Sat. Dec. 9, 2023 – non-prepping hobby Christmas party…

By on December 9th, 2023 in culture, decline and fall, march to war

Cool and maybe some rain today. I would prefer no rain, but I’ll be inside so it won’t be more than an inconvenience. Rain was light and intermittent yesterday and temps were moderate. Shirtsleeves all day.

I mostly spent Friday getting stuff together for my non-prepping hobby Christmas party. I know it’s also Hanukkah, so Happy Hanukkah to our Jewish friends, but the club calls it a Christmas party, not a holiday party… and we do rent a church hall for the party. Won’t be any satanism, that is for sure. And the only jolly fat man will be one of our members.

I’m feeling just about over my cold so I won’t have any qualms about attending.

My “host” duties are actually shared with 2 other guys and will mostly be setting up the tables and buffet and getting the meat. Club buys the meat, everything else is potluck. Should be about 50-60 of us and our spouses with (I’m hoping) at least another kid or two so that my two aren’t alone. It’s a nice way to spend some time with a group I’d otherwise probably never meet. Meatspace. It’s not just what’s on the table…

It also reinforces social values, bonds, relationships, and traditions. Sharing a meal is one of the best ways to bond with other humans. Breaking bread together has a long history. Those bonds with the past and the continuity they provide are important. Increasingly so.

Community and shared interests are what is going to make the difference in the coming years. Your place in that needs to be built up, reinforced, and established. The community closes ranks against the lone wolf, the outsider, especially when times are tough. You want to be on the inside when the wagons circle. This is true even if you go to the dark side and become a bad guy when it all goes in the pot. You’ll still want the safety of a group. See? It’s universal. Good or bad. I don’t think anyone will be able to just keep to themself and sneak by.

So you might as well be proactive.

And stack of course.

nick

63 Comments and discussion on "Sat. Dec. 9, 2023 – non-prepping hobby Christmas party…"

  1. Greg Norton says:

    No freaking way.  I don’t believe that the software is there yet.

    And these bad boys are going to cost $100,000 to start. Maybe more.

    Less than salaray and benefits for a US autoworker for one year with the new contract.

    Much like with cars, automation is within reach but autonomy is a much harder problem.

    Still, I’ll believe it when I see one climb a flight of stairs using just onboard hardware/software/sensors. No cheating with a network connection.

    Then the real work begins.

  2. Greg Norton says:

    The last time we went to Costco, I was admonished at the self checkout about my Costco Visa not having a photo.

    Note to self, if I ever darken the door of Costco again, bring lots of cash.

    I wouldn’t be surprised if Costco dropped cash from standard members within the next five years.

    Barnes & Noble dabbled in that during the pandemic, but the new private equity owners realized that they could make significant gains in the Manga market over Japanese bookseller Kinokuniya’s US stores by taking cash from teenagers.

    I believe that Kinokuniya’s “no cash” policy predates the pandemic.

    Costco and Sam’s won’t flat out stop accepting cash completely since they have a lot of small business owners stocking up in the stores. 

    Plus, cash in any form is the lifeblood of Costco. Even the Prog management of the place knows they must keep the dollars flowing in any form possible as long as the payment is legal.

    Outside of WA State, Costco hasn’t been as successful controlling the public agenda.

    Inside WA State, Governor Kirkland -er- Inslee has done their bidding from Day One in office.

  3. brad says:

    Apparently, Japan has some success with very simple – but friendly looking – robots that work with Alzheimer patients. Gives the patients something to interact with. Boston dynamics has shown what is possible in terms of movement – missing is just the intelligence. Given the quality of the ChatGPT responses, in a few years I imagine they will be able to follow simple orders.

    Of course, hallucinations and misunderstandings with be even more…interesting. Instead of fetching your shoes, they try to fetch the cat. Or you tell them to put oil in the frying pan, and they grab the 10W40.

    Programming: I asked ChatGPT if a particular API function existed. It said “sure it does” and gave an example of usage. Only, nope, doesn’t seem to be such a function, though the example was exactly what usage would look like, if it did. So I asked it what library the function was defined in. The response was “oops, my bad, there really isn’t such a function.” While the first answer was a hallucination, I found the second interesting: The ability to realize that it screwed up and to correct itself.

    I now also pretty regularly ask ChatGPT random questions. You come across something, and think “I wonder…”. No need to wonder, just ask. Always in text-mode, though. Even if it wouldn’t bother other people, I find the voice interaction pretty horrible. It’s like talking to an overly-friendly call center agent, with a California accent. If I’m talking to a machine, I want it to have a neutral voice.

