Fri. Nov. 11, 2022 – Veteran’s Day

By on November 11th, 2022 in decline and fall, personal

Thank you to everyone who served, and to their families for the sacrifices they made.

 


 

 

Cool and clear, warming later.  Some small chance of rain.  We’ll see.   Yesterday was nice.  Out in the boonies the air had the smell of damp, loam, and fall.  It was nice.

Spent 8 hours at my client’s house.  Got some stuff done but not the main goal.   Maybe next week.   His broken gear is still not available for replacement.  His remodel project, delayed for a year by supply chain issues, is still not entirely done.   They are waiting for light fixtures, and the electrician’s punch list details.  As I found at the BOL, even if you have money to spend, you can’t always solve your issues anymore.

That might change as people DON’T have money to spend.   Chatting with the cashier at Spec’s, our large liquor store chain, he said that despite Halloween and World Series parties over the weekend, his store was DOWN $20k in sales year over year for the weekend.  At some point, business is going to chase whatever money is still available.   We’re not at that point though.

Which leads to a couple of questions.   How do you make money when you don’t have anything to sell?  How do you spend money when there is nothing to buy?   What happens socially or personally, if you are not hurting as bad as everyone else?  Do you stop spending, even if you could?

It’s  a death spiral for the economy.  It’s coming.

Prepare yourself and stack what you can.

n

71 Comments and discussion on "Fri. Nov. 11, 2022 – Veteran’s Day"

  1. Ray Thompson says:

    We’ve been trying to help a family friend with their more or less DV situation by taking their twin girls a few nights a week.

    Good for you Jenny. Sometimes that is all a child needs, a safe refuge. I speak from experience with my abusive aunt and uncle. I had two neighbors where I could go when things got really rough. Dinner time there was generally a place set for me. They suspected something was wrong but were powerless to intervene.

    Times were different than they are now. In retrospect I wish I would have been able to live with the one set of neighbors. I did a lot of work on their farm and ate a lot of meals there. In the ’60s people didn’t interfere with others. That is now different.

    Do what can to support the twins. You may not see the results but trust me there will be results. I applaud your efforts.

    Then she had the gall to be irritated when I carefully checked the voting log that I was signing the correct place

    I have had to deal with clueless poll workers. Not really high up on the food chain. I use my passport card or VA ID when I vote. Confuses them sometimes. This time the lady wrote that I used a driver’s license for identification. I had to correct her and inform her that a VA ID looked nothing like a driver’s license.

    One time when I used my passport card the poll worker had to get a supervisor who then had to call somebody. I reminded them multiple times that the passport card was a federally issued photo ID. They had never seen one and did not know how to react.

    I have also had to use a provisional ballot because someone signed in my slot that I had voted in the election. Poll worker insisted I had already voted, it persisted that I had not, and the roles were incorrect. This time my voting was registered on a computer (MacBook Air) and was printed on a paper document that I had to sign. I was able to verify the information was correct.

  2. drwilliams says:

    re: clawbacks

    Top of the list is the unconstitutional student load forgiveness. 

    The Dems and the holders of worthless degrees will cry “Done Deal!” if the money gets disbursed, but the taxpayers should reply “Too Freaking Bad!”

    Poll this week showed that most potential recipients want to spend the money on travel and restaurants. Eff them all.

    Maybe this one did get stopped:

    Federal judge strikes down Biden’s Academia bailout; “unconstitutional exercise of Congress’s legislative power”

    https://hotair.com/headlines/2022/11/10/auto-draft-769-n510068

  3. Greg Norton says:

    Husband got the kid, with my input, an iPod touch. I locked it down to music and camera only, with texting limited to a handful of trusted adults. If she wants to communicate with friends it’ll be in person or using the rotary dial phone. 

    Hold off on video as long as you can.  If you relent, avoid the Apple Store. HandBrake will rip DVDs to Apple formats.

    NO anime dubbed in the US, particularly Funimation. Learn from my mistake.

  4. Greg Norton says:

    Poll this week showed that most potential recipients want to spend the money on travel and restaurants. Eff them all.

    A lot of the borrowed money was already spent on travel and restaurants during the students’ time in school. 

    The disturbing trend I noticed in the last year was talk about borrowing to put into Bitcoin or the FAANG stocks. Ramsey was letting the pinheads on the air every few weeks to emphasize the problem with the concept, but he seems to have stopped after Biden’s announcement that the Feds would actually proceed with at least partial forgiveness.

