Probably damp and cool, but maybe raining… It was really humid yesterday, and got up into the low 80s in the afternoon, but after the morning showers, the rain held off until after midnight. Mostly. Today I’m doing stuff that I would prefer didn’t get wet.
I started yesterday with volunteer work at the kid’s middle school. Then I headed south to do a pickup. On the way I stopped at Northern Tool and bought two small furniture dollies and a drywall dolly. I want to cover my bases for moving the mattresses and bed frames today. Stopped at Habitat reStore on my way home, but they didn’t have anything I needed. Seems like they are getting fewer donations…
Did kid taxi stuff in the late afternoon. Got my trailer and stuff from storage for my non-prepping hobby swapmeet this morning. Put stuff in the truck… Basically got ready to do my things today.
Hobby, pickup bed for BOL, head to BOL… I should be moving non-stop for most of the day.
Not much choice in the matter now either.
Fortunately we have choices when it comes to prepping. I choose to stack!
nick
I’m more curious to know what the Feds were really up to in Lake Placid which would require caution around property owners advertising Trump support. That area is well inland, south/east of the storm track, and one of the few places left in Florida where you will get the “You ain’t from around here are you, boy?” reaction just knocking on the door dressed the way a lot of Federal employees choose to present themselves post-Covid.
Googling around, it looks like a tornado went through a trailer park and solar farm boondoggle in Lake Placid during Milton. The smashed up solar cell pieces are going to leech a lot of nasty things into the water left uncollected, and my first guess is that the Feds were surveying to see how far debris might have flown.
Whether it is the carbon fiber in the windmill blades or the toxic chemicals used to make the solar cells, a lot of the Green New Deal tech isn’t exactly green.
Highlands County, FL went 70-30 Trump. Who wasn’t a Trump supporter out that way outside of Sebring?
Decriminalize possession of personal quantities first. Separate that debate from legalization.
Weed isn’t a harmless drug as the legalization industrial complex would have you believe.
A friend just fought a nasty divorce where the catalyst was edibles, first sampled on a proverbial X-er ladies-only 50th birthday trip to Vegas pre-Covid. The wife continued to imbibe via a buying club, organized *down at their synagogue*.
The first place his *female* lawyer started was a forensic accountant analysis of the Vegas adventure. She told him that’s always bad among our age group.
It is never about the drug as much as the culture surrounding the use.
65F with some blue sky. Doesn’t look that wet, so the rain must have been minimal last night. I”m up and getting ready for my hobby get together…
n
My predicyCarbon fiber will be the new asbestos.
prediction
Anyone who doesn’t understand that sentence should spend about an hour people watching outside the “medical marijuana” dispensary near my house.
Trippiez. I’m not kidding about the name.
I don’t think it is a coincidence that Austin’s first Tim Horton’s is under construction right at the U turn on the main road which I notice most Trippiez customers use after exiting the strip mall in order to return home.
RBI and their franchise operator have plans for 40 Tim Horton’s in the area. That’s a lot of munchies.
At first I was puzzled by the site selection for the first store, and then it hit me this week when I had to drop something off at the UPS store next to the head shop and the back exit of the strip mall was blocked by a truck.
C’mon, that’s what it is. Be honest.
Carbon fiber simply doesn’t degrade.
The solar cells will be the toxic waste problem with the chemicals from improperly disposed panels leeching into the water supply.
At first, people will think it is no big deal. Solar is “green”, right?
Whoever owns that smashed solar farm in Lake Placid has to be sweating the potential cleanup costs right now. And there are many like it in Florida in locations with much higher water tables.
Long term, most of what is currently farmland on the Peninsula will end up as housing developments full of stucco cr*p shacks.
The Daily Mail needs to get busy moving papers the next few weeks.
The “Death in Paradise” “Paraverse” expands on BBC One on 11/22 with the premiere of the Australian-based “Return to Paradise”.
Six episodes should put the first season conclusion on New Years weekend with the parent series starting the following week.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JuqtRc0y_hk
Asbestos doesn’t degrade.
Carbon fiber is cut during fabrication and has the same potential for lung damage if ppe fails. The science is nascent. As is the litigation potential
As far as carbon fiber degrading, history is not kind to such predictions, and as long as detection levels keep declining—sub ppt and below—bad metastudies will always be able to tease out a meaningless signal that attorneys can turn into a new industry.
And it’s also worth noting that the undegradeable carbon fiber is largely Chinesium.