    I’m still using ChatGPT 3.5, because it’s free. ChatGPT 4 is supposedly even better. The open-source implementations are at least as good, and growing rapidly smaller – you can now run them on a top-end graphics card. Exciting times…

  4. SteveF says:

    missing is just the intelligence

    See also: most of the people I deal with on the unhappy occasions that I need to leave my property

  5. Greg Norton says:

    I’m still using ChatGPT 3.5, because it’s free. ChatGPT 4 is supposedly even better. The open-source implementations are at least as good, and growing rapidly smaller – you can now run them on a top-end graphics card. Exciting times…

    The models can run anywhere but more and better GPUs increase the precision of the answer.

    Right now, the H100 8 GPU board from Nvidia is the choice of anyone serious about using the tech. Got a spare $500k lying around?

    AMD just announced the MI300X 8 GPU board in an attempt to break the Nvidia stranglehold on the serious hardware, but those won’t ship until next year.

  6. MrAtoz says:

    The Japanese could have the #1 and #2 US films this weekend with “Godzilla Minus One” and “The Boy and The Heron”, what could be the actual last film from Hayao Miyazaki.

    D3 saw “Heron” and loved it. The comic book nerds on YT are loving “Godzilla”. I’ll wait until both are on the high seas.

  7. MrAtoz says:

    No freaking way.  I don’t believe that the software is there yet.

    And these bad boys are going to cost $100,000 to start. Maybe more.

    China gonna have an “idyll hands” situation that may end the country.

  8. MrAtoz says:

    D3 saw “Heron” and loved it. The comic book nerds on YT are loving “Godzilla”. I’ll wait until both are on the high seas.

    Same for “The Marvels.”

  9. Greg Norton says:

    D3 saw “Heron” and loved it. The comic book nerds on YT are loving “Godzilla”. I’ll wait until both are on the high seas.

    Same for “The Marvels.”

    Disney pulled the contractual obligation on “The Marvels” this weekend.

    Any theaters still showing the flick are either into the agenda like Alamo or have nothing better booked.

    The contract for “Godzilla” was only a week, but the major theater chains begged Toho to extend the run in the US since the major studios have nothing but garbage in the pipeline through next March, when “Dune” finally releases.

    Get woke go broke.

    On a related subject, we usually hit Alamo for geek interest flicks, but the 18% mandatory tip for the wait staff pushed the bill for popcorn and three drinks to $40 Thanksgiving night, and that was separate from the tickets. Gotta rethink Alamo.

    I don’t hit the high seas for decent flicks. Toho deserves at least the Redbox for “Godzilla”.

    $15 Million. That kind of budget doesn’t even cover the hookers and blow on the Marvel flick sets.

  10. Greg Norton says:

    $15 Million. That kind of budget doesn’t even cover the hookers and blow on the Marvel flick sets.

    The coolest flick I’ve seen in the last year. $7 million.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d2k4QAItiSA

    If you’re worried, nothing really bad happens to the girls or the little dog.

    And the girls are not Girl Bosses like Marvel.

    If you hit the high seas, make it a double feature with the director’s “Rare Exports”, a … different … look at Santa.

  11. Greg Norton says:

    Oh, and ‘tis the season if you’ve never seen this. It slipped through the cracks just before the pandemic.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6v0euRlT8U

    God bless the Scottish.

    The US will eventually figure it out … after Disney meets its well deserved fate in Bankruptcy Court.

    Maybe even criminal court if the latest rumors out of Florida are true.

  12. Ray Thompson says:

    Well, that sucks. Furnace has crapped out. Blower runs but no heat. Probably igniter or burner control valve. On a Saturday of course. Powering off for 30 seconds did nothing.

  13. Brad says:

    See also: most of the people I deal with on the unhappy occasions that I need to leave my property

    Yes.

  14. MrAtoz says:

    The coolest flick I’ve seen in the last year. $7 million.

    On my server.

    I hit Redbox a couple of times a year and rip, rip, rip. The last discs I bought were “The Last Starfighter” and the “U.F.O.” Boxed set.

    I read Go-zuh-rhla won’t stream until next year. On Disney+. That deserves an “Argh mateys” right there.

    I’ll find Rare Exports. Fair Seas.

  15. Greg Norton says:

    Well, that sucks. Furnace has crapped out. Blower runs but no heat. Probably igniter or burner control valve. On a Saturday of course. Powering off for 30 seconds did nothing.