    I sometimes wonder if at least a portion of the Ramsey callers are staged, but I can see the idea of using student loan money to “invest” as being something that would appeal to “Show Ya”.

    Which reminds me, someone even called in within the last few months about using student loan money to buy an EV, planning on forgiveness down the road. The conversation is out on the highlights channel in YouTube somewhere.

  5. Ray Thompson says:

    I know several students who got student loans and bought a lot of stuff that had nothing to do with school. Top of the line iPhones, top configuration MacBook (a lesser model would have worked fine), expensive shoes, even a couple of students that used their loan money to purchase a vehicle even though they lived on campus. Those same students are now complaining they cannot make enough to pay their loans. They have worthless degrees which barely qualifies them for a job slinging burgers. Others got jobs, but not at the six-digit salary they were told they would receive by the school that raped the students for their money. The jobs don’t pay enough to live and pay off the student loan. Yeh, that degree in Egyptian Hieroglyphics was really a good idea.

    I feel no obligation as a taxpayer to subsidize their poor choices. I really don’t care if the former students are in debt the rest of their fricking lives. Their problem, not mine.

    12
  6. MrAtoz says:

    Alaska is stupid. But where would we go that’s better? Yeah. 

    Amen, Ms. Jenny.

  7. Nick Flandrey says:

    66F and clear, sun coming up.

    Bus was only 7 minutes late today.  New route, new driver, supposed to be earlier than the previous iteration.

    I’ve got a couple of pickups to do, and getting stuff together for my non-prepping hobby meeting tomorrow.   It’s our quarterly sale/swapmeet, and I’ve got stuff to sell….

    n

  8. Greg Norton says:

    Others got jobs, but not at the six-digit salary they were told they would receive by the school that raped the students for their money. The jobs don’t pay enough to live and pay off the student loan.

    A mechanism already existed to resolve those situations within the student loan program, Borrower Forgiveness. However, TPTB would rather not have the masses looking into that option lest the reputations of a lot of “good” schools in the US be impugned.

  9. MrAtoz says:

    We’ve been in Miami for two days, relaxing before our cruise. Nothing is complementary in the hotel, The AC Miami Brickell. I had to use the $25 checkin coupon for two small cups of coffee. There is a Publix a couple of blocks away, so I loaded up on munchies. Coffee shop across the street.

    We’ve been bingeing ”The Crown” while in the hotel.

    We sail Saturday!

  10. Nick Flandrey says:

    Even a CAT1 can be deadly.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11414731/Tropical-Storm-Nicole-leaves-four-people-dead-including-couple-electrocuted.html 

    Hurricane Nicole kills five people after barreling through Florida and now begins to batter Georgia as a tropical storm before moving up the East Coast with 50mph winds

    • So far, five people have been confirmed as dead as a result of Tropical Storm Nicole
    • A man and a woman were killed just outside of Orlando after they made contact with a downed powerline, the couple’s child was in their car at the time
    • While in Orange County, a driver hit a tow truck, killing himself and the truck driver on Thursday morning
    • In Brevard County, a 68-year-old man was killed on board his yacht when it broke free from the dock during the height of the storm 
    • The winds were so intense in Martin County, they revealed the whereabouts of a hidden Native American burial site, unearthing six bodies in the process
  11. MrAtoz says:

    Why would you stop work:

    Work halted at Obama Presidential Center after noose is found

    Almost a $billion and a hunk of rope brings construction to a stop. What woke-ass wimp is running the crew?

  12. Nick Flandrey says:

    Yeah, and the quote should probably be “shameful” not “shameless” act of blah blah blah….

    n

  13. Nick Flandrey says:

    Updated the title and post, because I fell asleep in the chair, woke just long enough to post, then went back to bed.   Brain not working.

    n

  14. Greg Norton says:

    We’ve been in Miami for two days, relaxing before our cruise. Nothing is complementary in the hotel, The AC Miami Brickell. I had to use the $25 checkin coupon for two small cups of coffee. There is a Publix a couple of blocks away, so I loaded up on munchies. Coffee shop across the street.

    Publix also has decent sandwiches and fried chicken for lunch.

    Go find Versailles in Little Havana tonight if you have a vehicle. If the line is too long, go to La Carretta down the street.

    No line at Versailles after ~ 7 PM is a bad economic sign.