A big Siemens staging yard is down at Port Aransas so I assumed the blades were Hecho en Germany.
As with the drywall, Chinesium raises the specter of nasty things potentially leeching into the water supply from improperly disposed blades, specificially whatever the Hecho en China process uses to bond the laminate together.
Also, as with the drywall, the issue wasn’t as much labor costs, offset by shipping, as much as US domestic plants having a NIMBY problem.
Florida’s problem with Chinese drywall started after the NIMBYs forced closure of the drywall facility on the edge of Tampa’s entertainment district.
The hilarious thing is that the same mucky mucks, including Bill Gates, just got the ConAgra flour mill at the Port of Tampa closed for the same reason.
The flour mill was hugely profitable.
Erf. Neighbors a couple of houses away have a dog who was always indoors. Now, with the new baby, apparently that’s not allowed. So they’ve ostracized him to an outdoor run. Whenever they leave, he yips and howls continuously. Which he is doing just now…
We’re not going to fuss to them, though. There are a number of closer neighbors who must be much more annoyed that we are…
Scientific American Editor-In-Chief Has Spectacular Post-Election Social Media Meltdown
https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/11/scientific-american-editor-in-chief-has-spectacular-post-election-social-media-meltdown/
I discovered Scientific American in junior high. I’m not sure if I picked up a copy of one of Martin Gardner’s books or the magazine first. It became a monthly read for me–I read most of the articles, even the ones far beyond me at that time. At some point in high school I found a stack of SA’s in a bookstore and sorted though a hundred or so from the 50’s and early 60’s before parting with six hard-earned quarters and taking home a half-dozen copies. Starting midway through college I subscribed for years.
In late high school I gained access to a library at a large university. I read a lot of Scientific American from the late 19th and early 20th century. Some for fun, some for serious research papers.
There’s a special place in hell for people like Helmuth who use a respected institutional reputation that has been earned over decades to claim status far beyond their intellectual capacity and spew their leftist nonsense. They have no morals, no shame, and no acceptance that their tired views work no better than they have for the last century at anything other than killing millions of people.
Until the people that hire editors like Helmuth are themselves replaced by professionals fully committed to the principles that founded Scientific American, it’s better to leave her in place and just continue the public disgrace and downward spiral. That’s a better choice than replacing her with another committed leftist that might be a little slicker and less obvious in showing the bias.
Only about 15-20% of the CF is manufactured by overtly Chinese companies. Manufacturer attribution is to “nameplate” companies, and the actual volumes and sites of manufacture are difficult to unpack without a lot of digging.
Low-volume aerospace products at the high end, cheap fabric fibers at the other. The further down the ladder, the more likely the source is the lowest cost possible.
Scientific American is currently held by Springer Nature. I always assume anything “Springer” is Deep State, but YMMV depending on the conspiracy theories you choose to believe.
Axel Springer’s “Insider” publications have been quiet since the blunder of publishing DeSantis “leaked” wedding pictures leading up to the 2022 election in an attempt to portray the Governor as a Disney hypocrite. Instead, the pictures ended up being a huge positive for the campaign, and I believe they are the reason behind the ticket winning Dade County and Republicans continuing to make gains there on Tuesday.
Springer and the rest of the scientific publishing industry could be gutted by a simple change in the law: U.S. funded university research is free to the public and cannot be behind a paywall. The law should also contain a provision that public funds, either directly as grant money or indirectly “rinsed” through other university accounts, cannot be used to pay publication fees from journals.
We had a brief discussion last week that included James Clerk Maxwell. In the course of trying to provide a couple of links, I had an offer from Cambridge for access to one of his papers for a mere $100 and change. It’s been in the public domain for nearly a century.
Reading a lot of comments on different platforms this week. Senators Manchin and Sinema both retired. Most of the discussion has been about their replacements. It would benefit the new Trump administration to consider how they might play a part.
Manchin’s replacement is Republican, but Sinema’s likely replacement is another Dem.
The Republican Party in Arizona is still beholden to Hensley & Associates, Cindy McCain’s family company, and as Chairperson, she holds a grudge. McCain worked for Biden as Ambassador to something at the UN recently as payola and will probably be one of the fired appointees on Jan. 20.
The Republicans won’t hold either Arizona Senate seat again until Cindy McCain passes.
If Kari Lake manages to win, that will be a bigger political earthquake in Arizona than Trump carrying the state this time.