    What? Gas furnace? Heathen!

    If you’re lucky, igniter. Unlucky would be the relay board which would come with a installed pricetag double the cost to buy from HVAC supply so the tech can give you the pitch for the credit against a new heat pump system.

    I had to spend business hours on the phone yesterday trying to get fascia board repair arranged since our roof contractor doesn’t do that and we had a big surprise happen with a chunk of fascia coming off with the gutters the other day while doing that demo ahead of the roof replacement, originally planned for next week..

    The one contractor handling facia repair who would answer the phones was p*ssed at all of the roofing contractors antics this month.

  16. Ray Thompson says:

    Unlucky would be the relay board which would come with a installed pricetag double the cost to buy from HVAC supply so the tech can give you the pitch for the credit against a new heat pump system.

    The system is 15 years old so I am not surprised a problem surfaced. The company I called is local, well known in the community. His son plays basketball and football and they know me from the sports pictures. If the problem is the control board I will have to replace the system. 

    It is a “pack” unit where everything is outside the house in one unit. Replacement involves the entire system, blower, heating and A/C. Expensive. Nothing is inside the house except ductwork. Really common around the area.

  17. EdH says:

    By the year 2025, communist China plans to unleash large number of humanoid robots, meaning robots that look and act like people but are just walking computers and circuitry

    …….

    And these bad boys are going to cost $100,000 to start. Maybe more.

    So … unskilled labor for the win?

  18. Nick Flandrey says:

    I’m up, caffeinated and fed.   It’s overcast but not actually raining.    

    One of my co-hosts has already bowed out due to last minute issues.   He’ll make the dinner but not the setup.   He was tapped for wine and flowers so nothing critical.

    ———————

    I stayed up an extra hour reading a paper book.    “Partials” by Dan Wells of “I am not a Serial Killer” fame.    I thought IANASK was more adult than young adult, so I grabbed Partials out of D2’s to be read pile.    Finally got around to starting it.   It’s a post apocalyptic novel, with teen girl hero.   Disease and a short war have killed most people, the last group is on Long Island, but for 11 years, every baby has contracted the bioweapon and died.   The local government is becoming increasingly desperate and authoritarian, there is a subversive group active, and the kids that lived thru the plague have a very different outlook than the adults…     , and so far it’s pretty good.  I got thru Part 1 last night, and I’m looking forward to Part 2.

    ————————

    Just used the online tool to find out which of our normal polling places would be open today.     I let the site “use my location”.  I has my location down to the actual house on the street.   That is much better than it used to be and scarier.

    There is a polling place about 100 yards from where we are holding our party, so if I run out of time before, I should have no trouble voting after.

    n

  19. Greg Norton says:

    Just used the online tool to find out which of our normal polling places would be open today.     I let the site “use my location”.  I has my location down to the actual house on the street.   That is much better than it used to be and scarier.

    City elections? 

    The state election giving away the surplus to the ISD pinheads was a month ago.

  20. Greg Norton says:

    $15 Million. That kind of budget doesn’t even cover the hookers and blow on the Marvel flick sets.

    When one of the Krofts passed within the last month, I began wondering who will restock the fishbowls of cocaine in their old space in Atlanta after CNN finally departs from that building the end of the year.

    Maybe CNN will take the fishbowls — if there actually are any — back to the old plantation house.

  21. Ray Thompson says:

    Inducing motor capacitor. Little blower motor that forces air through the burners. $208.00 for the service call, $129.00 because of the weekend, $79.00 for the part. Tech said I was lucky as many units such as mine the entire inducing motor assembly must be replaced. $650.00 for the part and not available on weekends. Finding the problem was easy as there is a fault code on the main board. Tech was done in less than 30 minutes including going to his shop (less than a mile) for the capacitor.

  22. Greg Norton says:

    Inducing motor capacitor. Little blower motor that forces air through the burners. $208.00 for the service call, $129.00 because of the weekend, $79.00 for the part. Tech said I was lucky as many units such as mine the entire inducing motor assembly must be replaced. $650.00 for the part and not available on weekends. Finding the problem was easy as there is a fault code on the main board. Tech was done in less than 30 minutes including going to his shop (less than a mile) for the capacitor.

    Still cheaper than a new gas furnace.

    The prices on those continue to climb as Biden begins distributing money to manufacturers to provide incentive to make more heat pumps. 

  23. Ray Thompson says:

    Still cheaper than a new gas furnace.