    I’ve never taken a cab, but I’m sure the cabbies will know where to take you. Maybe the hotel has a shuttle to Little Havana.

    Be careful down there after dark. The CHUDs come out in force.

    Little Havana is safe … well, for Miami/Dade.

  15. ITGuy1998 says:

    Re: student loans.  From almost the time he could walk, I’ve made sure my son understands that one of the great gifts I will give him is a paid for college education (undergrad). His responsibility is to maintain at least a  3.0 average. If he drops below that, he will need to figure out how to pay going forward. I’ve modified this slightly though. UA has a program where you go 5 years and get your MBA along with your engineering degree. I’ll gladly pay for that extra year. 

    We are almost one semester in, and he has a shot at a 4.0. It’s not a sure thing, as Chem I may be the thorn. I’m not concerned though. Chem is not his favorite subject. He has also gone in that class from hovering between a high C and low B to having a real shot at getting an A if he does good on the final. I’m proudest that he has put in the work and is overcoming his mental block on a subject he doesn’t like as much as others.

    He has signed up for next semester’s classes, and arranged his schedule so he could get the same professor for Calc II that he has for Calc I. He made the comment that a lot of the students don’t like the professor. Also of note, those same students are only in class about half the time. Funny how that works. Apparently there are 30 something students in the class, with an average of about 15 or so showing up on any given day. He’s learning…

  16. ITGuy1998 says:

    Publix also has decent sandwiches and fried chicken for lunch.

    Back when I still ate bread, I loved Publix subs. 

    One our goto quick meals is to pick up non-breaded wings from the deli. They aren’t spicy, but are still pretty good.

  17. Nick Flandrey says:

    The biggest key to success in school and work is SHOWING UP.   Second biggest, doing the work.

    And I’ve got 6+ years of college, so I’ve got some experience with it…  :-{P

    n

  18. EdH says:

    And I’ve got 6+ years of college, so I’ve got some experience with it…  :-{P

    Is that you, Ally Sheesy?

    https://m.imdb.com/video/vi2128921113/?ref_=tt_vi_i_1

  19. Nick Flandrey says:

    “I don’t want to be poor. I don’t want to be poor.”

    I actually forgot that I took some additional classes at a community college, but I took them for professional development, not degree credit.

    n

  20. MrAtoz says:

    Go find Versailles in Little Havana tonight if you have a vehicle.

    We ate there a couple of months ago on a gig. Our party of four was not impressed with the food. The pastry and coffee shop was great and is apparently why so many people show up in the wee hours. The party was me and three Latinas who were not impressed. The food was OK, but nothing special.

  21. Ray Thompson says:

    Apparently there are 30 something students in the class, with an average of about 15 or so showing up on any given day. He’s learning…

    I suspect the other 15 are taking wimp classes, have huge student loans, bought a lot of crap with the loans, and are hoping the government forgives the loans, tax free. Nothing like getting a degree on living off the government dole.

    My son had two different roommates when he was attending MTSU. One played video games all day and never went to class. Annoyed my son because the guy basically never left the room. The other was a football player who never went to class but somehow was able to graduate. Neither one got a worthwhile degree out of their time in college.

  22. Nightraker says:

    I’ll confess.  I took out 2 student loans in ~1989 for my senior year.   They were $4k each, $3600 net of the loan origination fee.  I spent one on a woohoo Gateway 2000 386 and the other, you know, on tuition.  It took a l-o-n-g time to pay that $8k back…  We probably shouldn’t discuss the $5k Gold Card that Chase “blessed” me with about that time, either.  Lesson learned.

  23. Greg Norton says:

    We ate there a couple of months ago on a gig. Our party of four was not impressed with the food. The pastry and coffee shop was great and is apparently why so many people show up in the wee hours. The party was me and three Latinas who were not impressed. The food was OK, but nothing special.

    That sucks. We haven’t been down there in a while. 2017?

    The food options are better in the immediate area around the cruise docks in Fort Lauderdale, and there used to be fewer CHUDs out at night.

  24. Greg Norton says:

    Re: student loans.  From almost the time he could walk, I’ve made sure my son understands that one of the great gifts I will give him is a paid for college education (undergrad). His responsibility is to maintain at least a  3.0 average. If he drops below that, he will need to figure out how to pay going forward.

    Give a 20-something signature access to five figure sums of money, however, and the temptation is there to do things like go see the Hobbit holes in New Zealand.