Trump has declared that the party is over for the transgender medical industrial complex, especially the cash flows from pediatric care.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BTpCaGbSlig
One of the comments indicated that this was from last year, but I doubt that he’s changed his mind on this issue.
Even “Republicans” in Texas were looking the other way until Paxton’s Impeachment last year forced them to find a new distraction.
I subscribed to Scientific American for many years. Somewhere around 30 years ago, it struck me that they were letting politics influence their scientific reporting. It was bad enough that I canceled my subscription.
The few times I have looked at them since, usually following some link, they have only gotten worse. Politics have no place in science journalism.
Me too for SciAm. Long subscriber, finally disgusted enough to cancel vs. not renew. It’s been at least 10 years, maybe 15 since I read one.
home from my meeting, time to load the truck and head out. The got enough rain at the BOL to flood into the garage. That’s a lot, and the lake is above normal levels.
n
+one for me subscribing to SciAm. Like others here, I haven’t touched it in decades.
Me Three for SciAm. I subscribed for most of the ‘80s into the mid-’90s, and cancelled them and National Geographic when both rags printed “Glowbull Warmening” hoaxes within a few months of each other.
I subscribed to SciAm for about a year once. I believe it was shortly after Hofstadter took over Gardner’s column.
I was not impressed with the magazine, or for that matter, Hofstadter. Which surprised me given how much I liked his GEB book.
But then, I like Bach and number theory.
I did not find Metamagical Themas as engaging as Gardner’s Mathematical Games.
How to Cut $2 Trillion From the Federal Budget Without Really Trying
https://pjmedia.com/rick-moran/2024/11/09/how-to-cut-2-trillion-from-the-federal-budget-without-really-trying-n4934142
largely pulled from:
How Donald Trump and Elon Musk Could Cut $2 Trillion in Government Spending
https://reason.com/2024/11/08/how-donald-trump-and-elon-musk-could-cut-2-trillion-in-government-spending
It has never made sense for a state in the form of its citizens to send $1.00 to Washington to get 15-20% skimmed off the top to support a Washington-based bureaucracy.
It makes even less sense when the money doesn’t get sent to Washington, and just gets added to the deficit.
@Mr. ATOZ: Upgraded my M2 Air to a Mac Pro with the M4 chip. More ports and supports my camera’s memory card without a dongle. 1TB, 24Gig. Just got it today. The migration assistant does not migrate everything. The apps come across, the folders come across, but many of the settings do not come across.
Do you run Time Machine on a regular basis.
Restoring from Time Machine to a new Mac is very smooth.
Enjoy the M4. I’m still on an MacBook Pro M1, 8 GB.
I got addicted to the touch bar at the last job with the 64 GB i9 1 TB MacBook Pro system the company leased, the last of the Intel Mac Books, capable of booting Intel Windows and Linux either directly or using VMware Fusion.
Oh, man, I miss that machine.
Yes, I do. Everything transferred, apps and files from the old to the new. Some setting in MacOS, and in the apps did not come across. Microsoft wanted me to sign on again. Screen resolution was not what I had set. Find My was turned off on the new Mac, but was on in the Old Mac. Menu bars settings were incorrect. Bluetooth devices had to be paired again. App screen was all messed up from what I had. I don’t know that a restore would have done any better.
I could not delete the old Mac from my Apple account on the Mac. That had to be done on my iPhone due to security by Apple.
The machine is fast. Importing 900 photos into Lightroom took about a minute to complete with Lightroom building thumbnails. On my old machine that was about a two minute process. Displaying images in Preview is almost instantaneous.
The speakers are much better on the Pro. More ports, Thunderbolt 5.
Why Numerical Climate Models Fail at Long-term Climate Prediction
Guest Essay by Kip Hansen — 12 November 2024 — 3000 words — Very Long Essay
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/11/08/why-numerical-climate-models-fail-at-long-term-climate-prediction/
A long essay that refers to earlier work by the author and others. All worth reading.
My attempt at a bottom line would be this:
Numerical modeling of climate will never be successful because the results diverge wildly with time due to fundamentally irreconcilable problems.
Of particular note is the reference to earlier work that shows wild divergence in the results of a single model when inputs are varied by a trillionth of a degree.
Consider that each temperature input has a precision far less than a trillionth of a degree, and an accuracy that is worse.
Consider also, that different models not only do not use the same input data, but do not use the same physical constants in their computations.
Welcome to the “upper decks”, sir. See you on the lido Elysium extraordinaire.