    Yeh, told my wife it was her Christmas present, heat in the house. I am glad there is a bed in the RV that I can use for the next 3 or 4 days.

    12
  24. drwilliams says:

    Got heat there?

  25. Ray Thompson says:

    Got heat there?

    Yep, small electric heater. Propane if necessary, with the furnace running off the battery.

  26. drwilliams says:

    Plenty of time to repent in leisure.

    4
    1
  27. paul says:

    Nice Christmas present.  Unique and not something she would buy for herself. 

  28. Greg Norton says:

    I bought a new WD Black hard drive this week for my son’s computer, and the device has been making an odd “thunk” every few seconds running Windows 10. The problem isn’t so bad under Linux, but the sound is still there.

    This is the third WD Black I’ves sent back to Newegg in the last couple of years for heat and/or noise issues when brand new, just out of the anti-static bag.

  29. Greg Norton says:

    “Grand Theft Auto Florida”

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QdBZY2fkU-0

    If you are wondering what all of the fuss is about, Netflix will have the “Grand Theft Auto III” trilogy available for all of its subscribers on mobile platforms next week.

    https://about.netflix.com/en/news/grand-theft-auto-the-trilogy-the-definitive-edition-arrives-on-netflix

    GTA isn’t for the kiddies … well, under ~ 14-15 … and if the Switch version I own is any indication, gloriously non-PC.

  30. Ray Thompson says:

    Nice Christmas present.  Unique and not something she would buy for herself.

    For her birthday I plan on getting the water heater fixed. She has been complaining about cold baths for months. And she has the nerve to say I am not thoughtful.

  31. paul says:

    And she has the nerve to say I am not thoughtful.

    For bonus points, time the water heater for Valentines.  🙂 

  32. RickH says:

    A bit of snow falling outside at the moment here in my part of the Olympic Peninsula (WA). Big flakes (globs), but they won’t stick or stay on the ground – the ground is too warm, although the current temp is 34F.

    Fun to watch from the inside.  Will turn to rain later today and throughout the week.

    Working on a program to scan a site for hacked files. A variation on a program I wrote in 2019 to stored file hashes in a database. The files will be checked for a hash change.

    My current thriller/vigilante series (“The RV Vigilante”) is in the top 1,000 of it’s categories today. Fairly steady but small sales (single digits daily), but getting revenue from ebooks and Kindle Unlimited page reads. Enough to offset the small Facebook advertising campaigns that have been running since October. 

    The “Dad Joke” books have had a few sales this week. 

    Working on the file scanning programs has distracted me from working on the fourth book of the Vigilante series. Hoping to get the first draft done by the end of the month. Having a three-book series is good for sales. Adding a fourth book will be an advantage.

  33. EdH says:

    And she has the nerve to say I am not thoughtful.

    Ray, Ray, Ray.   Do I have to spell it out for you?  OK.

    It’s not the cold showers per se, it’s about the S.H.R.I.N.K.A.G.E.

  34. Ray Thompson says:

    If you were to ask Mr. Atoz he would say I should heat the water with gas.

  35. SteveF says:

    Daughter and I moved the chicken coop and run from the yard to the patio under the deck. 4 ½ hours of work for me, about half that for her, though she stayed close and kept an eye on the chickens, running free, while I did something or other that I didn’t need help on. I may put up pictures anon. Of the completed setup, not video of the operation in progress; the latter would be too humiliating as it showed us maneuvering the partially collapsed run onto the patio, discovering we’d put it in wrong way first, and having to fight to get it back out and in the right way. And doing a couple things out of order, resulting in a fair amount of difficulty in doing a step which would have been trivially easy if done first. And…

    The birds were somewhat confused by it all, especially when it was done (for now) and I told them “go home!” They’re half-trained to go into the run if they’re running loose and I shoo them toward the run while telling them to go home. But today the run isn’t where it was! What to do? They figured it out eventually with a bit of arm waving and other guidance, except for the black hen, who is dim even by chicken standards. I had to resort to holding up The Broom to chivvy her in the right direction, even with the other birds all in the run. They’re now keeping themselves busy by scratching at the straw which I put over the cardboard, which is over the stone. They may eventually realize that there are no grubs to be found. Maybe. Wouldn’t bet on it.

    I still need to put up something to block wind. Probably cardboard, wired to the west side of the run. No real hurry, as weather should be mild for a few more days. Similarly, I’ll probably place a layer of cardboard around the coop walls as best I can. They’re solid enough but the wood is thin.

