told Jen that in my opinion it didn’t really matter, but she was more comfortable buying certified food-grade stuff. If she’d taken my advice, it would have cost noticeably less:

twelve pounds of glucose (dextrose) @ $15.18/6-lb = $30.36
two pounds of trisodium citrate dihydrate @ $3.70/lb = $7.40
one pound of potassium chloride @ $7.62 = $7.62

Or a grand total of $45.38 plus shipping, just over half of what Jen spent ordering all food grade stuff. The citrate salt is in fact the trisodium dihydrate form, which is important. (Sodium citrate, normally described just that way, may be the mono-, di-, or tri-sodium version, in various hydration states, all of which are used in foods, and the “tri” part is particularly important for ORS. The glucose (“dextrose”) sold by Soapgoods doesn’t specify hydration state. It may be anhydrous, but my strong guess is that it’s the dihydrate form.

I understand Jen’s decision. She’s not a chemist, and stuff that I’m comfortable juggling she probably isn’t. I don’t think she was particularly worried about the food-grade stuff from Soapgoods being contaminated. As I said, if she’s worried about it, she could just mix it up in boiling water, which’ll kill any biological contamination. I think it’s extremely unlikely that the product would be contaminated with other chemicals to any significant extent. But comfort level is important, and Jen was obviously more comfortable spending an extra $40 or so to get certified food-grade components.

Read the comments: 74 Comments

Monday, 26 September 2016

09:58 – This is our first autumn living in the mountains, so I’m not sure if the weather we’ve been having for the last week or so is typical. I suspect it is. Highs generally in the 70’s F, lows in the 50’s, and a lot of fog, particularly mornings. The winds generally pick up during the day, which takes the fog off but skies are overcast about half the time and sunny the rest. We’re not seeing any fall foliage to speak of yet. I suspect that’ll change as our lows drop into the 40’s.

I added the ABC News channel to the Roku box this morning, in case we decide to watch at least part of the debate tonight. Apparently, they’re expecting an all-time record number of viewers for this debate. I’m not sure why. It seems to me that about half the country wouldn’t vote for Clinton if she was the last politician on earth, and the other half wouldn’t vote for Trump. So why would anyone watch the debates? Undecideds seem to be the core audience for debates, and there aren’t many undecideds left. I may watch the first few minutes of the debate just to see if Clinton face-plants into the stage.

Email from Brittany overnight. She’s feeling a bit under-equipped firearms-wise after reading Jen’s plans yesterday. She and her husband don’t have even one black rifle, so reading about Jen’s family having one each is inducing AR-15 envy. I repeated my earlier advice to Brittany. Their situation is different from Jen’s. Jen’s family has four high-earners, while Brittany is a stay-at-home mom whose husband’s (secure) job supports their entire family. An AR-15 with magazines, accessories, and ammo will cost them at least $1,000, and they have other places that that $1,000 could be better spent. They’re already very well-armed compared to the average family, so spending lots of money on tactical rifle(s) should be a lower priority for them. They also live on the outskirts of a small town that’s remote from even mid-size cities. They’ve both lived there all their lives, are surrounded by family and friends, and very seldom see anyone on the streets whom they don’t know. In short, they’re part of a community. In a catastrophic emergency, the community will help protect them, and they’ll help protect the community. As far as I’m concerned, their situation is about the best possible one, and should allow them to ride out any serious emergency.

I wouldn’t say they can declare their prepping “complete”, but they’re already better prepared than about 99.9% of the population of this country. Anything more they do is icing on the cake.





Read the comments: 45 Comments
// ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- // end of file archive.php // -------------------------------------------------------------------------------