Decriminalize possession of personal quantities first. Separate that debate from legalization.
Weed isn’t a harmless drug as the legalization industrial complex would have you believe.
I am surprised how many people from Texas are getting edibles from Colorado.
The druggies are claiming that half of the people in the USA are on weed or something like that.
Well, if I wanted to really be on the upper decks I would have gotten the M4 Max. Just got a little pricey.
My M2 Air worked extremely well and I had no problems with the machine. What I really wanted was the HDMI for movies in the RV. I wanted the SDXC slot as my camera memory cards can fit without a dongle. The display is a little better for dealing with pictures.
I have no regrets about the M2 Air.
And I am still encountering some settings that were not transferred by Migration Assistant.
Netflix told me that I should watch “Dexter” today so I tried the first episode. I am now on episode nine. Dexter is about a serial killer killing serial killers. I am bingeing in horrid fascination.
My experience with Scientific American was much like drwilliams. It was my go to magazine using old issues for spare time reading from junior high (1958) through grad school (1980). Subscribed for many years. Something they did turned me off and I dropped them. And didn’t even miss it when it was gone.
I’ve watched several times. And the sequel. I’m looking forward to the sequel2 and prequel.
Had a nice fire after dinner in the sopping wet fire ring. S’mores were cooked and eaten. We have an extra child with us this weekend and it’s a crazy energy when she and D1 are together…
Supposedly it’s 71F and it’s pretty damp. Clouds are thick enough to hide the moon, so no stars tonight.
————
Picked up the bed without issues although it was heavy and took a bit longer. Haven’t got it off the trailer yet though, didn’t want to mess with that in the dark or before bedtime.
————-
Saw several deer and one dashed across the road in front of me. I missed him. No venison for me this time.
Headed back down for a tiny fire and some radio time. It’ll probably be a bit chilly with the dampness.
n
SE Colorado is a day trip from Amarillo, just across the Oklahoma panhandle.
Lots of our kids’ friends’ parents make trips to CO every six months.
Bill Hader’s favorite TV show is “Forensic Files”.
I’ve been running through Season Three of “Clarkson’s Farm” after catching bits of one show in the waiting area for our tech support on campus. Anytime I go in there, the staff is running one of Jeremy Clarkson’s shows.
The episodes of “Clarkson’s Farm” featuring the saga of the pigs got really deep/dark at times.
“Bring Them Back”
https://dailytimewaster.blogspot.com/2024/11/bring-them-back.html
I had no idea that we had $500, $1,000, and $10,000 bills. We need to bring them back.
>> I’ve heard Coke products are prohibitively expensive overseas.
Pepsi too? Is it a brand thing? I can’t imagine store-brand cola being expensive.
>> I’m on hydrochlorothiazide and I have what I believe is BPH which I’m not inclined to do much about as long as the cancer markers come back negative. Of course I’m going to pee. A lot.
@Greg, have you considered/tried daily low-dose (2.5/5 mg) tadalafil for the BPH? (requisite: IANAD)
>>The one I don’t get is Dutch Bros. all of a sudden jumping 30% within the last week.
Maybe someone is going to buy them.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-dutch-bros-stock-skyrocketed-115615693.html?guccounter=1
Chilly an lots of haze/low fog…
But the radio was alive with stations, pretty much across all the bands too. Really great reception. I could probably have spent another hour tuning around, but I am pretty chilled from the damp.
Time to shower and head to bed.
n
>>Wow, that bought a lot of houses in the Hamptons and motor yachts…
Kamala Harris’ campaign eviscerated for spending $1 BILLION
AND ending the campaign $20M in debt…but Trump to the rescue!
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-teases-bailing-out-harris-campaign-debts-for-sake-of-unity-in-latest-troll
>>Sodastream has Dr. Pete. Skip the soda and just nip off the concentrate. The guy could have save at least $20k.
When the SodaStream first came out I offered to build a DIY version. W2 didn’t want to give up the kitchen cabinet space.
I always like it when the fountain is ‘off’ and my Coke comes extra-syrupy.
>> I know who should be on Trump’s first firing list.
Done: https://www.newsnationnow.com/us-news/southeast/fema-employee-fired-trump-sign/
Unless you mean Mayorkas…
>>And here is the other thing, it ain’t none of my business if you are smoking weed or hash, snorting cocaine, or shooting up heroin. It just ain’t none of my business.
Just keep any ODs out of taxpayer-supported ERs.