    Running a wall of chicken wire along the deck’s support posts would have been much easier, but I couldn’t figure out how to make a door. I thought about taking the front off of the run but decided that it would be more work than it was worth, to remove and attach to a post and something on the wall side, and fill in gaps above. In retrospect, I think this would have been the better approach.

    Daughter’s exhausted and passed out after getting a shower. She did manage to put her clothes in the washer and get a glass of water. We both needed showers, preferably with bleach or other strong disinfectant. Not because of sweat; it’s warm for December just south of the Adirondacks but not warm by any other standard. No, the need for cleansing came from a different source. We came into more contact with chicken poop, dirty straw, and mud mixed with poop than we really would have preferred. As for the exhaustion, though, I’ve noticed that many times over the years, that very few of the younger generation have any staying power, not even high school athletes. Sure, they can run a mile faster than I can (no big achievement, as my knees, ankle, and hip are damaged enough that I don’t run if I don’t have to) but when it comes to doing yard work and moving furniture and stacking boxes and other chores for hours, even a seemingly fit young man craps out. Heck, even walking around the county fair a few months ago, the three teens I took were really tired and just wanted to go home by mid-afternoon, even though I got them plenty of food and made sure they drank and I was carrying everything. All they had to do was walk around, go on rides, and eat. Sure, anecdote vs data, but this matches what many others are seeing.

  36. drwilliams says:

    @SteveF

    “I still need to put up something to block wind. Probably cardboard, wired to the west side of the run. No real hurry, as weather should be mild for a few more days. Similarly, I’ll probably place a layer of cardboard around the coop walls as best I can. They’re solid enough but the wood is thin.”

    what, no tasteful blue tarp?

  37. SteveF says:

    No matter what you do, tarps flap and pop. I’d rather cut down on the disturbances to the poor, precious birdies, especially at night. I’ll get some big pieces of cardboard, poke small holes near the edges, and attach them to the run with baling wire. If that doesn’t work, -shrug- I’ll figure something else out. I’m a hillbilly and and engineer. This will not defeat me!

  38. paul says:

    Perhaps tarp over the cardboard?  Or trash bags duct taped as needed to keep the cardboard dry.  

    Ideal would be that plastic translucent cardboard looking stuff.  No blue tarps needed to class it up.

    As for baling wire, the stuff I’ve seen is a pain to work with.  Now, electric fence wire is easier.  There are two gauges.  The smaller size is easy to work with and pretty cheap. 

  39. SteveF says:

    I’m not worried about the cardboard getting wet. The chicken run is now below our deck, fully covered. There’ll probably be some moisture hitting the front of the run over the next five months, but shouldn’t be enough to weaken it.

    As for baling wire vs other wires, I was using “baling wire” as an imprecise term. It was the stuff that wrapped the rolls of chicken wire. I carefully unwound it and spooled it and have been using it to build the run and whenever I need to put the chicken wire up around the garden or what-not.

  40. paul says:

    It was the stuff that wrapped the rolls of chicken wire.

    Ah, that’s good stuff. 

  41. SteveF says:

    One of the hens was sitting on the roof of the coop, making the “where is everyone?” call. They’d all gone inside, what with it getting dark and chilly. Was she confused by the new location or the new smells? Just having a spasm in her tiny little chicken brain? I picked her up to put her on the ground next to the ramp up to the coop. She was fine with being grabbed until her feet were in the air, then she panicked. Eventually settled down enough to realize, Oh, hey, I recognize that ramp! Let’s go up to the place where we sleep!

    FYI, if anyone ever calls you a chickenhead or compares your intellect to a chicken’s, even if it’s a comparison in your favor, you are not being complimented.

    10
  42. drwilliams says:

    @SteveF

    I’ll get some big pieces of cardboard, poke small holes near the edges, and attach them to the run with baling wire.

    A good wind will worry the wire right through the cardboard.

    If you put a piece of lath on the outside edges of the cardboard and tie it to the chickenwire (twist it tight), the cardboard will be sandwiched inside and less likely to tear. Easiest to fold a couple inches of cardboard around one end and hit it with a staple gun. if you do both ends measure twice of the lath will not line up with the chicken wire.

    Sam’s and Costco discard a lot of 40×48 pallet slip sheets. If you ask one of the helpful employees they often have a stack in the back. Otherwise a slow run through the aisle with detergent products will often yield a couple that can be liberated by shifting a few boxes. For your application look for the double-thickness sheets. I’m not a hillbilly, but I am a dumpster diver.