    Don’t laugh. I know a girl waiting on student loan forgiveness who did that one despite having well off parents who covered her education costs. And what some of the students in my wife’s med school class did with loan money was beyond insane.

  25. Gavin says:

    @Nick – thanks for the suggestion; there are indeed similar offerings through the large wireless phone providers, and I’m looking at them as well. I’d prefer to be on some type of wired connection, but it’s not looking like that’s an option where I am.

  26. Greg Norton says:

    I’ll confess.  I took out 2 student loans in ~1989 for my senior year.   They were $4k each, $3600 net of the loan origination fee.  I spent one on a woohoo Gateway 2000 386 and the other, you know, on tuition.  It took a l-o-n-g time to pay that $8k back…  We probably shouldn’t discuss the $5k Gold Card that Chase “blessed” me with about that time, either.  Lesson learned.

    We had to put a Corolla for my wife into the med school loans. I laugh when people complain about the new ones costing $22k easy — “For a Corolla!?!”

    Been there, done that, thanks to the miracle of compound interest.

  27. Lynn says:

    Which leads to a couple of questions.   How do you make money when you don’t have anything to sell?  How do you spend money when there is nothing to buy?   What happens socially or personally, if you are not hurting as bad as everyone else?  Do you stop spending, even if you could?

    It’s  a death spiral for the economy.  It’s coming.

    John Kerry and Joe Biden just promised to spend $2 trillion/year for the USA on climate change at the COP conference in Egypt.  I wonder where they are going to get that $2 trillion/year for the next 30 years ?

        https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/11/politics/joe-biden-egypt-cop27

  28. Lynn says:

    “FTX files for bankruptcy, Bankman-Fried steps down”

         https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ftx-bankruptcy-bankman-fried-steps-down-150838412.html

    “John J. Ray III will take over as chief executive, while Bankman-Fried will assist during the transition. The filing for the affiliate, Alameda Research LLC, lists between $10 billion and $50 billion assets, between $10 billion and $50 billion in liabilities, and more than 100,000 creditors.”

    Yup, Ponzi scheme.  Looks like they were paying off the old investors with the money from the new investors.

    Looks like Tom Brady got hosed too.
    https://finance.yahoo.com/m/80cd0da3-0019-39a0-b3e8-10f33150c325/tom-brady-and-steph-curry-s.html

  29. Lynn says:

    “That Was Quick… PA Governor-Elect Josh Shapiro Vows to Crackdown on Fracking and Energy Sector in State – Affecting Thousands of PA Jobs (VIDEO)”

         https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2022/11/quick-pa-governor-elect-josh-shapiro-vows-crackdown-fracking-energy-sector-state-video/

    “Governor-elect Josh Shapiro announced he is ready to restrict fracking and energy development in Pennsylvania following his win on Tuesday.  Shapiro now says he supports the recommendations from the state’s investigation that includes:”

    “** Expand “no-drill” permits making if more difficult to produce natural gas
    ** Disclose fracking chemicals so companies can be targeted with lawsuits
    ** Regulate smaller oil and gas pipeline”

    “According to Jeff Flock there are 500,000 jobs in Pennsylvania linked to the oil sector producing $800 billion to the economy. (That number seems a high)”

  30. Lynn says:

    xkcd: Y2K and 2038

         https://xkcd.com/2697/

    It shouldn’t cost more than a trillion dollars or two to investigate this.

    Explained at:

       https://www.explainxkcd.com/wiki/index.php/2697:_Y2K_and_2038

  31. Lynn says:

    re: clawbacks

    Top of the list is the unconstitutional student load forgiveness. 

    The Dems and the holders of worthless degrees will cry “Done Deal!” if the money gets disbursed, but the taxpayers should reply “Too Freaking Bad!”

    It is only estimated at $640 billion or so.  Chump change.

    Just wait until they put Social Security and Medicare on a needs basis.

  32. Greg Norton says:

    Just wait until they put Social Security and Medicare on a needs basis.

    Go back and find the videos from the 80s showing the oldsters beating on House Ways and Means Committee Chair Dan Rostenkowski’s car after the imposition of a modest catastrophic healthcare insurance premium designed to prevent Medicare from going broke as “The Greatest Generation’ started to retire 40 years ago.

    The premium was quickly repealed.

    Imagine what the Boomers will do in a similar situation. Needs testing isn’t happening.

    The next up, my generation, “Ferris Bueller/Martin Blank” Class of ‘86, is still on mop duty and will be until our parents pass on.

