Sat. Oct. 15, 2022 – home after all

Cool, damp, and warming later.  Sun most likely.   Like yesterday.  Sun was burning through the truck window (radiant heat) but the air was pretty cool until later in the day.  Sunny all day.  Nice night at 72F, but a bit damp.

Spent the day out and about after doing auction stuff.   Had a two hour power outage, preceded by short outages and flickering.   We never had outages without hurricanes when I moved to this house in 2008.  Now they are far too frequent.   I think it’s another example of the deteriorating conditions around us, and it exposed an issue with my UPS setup in my office that I have to get straightened out.

Child was feeling better in the afternoon.  Fever had broken, and she ate a bit.   Still watched TV when I told her not to.  Brat.   If D2 doesn’t develop any symptoms, she’s got a sleepover at a friend’s house tonight.

I’m going to be  doing normal stuff, and getting a lot of my Halloween stuff set up.   I don’t want to wait for the last days, because those will be filled with getting the more fragile stuff set up.   Gotta get the general stuff out now.  If feels like I waited too long as it is.

Sunday I need to pull a bunch of canned goods to take to the BOL.   I’ve been holding back because we’re doing the work, and have stuff everywhere, but it’s not a good retreat until it is stocked.   I will feel better when I’ve moved a bunch more stuff there.  I’ll take half the OTC drugs and medical supplies too.  Lots of duplication here that could be spread out to there…

So look at your situation, and re-stack as needed.   Or stack some more.  Because everything is changing except man’s nature.  It’s reasserting itself, red in tooth and claw.

nick

42 Comments and discussion on "Sat. Oct. 15, 2022 – home after all"

  1. Greg Norton says:

    Oh, what joy !  Windows Update wants to install Windows 11 Update 22H2 on my office PC.

    I will pass for now.

    I’m cleaning out the C: drive on my primary desktop with the goal of swapping motherboards and running Windows 11 triple booting with the Linux distros and Windows 10. My concern is how truly “unstable” the OS will be – language from Redmond — without Secure Boot. I already learned that 11 is very unhappy without the TPM.

    I’m not in a big hurry. I’d like to play with Docker Windows Containers – Hot Skillz! – and see if Microsoft and Apple have really settled their differences with regard to integrating iCloud photos with the Photos app in Windows 11. Otherwise, I use the Windows partitions for Quicken and a few games.

    I still believe Windows 11 was for Hollywood, but Disney and Warner need the Torrent traffic right now so the Windows display driver hole which enables streaming service piracy remains.

    Discovery Media is probably kicking themselves over the decision not to have “House of Dragons” DVDs ready for Christmas. Tom Cruise will have his on shelves Nov. 1.

  2. MrAtoz says:

    Off to Vegas tomorrow for a two-day mega bingo at the Red Rock casino. Wish me luck winning the $100,000 “big one” so I can afford that new Ford Bronco Raptor. Enough left over to eat for a month.

  3. Ray Thompson says:

    Off to the local small town festival. The October Sky Festival. Aptly named after the movie that was filmed in the town and surrounding area. I know several people that were extras in the movie.

    Typical small town festival. Lots of craft booths, some commercial stuff, car show, tractor show, food trucks, local musicians (Janelle Arthur is from here), and a rocket launch.

    I have been to several small town festivals, generally enjoyable. The Moon Pie festival featuring synchronized wading. The cornbread festival. The tomato festival featuring a massive tomato fight. The biscuit festival.

  4. Nick Flandrey says:

    I missed the two festivals in the towns nearest to the BOL.  Wanted to go, but had to be home.

    73F and SATURATED this sunny morning.   Time to make the donuts.

    n

  5. EdH says:

    @Ray: Sounds like a nice little festival!

  6. Nick Flandrey says:

    It’s a big club, and you ain’t  in it.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/atlanta-fed-president-reveals-five-years-trading-violations-claims-he-didnt-understand 

    The chairwoman of the Atlanta Fed’s board, Elizabeth Smith, said the board had accepted Bostic’s explanation and that the directors were confident Mr. Bostic hadn’t sought to profit from any private policy-setting deliberations.

    “We are satisfied with his revised financial disclosures and the changes he has made in managing his investments,” Smith said in a statement released Friday. “The board is also satisfied that President Bostic has established procedures to ensure that future violations do not occur.”