    I consider having a dozen of these in the garage a no-cost prep. I always use one under a vehicle for an oil change. (When I started changing oil in high school I was taught to use cardboard and told to always check that the o-ring came off with the old filter. I missed once about 15 years ago and had oil leaking when I started up with the cardboard still under to check for leaks. Caught most of it, and I could hear my dad chuckling). Also good for fabbing shipping boxes. (I did one this morning for an order. Full product box was 23x11x7 = 1771 cubic inches. A cubic foot is 1728, so dimensional weight was going to suck. Since I was shipping a bit less than half the contents I cut a box 23x6x6, folded it up, and glued the edge flap. )

    Another source of good cardboard coming up is those boxes for the new 60, 80, 100-inch and up tvs for Christmas. Take a drive on trash day with an empty pickup and you should find a few.

    ADDED COMMENT:
    Wire in general is a prep. Lots of odds and ends out there for free. Designate a bin or box and make neat rolls before you toss it in.

  43. ITGuy1998 says:

    The third Doctor Who special that premiered today…why? No spoilers, but so much that is just useless. And I don’t like the new Doctor. I’m done (again) unless they bring back River somehow, or Amelia Pond.

  44. Greg Norton says:

    The third Doctor Who special that premiered today…why? No spoilers, but so much that is just useless. And I don’t like the new Doctor. I’m done (again) unless they bring back River somehow, or Amelia Pond.

    Ingrid Oliver as Patronella Osgood being MIA at UNIT was the big surprise to me.

    Yes, I know. Missy offed “Osgood”, but was it the Zygon or the actual Osgood?

    Oliver was on “Beyond Paradise” last season. Otherwise, she was available.

    The point was to amp up the gay. Once Disney got involved, reshoots were ordered.

  45. Nick Flandrey says:

    Did my party, voted, came home.   Not much activity at the polling place.  I hope to gnu that the numbers outweigh the cheat.

    Good times with friends and fellow enthusiasts.    I ended up with several pounds of meat as leftovers.  Just ate two pulled pork sandwiches.     I came home, unloaded the stuff, and crashed from the pumpkin and pecan pies I ate…

    It’s windy, with a spattering of rain drops, and has been for a while.  It’s almost like the drops are just blown off the trees, nothing steady or like real rain.

    Dog is climbing all over me looking for pulled pork drippings or !!!!best thing ever!!!! actual shreds of meat….  I got nothing for you, you little beggar.    We are not at home to beggars.  I will skitch your ears, because they are soft and floppy….

    ———-

    @drwilliams, that is good advice about the cardboard sheets from the pallets.   I saw them but didn’t think to grab some.   I have made all kinds of things out of the rigid board they use for dunnage, it’s two sheets of kraft paper with a hexagonal pattern of paper material in between.   It’s rigid but crushes, cuts easily with a knife, tapes or glues together…   I’ve  enclosed pallets of enet switches with it for shipping, built Halloween decorations, a wendy house for the kids… all kinds of stuff and it was free!   Uline.com sells it too but it isn’t cheap.

    Time for some quick auction bids, some youtube, and bed…

    n

  46. Nick Flandrey says:

    The point was to amp up the gay. Once Disney got involved, reshoots were ordered.  

    –dam, how could it get more ghey than a bi Captn Jack and the Dr as a love interest?  That was what? 15 years ago?   No thanks

    n

  47. RickH says:

    Had a power outage this evening – probably caused by wind and tree branches. Lasted about an hour, so didn’t fire up the generator. Typical this time of year. 

    I was sitting in my power recliner (as usual) when the lights blinked a couple of times then went dark. Didn’t have a FLASHLIGHT handy, but the phone FLASHLIGHT worked after I maneuvered myself out of the recliner. Used that to turn on the two large  Coleman-style LED lamps to provide some light.  They were in the Den and Living room, where we spend most of our time.

    Then found a FLASHLIGHT nearby to save phone battery (although it was at 70% charge). Had to dig around for the LED headlamp – it was out in the car in one of the tool bags. Handy thing.  

    I have two of them (one was in the car; the other might be there also, but not sure). Decided that I needed to have some more in the ‘stack’. So ordered these 

    UUYEE Headlamp Rechargeable 3Pack, LED Headlamp Flashlight with Motion Sensor, 230° COB Wide Beam Head Lamp, 5Mode Head Lights for Forehead Waterproof, Bright Headlamps  Link . A 3 pack for $22.00.