  33. Lynn says:

    “World ends in 9 years…again”

         https://hotair.com/david-strom/2022/11/11/world-ends-in-9-years-again-n510104

    “A climate scientist can tell you the exact temperature on a date in 1066 AD and draw a hockey stick showing the apocalypse occurring at 12:01 A.M. on February 2nd, 2032, but a scientist studying Vitamin C intake can’t tell you whether it can really make a cold go away a day quicker.  Clearly the medical researchers need to take lessons from the climate guys. Those guys rock.”

    “The Washington Post has yet another in the never ending series of “Apocalypse Soon” stories, triggered of course by yet another private jet-fest being held in Egypt this year. World leaders are meeting in another nice locale to eat well, drink well, and pretend to care about the future of mankind. So of course we normies need to be scared into giving up our freedoms even more than we have.”

    What is this, the 900th prediction that the world is going to die ?

  34. paul says:

    Today it was 70F about 6am.  Walked the dogs, fed the cats, wrapped one last faucet with old socks. 

    A few minutes after 9am, the front arrived.  I closed the few windows that were open a bit.  At 3pm the temp is 50F, it’s just breezy now, not whistling through the power lines like it was.  Almost an inch of rain.

    Buddy the Beagle does not seem impressed by the change.  Three boy dog pees, a poop, and another pee and back in the house.  Penny’s not a fan, either.  The cats, I think about 15, are in a heap on the carpet scrap I use for a door mat.  I don’t know where the rest are sheltering. 

    I have a pot of chili going.  A bit over three pounds of stew meat, so, big batch.  Smells great. It’s missing something. Maybe a teaspoon of sugar to buffer the tomato acid?  I’m not figuring it out today.  There’s a bitter back flavor, sort of like grapefruit rind.   Maybe a can of tomato paste? 

    And… from the time I started typing this, the temp has dropped from 50F to 44F.  The house is down to 73F from 75F.   I’m already hearing “some pellet stove would be nice” noises.  As usual.

  35. drwilliams says:

    @Lynn

    Just wait until they put Social Security and Medicare on a needs basis.

    65 million retirees drawing $1 Trillion a year.

    System could be insolvent in 2038(?), which would require reducing benefits to 79%.

    Fix would require increasing the tax by 1%–phased in 0.05% yearly.

    Guess what?

  36. Greg Norton says:

    It shouldn’t cost more than a trillion dollars or two to investigate this.

    I’ll be just shy of 70 when Y2038 hits.

    I don’t want any part of it.

  37. Lynn says:

    It shouldn’t cost more than a trillion dollars or two to investigate this.

    I’ll be just shy of 70 when Y2038 hits.

    I don’t want any part of it.

    I’ll be 78 but I will probably be long gone.

    Not even if they offer you $5,000/hour ?  Of course, with 15% inflation per year, that is probably equivalent to $75/hour now.

  38. drwilliams says:

    Constitutional Amendment:

    All federal government pensions COLA-limited to 50% of FICA increase, and hard-capped at 200% of average of last ten working years.

    Then pass federal legislation to have the same effect on state and local government pensions, setting the tax rate at 100% for the excess.

  39. Greg Norton says:

    RIP, Gallagher. My undergraduate alma matter’s most famous (almost) graduate.

    https://www.tampabay.com/life-culture/entertainment/2022/11/11/gallagher-tampas-watermelon-smashing-comedian-is-dead-76/

  40. Geoff Powell says:

    @greg:

    I’ll be just shy of 70 when Y2038 hits.

    90 in my case – if I get that far, which is not guaranteed.

    G.

  41. CowboyStu says:

    I’ll be just shy of 70 when Y2038 hits.

    90 in my case – if I get that far, which is not guaranteed.

    G.

    99 in my case.

  42. SteveF says:

    I have a pot of chili going.  … It’s missing something.

    Tablespoon or two of cocoa powder.

  43. Kenneth C Mitchell says:

    Greg Norton:

    I’ll be just shy of 70 when Y2038 hits.

    I don’t want any part of it.

    88 for me, and since my father was still going strong at 93, entirely possible for me. 

  44. paul says:

    I might be an idiot.  But hang on a moment.  Give a chance to prove it.

    That Red Wave that turned into a ripple….  And suddenly and somehow folks endorsed by Trump lost because of that.  Endorsed by the guy that draws, what, 10 grand folks to a rally?    Propaganda. 