    Then, because you can never have too many FLASHLIGHT , decided that two 2-packs of this one should be ordered. 

    LED Tactical Flashlights Rechargeable, Super Bright 10000 Lumens Flashlight High Lumen(for Camping and Emergency) with Flashlight Carrying Case,Zoomable,Waterproof, 5 Mode. Link .  Each $26. Ordered two. They come in a case with charging cords. 

    All are USB chargeable. Don’t come with a charger, but there’s many of those scattered around the house. Prime shipping will have everything here by Monday.

    I also ordered these wall emergency lights earlier today 

    Eton American Red Cross Blackout Buddy Swivel Emergency Flashlight (Pack of 3) Link . One three-pack = $20.

    I have had similar ones for several years, but they aren’t holding a charge, so decided to replace them.

    So, minor prepping fail. Took a couple of minutes to find the FLASHLIGHTs, although there are several other places where they are stashed around the house. Probably one or two in the side table next to me. And several are in the car. The ordered items will be better placed. And putting them in new places will refresh my memory of where they are. 

     Until they aren’t where I think they are, I guess.

  48. drwilliams says:

    There are some packing materials that I grab and stash. Chinese cardboard is crap, but other countries make some good stuff that is darned near waterproof. 

    I keep any bubble wrap, and have a local source for a special high-strength version that is used to wrap some personal watercraft made in SE Asia. About ten years ago I stopped to get some and they were out. A high-density polyurethane foam had been substituted on a shipment. I took a couple rolls and went back a week or so later after I realized what high-end stuff it was, but it was long gone. 

  49. Lynn says:

    Oh, and ‘tis the season if you’ve never seen this. It slipped through the cracks just before the pandemic.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6v0euRlT8U

    God bless the Scottish.

    I hate musicals.

  50. Lynn says:

    “Embarrassed Experts Flip-Flop, Now Warn: “Will Snow More Heavily In Coming Years”!”

        https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/12/08/embarrassed-experts-flip-flop-now-warn-will-snow-more-heavily-in-coming-years/

    “Don’t be surprised by all the surprise. After all, global warming-obsessed climatologists and media told us back in 2020 that snow and frost would be rare – a thing of the past!”

    “Now with the heavy, record snowfall, global warming astrologists are looking a bit foolish and embarrassed. Their predictions are wrong. Already in November snow arrived and record amounts have already fallen, like in Munich. This has sent the media scrambling for an explanation, and they have concocted one, reports German news magazine FOCUS. Here’s the explanation:”

    Experts agree: Heavy snowfall is a sign of climate change!”

    When the prophets are wrong, they are not prophets.   They are devils.

  51. Ken Mitchell says:

    The climate is ALWAYS changing, in cycles a thousand years long. We’re pretty close to the peak of this cycle, and I expect the next change will be heading colder. I would expect distinctly cooler temps by 2050 or so, and I’m glad I won’t be around for them.

  52. drwilliams says:

    “When the prophets are wrong, they are not prophets.   They are devils.”

    Self-proclaimed experts that tout their infallibility and conspire to exclude dissenting opinions should be stripped of their titles and positions and banned from any similar position.

    Unless, of course, I get to be dictator for 30 days in which case I will start with Fire and Ice Protocol.

    Fire would use a mechanism to feed them one-by-one into the focus of a refurbished Solar One.

    Ice would send them headfirst down a large borehole in the Greenland icecap.

  53. Lynn says:

    If you hit the high seas, make it a double feature with the director’s “Rare Exports”, a … different … look at Santa.

    Just watched that on Peacock.  Also on Tubi for free.  That has got to be the weirdest Christmas Horror movie that I have seen.

    I prefer Mel Gibson’s Santa Movie, Fatman.  Also on Peacock.  Rated R for Real Good.

        https://www.imdb.com/title/tt10310140/

  54. Lynn says:

    “CDC Director Issues New Covid Alert, Urges Americans to Wear Masks (VIDEO)”

       https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2023/12/cdc-director-issues-new-covid-alert-urges-americans/

    “Here we go. It must be election season!

    CDC Director Dr. Mandy Cohen issued a new alert for the COVID “Pirola” variant and recommended for those who are feeling symptoms to mask up.

    “Respiratory viruses commonly cause illness such as flu, COVID-19, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), especially in the fall and winter. There are actions you can take to protect yourself and others. Learn about how to reduce your risk of getting sick from these viruses, and if they are spreading in your community,” the CDC stated.

    The CDC issued an updated COVID alert on Friday.”
     

    You have got to be kidding me.  I remember when the CDC was concerned about USA citizens.  I remember standing in line for my Polio sugar cube and my smallpox injection.  Those were worthwhile vaccines.

  55. drwilliams says:

    @Ken Mitchell

    The climate is ALWAYS changing, in cycles a thousand years long. We’re pretty close to the peak of this cycle, and I expect the next change will be heading colder. I would expect distinctly cooler temps by 2050 or so, and I’m glad I won’t be around for them.

    There are many cycles that affect climate, ranging from a few years to 100,000 years. Most of these are not well-understood, making prediction difficult. Our understanding is severely limited by the short history of observations and the recent use of politically driven computer modeling as a substitute. 

    EPAs Own Data Shows Only 19% of All Climate Stations Reported Warming Since 1948

    https://hotair.com/headlines/2023/12/02/epas-own-data-shows-only-19-of-all-climate-stations-reported-warming-since-1948-n596149

  56. drwilliams says:

    “I remember when the CDC was concerned about USA citizens.”

    Elect Trump and the CDC goes to prison.

  57. Alan says:

    “Leave the World Behind”

    Sam Esmail’s take on TEOTWAWKI, just released on the ‘Red N.’

    https://youtu.be/cMVBi_e8o-Y

    Semi-spoiler…

    .

    .

    .

    The book was better.

  58. Greg Norton says:

    “Here we go. It must be election season!

    CDC Director Dr. Mandy Cohen issued a new alert for the COVID “Pirola” variant and recommended for those who are feeling symptoms to mask up.

    Diwali was Nov. 12. Thanksgiving a little over a week later. Incubation is about two weeks …

    Rinse. Repeat. Every year it is the same thing.

  59. Lynn says:

    “Leave the World Behind”

    Sam Esmail’s take on TEOTWAWKI, just released on the ‘Red N.’

    https://youtu.be/cMVBi_e8o-Y

    Semi-spoiler…

    .

    .

    .

    The book was better.

    It was ok.  A lot of mechanical acting.  Julia Roberts looked weird.  Old.

  60. drwilliams says:

    The HotAir link above is basically a quote from:

    EPA: Few Stations Show Increase in Hot Days (07.14.2023)

    https://co2coalition.org/2023/07/14/epa-few-stations-show-increase-in-hot-days/

    I commend your attention to the map you will find there–blue triangles represent stations reporting fewer cold days, and orange triangles represent stations reporting more hot days, with the size of the triangle indicating the largest change.

    Now note the cluster of four large triangles–two blue and two orange–one of which is most certainly Tallahassee, Fl, and the rest within 150 miles.

    Climate models are based on dividing the earth into a two-dimensional grid, with each piece called a “grid cell”. The standard size of a grid cell is 500km (300miles) square. One claim is that one observation in a grid cell is sufficient to represent the entire cell. 

    Take a look at those four triangles around Tallahassee, and ask yourself if one of those stations accurately represents the changes since 1948? Which one?

    (There’s another interesting cluster around New Orleans–3 large blue triangles and one large orange triangle, again within 150 miles)

    And note that the big orange triangles are about 22 of 203 stations, whereas the big blue triangles are about 17 of 329, and 534 stations show no change. It’s not just that only 19% show warming–31% show cooling.

    I haven’t dug out the source of the data, which is always suspect with the global warming zealots “adjusting” the historical official as-measured temperature record in the back room with no standards and no oversight, with the bulk of the adjustments cooling the past to make any warming greater.

  61. Nick Flandrey says:

    Election worker was wearing a very sophisticated N95 mask.  Form fitting, several different planes joining together.  Hope they aren’t using agents at polling places to spread something that she didn’t want herself.   

    How crazy is it that I can even type that line?
     

    n

  62. brad says:

    Election worker was wearing a very sophisticated N95 mask.  Form fitting, several different planes joining together.  Hope they aren’t using agents at polling places to spread something that she didn’t want herself.   

    How crazy is it that I can even type that line?

    That’s conspiracy theory lunacy. Don’t go there.

    There are enough things that really are messed up. It’s important to be able to differentiate between realistic potential problems and tin-foil stuff.

    2
    1
  63. SteveF says:

    That’s conspiracy theory lunacy. Don’t go there.

    There are enough things that really are messed up. It’s important to be able to differentiate between realistic potential problems and tin-foil stuff.

    Mm-hmm. That’s exactly the kind of thing I’d expect a glowie to say.

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