    In Texas, Beto Burrito got 44% of the vote?  Mr. Hell Yeah We’re Taking Your Guns?  For real? 

    Here’s a pretty cool map:  https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-elections/texas-governor-results

    You can hover and it’s interesting to see how many folks actually voted in various counties.

    Anyway.  I figure the Dems cheated and the GOP side of the uni-party went along with it.  Gotta keep that money coming in, right?

    I’m missing something.  The economy seemed good with Orange Man.  The Dems stole the election to install an pedo with dementia… whose first thing to do was shut down Keystone.  And then ban drilling and blah blah blah and we gonna get by with solar panels and windmills. 

    So the price of gas is crazy.  A dozen eggs is now 2.75 and it was .98 not long ago.   

    I don’t understand why there wasn’t a huge GOP wave…. the economy is going down the the toilet, let the GOP take the blame.  Right?  I guess sending money to the laundromat in Ukraine is more important than anything and opening the border to hordes of third world leaches is more important.

    But it will even out.  Eventually.  We know where these folks live.  

    5
    2
  45. paul says:

    Tablespoon or two of cocoa powder.

    Yep.  Did that.  Always.

    Tossed in a teaspoon of sugar and that seems to be smoothing the flavors.

    Turned on the pellet stove.  To stop the “suggestions” and for me, to make sure the thing is working.  Best to find a problem now than in January. 

  46. drwilliams says:

    @paul

    I have a pot of chili going.  A bit over three pounds of stew meat, so, big batch.  Smells great. It’s missing something. Maybe a teaspoon of sugar to buffer the tomato acid?  I’m not figuring it out today.  There’s a bitter back flavor, sort of like grapefruit rind.   Maybe a can of tomato paste? 

    Taste your spices to see if one is old. Some peppers have oils that can turn a bit rancid.

    Did you add garlic? Could be old garlic powder or dried minced garlic, garlic that is sprouting, or overcooking fresh garlic.

    Spoon some sauce into a dish and add small pinches of baking soda to see if that helps. If it does, treat the whole pot.

    Some unflavored yogurt or sour cream would also work. Sugar would be my last resort.

    So, beans or no beans?

  47. Ray Thompson says:

     Currently in Roan Mountain TN at Cloudland High School. Second round of football playoffs. Been raining all day, should be over by 6:30 PM. The game will be a mud bath and I expect to get quite dirty myself on the sideline.

    This school has a field that slopes downhill about 3 feet to a lower corner. The home team passes to that area. They also leave the grass about 4” long and play to that advantage. Should be a rule on grass length but I guess they need to feed the cows in the off season. Yes, there a lot of uneven places on the field.

  48. drwilliams says:

    Border Crisis: Biden Admin Transporting Pregnant Unaccompanied Girls to States Without Abortion Restrictions

    “This may involve transporting a minor to a state in which abortion is lawful and available, if the minor is currently in a state in which abortion is not lawful or available.”

    https://legalinsurrection.com/2022/11/border-crisis-biden-admin-transporting-pregnant-unaccompanied-girls-to-states-without-abortion-restrictions/

    That should be s.o.p. for all female illegal immigrants, followed by tying their tubes.

    For the males: snip, snip.

    Take video and buy commercial time on Mexican tv. Central America, too. Subtitles in Farsi and other Middle Eastern languages. 

    Free surgery in the USA! Non-elective!

  49. Greg Norton says:

    RIP Kevin Conroy, voice of Batman.

    Celebrity death #2. Who will be #3?

    https://nypost.com/2022/11/11/kevin-conroy-iconic-voice-of-batman-dead-at-66/

  50. Lynn says:

    I don’t understand why there wasn’t a huge GOP wave…. the economy is going down the the toilet, let the GOP take the blame.  Right?  I guess sending money to the laundromat in Ukraine is more important than anything and opening the border to hordes of third world leaches is more important.

    Three things are happening (and continuing to happen, they will get worse):

    1. The 62+ year old people who get a check from the government are petrified that their checks are going to stop.  75 to 85% of them are living in the deep blue cities and only get that one check.  So they vote dumbrocrat since the dumbrocrats tell them that the repuglicans are going to take away their checks.
    2. The millennials, born in 1981 to 1996, are 60% to 70% liberal and vote dumbrocrat.  Very few of them are married, maybe 30% ???.  Many of them them still live with Mom or Dad.
    3. Gen Z (born 1997 to 2012) are 70% to 90% liberal.  Worse yet, they are sexually confused with 30% of them claiming to be homosexual.  So they vote dumbrocrat.

    Please note that all of my guesstimates are SWAG (scientific wild ass guesses).

    5
    1
  51. ech says:

    That Red Wave that turned into a ripple….  And suddenly and somehow folks endorsed by Trump lost because of that.  Endorsed by the guy that draws, what, 10 grand folks to a rally?    Propaganda. 

    The rally that is important is who shows up to vote. Exit polling showed that abortion was a huge factor in turnout for younger voters. It also showed that candidate quality matters – Oz had the huge negative of being from out of state. People resent that. In GA, the Kemp got 53.4% of the vote and Walker got 48.5%. Significant vote splitting going on. Similar patterns played out elsewhere. And Trump showing up in the news and teasing a run for president again motivated the Democrats. Trump’s organization raised a huge amount of money (sucking up much of what was available) and sat on it. Mitch McConnell’s PACs spent 10x as much money supporting Oz as Trump did.

    Trump needs to go away.
     

  52. Greg Norton says:

    Three things are happening (and continuing to happen, they will get worse):

    4. College educated X-ers (born 65-80) who emerged from the tech boom of the 90s without meaningful professional employment and whose War Baby/Early Boomer parents are dying off penniless. They need the trifecta – student loan repayment, the monthly Social Security nut, and Medicaid For All.

  53. Lynn says:

    Turned on the pellet stove.  To stop the “suggestions” and for me, to make sure the thing is working.  Best to find a problem now than in January. 

    My buddy has a pellet BBQ pit.  He cooked some brisket for us back in the summer.  It does a real good job.

  54. nick flandrey says:

    Temp here dropped to 54F and the rain started again.   Quite an unpleasant night at the moment.  Blustery.

    Wife and kids are headed to the BOL.  I’ll follow tomorrow after my meeting and swapmeet.  

    Hit the local HEB grocery.    Vac pack pork loin is back on sale, $1.77/pound limit two.  I bought the 9 pounders….   Pork ribs were onsale too, so I bought some of them.  Almost no  beef in the case, only some stew meat and some cheap ‘value meat’ steaks.    Fresh veg was decimated and packaged fresh veg was bare.  Lots of small variety apples in the store, presumably because they can’t get enough of the staple three.   Soda in small cans, and 10 packs was on sale,  3 for $12.   Still not “cheap”.

    It had rained this morning so I didn’t get my decorations in.   I did get my pickups done, except for the ones I can do next week.   Won another wood burning stove.   It has some chips and broken iron along the back edge of the top.  Doesn’t affect function.   I’ll be looking to sell or trade it at the BOL or on craigslist.

    n

  55. Lynn says:

    Hit the local HEB grocery.    Vac pack pork loin is back on sale, $1.77/pound limit two.  I bought the 9 pounders….   Pork ribs were onsale too, so I bought some of them.  Almost no  beef in the case, only some stew meat and some cheap ‘value meat’ steaks.    Fresh veg was decimated and packaged fresh veg was bare.  Lots of small variety apples in the store, presumably because they can’t get enough of the staple three.   Soda in small cans, and 10 packs was on sale,  3 for $12.   Still not “cheap”.

    I bought three 12 packs of Diet Dr. Pepper 12 oz cans at three for $14 ($4.67 / 12 pack) Wednesday night at the Riverpark HEB in Sugar Land.  There was plenty of fresh vegetables but still no White Chocolate Mocha non-dairy coffee additive for us allergic to milk.  They also had 24 pack half liter Ozarka water bottles again but they raised the price from $4.31 to $4.78.  The prices are rising rapidly.

  56. Lynn says:

    There are still a half million votes to count in Arizona.  It is only a Governor and Senate race.

         https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-elections/arizona-governor-results

    Hat tip to:
    https://www.drudgereport.com/

  57. Lynn says:

    Trump needs to go away.

    Trump needs to calm down.  If he can’t then he needs to go away.  This burn it all down attitude of his sucks.  Temper tantrums at age 76 are not near as cute as they are at 2.

  58. Greg Norton says:

    Trump needs to calm down.  If he can’t then he needs to go away.  This burn it all down attitude of his sucks.  Temper tantrums at age 76 are not near as cute as they are at 2.

    Trump is trying to do the same thing to DeSantis that he did to Jeb! early on in the runup to 2016, but the people of Florida were over Jeb! by the time he ran for President. 

  59. Lynn says:

    “I Eat Chorizo – Gabriel Iglesias: Stadium Fluffy on Netflix”

        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SfoOZ6l3Y80

    “The New Speedy Gonzales | Gabriel Iglesias”

        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X41OzNHQc3w

    “I Was Almost Canceled – Gabriel Iglesias: Stadium Fluffy on Netflix”
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eCyKjQ4RTvw

  60. Kenneth C Mitchell says:

    Far West San Antonio; the rain mostly passed by us today, but the cold front has taken us from early Fall at 1PM to LATE Fall at 9 PM. Temps walking from the restaurant to the car were a cold and windy 48 degrees. I had a light flannel shirt but no jacket.  Brrr! I SHOULD have had my leather flight jacket, which I normally start wearing on Veteran’s Day. 

  61. Alan says:

    >> John Kerry and Joe Biden just promised to spend $2 trillion/year for the USA on climate change at the COP conference in Egypt.  I wonder where they are going to get that $2 trillion/year for the next 30 years ?

    From the Treasury printing presses. Hopefully they’re well stocked with blank banknote paper. 

  62. nick flandrey says:

    Hopefully they’re well stocked with blank banknote paper.  

    – even if they’re not,  I have it on good authority that you can just overprint “one million” on existing bills….

    n

  63. nick flandrey says:

    48F and occasional gusts.  Only a ¼ inch of rain by the gauge, but it looked like more than that to me.

    I’m headed to bed.

    n

  64. Alan says:

    >> What is this, the 900th prediction that the world is going to die? 

    Yeah, but they only have to be right once. 

  65. Alan says:

    >> Constitutional Amendment:

    All federal government pensions COLA-limited to 50% of FICA increase, and hard-capped at 200% of average of last ten working years.

    Then pass federal legislation to have the same effect on state and local government pensions, setting the tax rate at 100% for the excess.

    “…pass…”

    Yeah, right, sure, funny.

  66. Alan says:

    >> I’ll be just shy of 70 when Y2038 hits.

    I don’t want any part of it.

    I’ll be 78 but I will probably be long gone.

    So @lynn, you’re fixing this as part of your Fortran conversion?

  67. Alan says:

    >> I don’t understand why there wasn’t a huge GOP wave…. the economy is going down the the toilet, let the GOP take the blame.  Right?

    Too many Repubs counted on ‘everyone else’ showing up so they figured it wouldn’t matter if they stayed home. Oops. 

  68. Lynn says:

    So @lynn, you’re fixing this as part of your Fortran conversion?

    In my software, yes but it is a very low priority since the problem is 16 years away for us.

    The problem was fixed in industry quite a long time ago.  In fact there have been two major fixes and a couple of minor fixes.  The first major fix got us to 2106 and the second major fix got us to infinity (the year 2,147,485,547).  

        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_2038_problem

    The move to 64 bit is fixing a lot of problems for us programmers.  Unfortunately, all software must be recompiled at a minimum.  Porting the software to 64 bit and updating all time fields to 64 bit is necessary also to get past the year 2106.

  69. Lynn says:

    “Alex Epstein: USA Facing a Dangerous Shortage of Heating Fuel”

         https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/11/11/alex-epstein-usa-facing-a-dangerous-shortage-of-heating-fuel/

    “Biden can make up all the excuses he wants, but Biden was the President who cancelled the Keystone pipeline.”

    “I have seen suggestions that completing the Keystone pipeline would not have made much difference. But Keystone would have provided at least 700,000 barrels per day of crude oil to US refineries. Given the shortfall seems to be around 10,000,000 barrels, going by the graph at the top of the page, and even considering that not all that crude oil would have been converted into fuel oil, it seems plausible that a few months of Keystone flow could have brought supplies back up to the long term average.”

    “President Biden has done plenty to discourage oil field development since he cancelled the Keystone pipeline, such as when he told the public a few days ago – “No more drilling”.”

    I saw Alex Epstein give a speech a couple of years ago, he is a very persuasive guy. He also backs up his speeches and his books with cold hard facts. January and February may be very cold indeed on the upper east cost of the USA.

  70. Lynn says:

    “10 Early Warning Signs of Dementia You Shouldn’t Ignore”

        https://www.aarp.org/caregiving/health/info-2019/dementia-warning-signs.html

    Wow, slow Joe meets all ten points !

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