    –note that they did NOT say “despite this incredible revelation, wherein he admitted not understanding the most basic requirements of his position, we believe him to be competent and capable of discharging his professional duties.”

    Probably because he isn’t, and never has been.

    n

  7. Nick Flandrey says:

    Author is a bit late to the party, but the MSM is finally catching on…

    Latest Supply Chain Crisis Could Threaten Global Stash Of Food, Energy

    Mighty Mississippi is running dry… and barges can’t move.

    n

  8. Greg Norton says:

    It’s a big club, and you ain’t  in it.

    Plus, Atlanta and black. United Way involvement doesn’t hurt.

    Degrees in Economics from Harvard and Stanford. Yeah, I’m not buying that he didn’t know.

    I know people who work in positions in the financial industry who aren’t supposed to trade outside of mutual funds, but the pandemic has allowed them to work at home and run another laptop during business hours for daytrading stocks. The regulatory apparatus hasn’t caught up because everyone at the SEC is … working from home!

    Probably daytrading too.

  9. Nick Flandrey says:

    Yeah, he’s a lying liar that lies, but also probably a check box hire, so dumb enough to think he could get away with it.

    n

  10. Greg Norton says:

    Yeah, he’s a lying liar that lies, but also probably a check box hire, so dumb enough to think he could get away with it.

    The arrogance combined with the stupidity prevents us from having another Dem black male Jesus Candidate for President for at least another generation. Benny Crump’s sock puppet in Florida, Andrew Gillum, was the closest they got for 2024/28.

    As for the women, it looks like Stacey Abrams is going to lose in Georgia. That is if the Republicans in that state actually vote instead of waiting for “revolution”.

    10 points in the AJC poll? Republicans, you have no excuse.

  11. lpdbw says:

    Yeah, he’s a lying liar that lies, but also probably a check box hire, so dumb enough to think he could get away with it.

    How dumb is he?  He got away with it, didn’t he?

  12. Nick Flandrey says:

    He got away with it, didn’t he?

    – point, but it hasn’t finished playing out yet.     His odds are good, considering that nothing serious happened to the other Fed guys that did the same thing.    And he’s a protected class, twice or thrice over.

    Doesn’t take brains, just cunning and willingness, and people to cover for you when you get caught.

    n

  13. Nick Flandrey says:

    I’ll point out that Daily Mail now ranks as one of the most viewed news sources in America, I think mainly because of stuff like this…

    Creepy Joe strikes again! Biden sneaks up behind girl, grabs her shoulders and tells her ‘no serious guys until you’re 30’ – as the uncomfortable teen tries to laugh it off

    President Joe Biden was speaking at a community college in California on Friday when he was seen grabbing a girl by the shoulder as he gave her some unsolicited dating advice, left. After posing for a photo, he told the girl to not have any serious boyfriends until she was 30. The girl appeared disturbed at both the comment and the president’s actions but managed to laugh it off. Biden has a history of making eyebrow-raising remarks about girls and women. He has also been photographed kissing girls on the head and seemingly sniffing women’s hair. In 2019, Biden released a statement saying he ‘does not believe’ he has ever acted inappropriately. He added it has never been his intention to make anyone uncomfortable. Other notable incidents are seen, top right in 2015, then-Vice President Biden leant in to say something to Maggie Coons, daughter of Sen. Chris Coons. Bottom right in 2015, Biden was pictured placing his hands and whispering in the ear of Stephanie Carter, wife of then-defense secretary Ashton Carton.

    and partly because of the swimsuits, camel toe, and celebrity news…of course.

    n

  14. Nick Flandrey says:

    The falling price of space flight combined with the commercialisation of rockets is seeing more satellites put into low-earth orbit than ever before. One industry that has taken a particular interest in spaceflight is internet services, and SpaceX and OneWeb have been competing heavily to provide satellite internet to the masses.

    –oh really?  Never heard of “oneweb”.  How many satellites do they have on orbit?  How many subscribers?  how long is their waiting list?

    ah, now I see, not actually a competitor of starlink

    . OneWeb, which launched its first internet-broadcasting satellites in early 2019, currently has about 428 satellites in orbit out of the 648 it plans to have as part of its constellation and has so far cut deals focusing on acting as a provider for governments and other businesses like AT&T.

    Amazon’s low Earth orbit satellite internet venture Project Kuiper has booked 83 launch flights over a five-year period to deliver its planned constellation of 3,236 satellites but hasn’t launched any yet. SpaceX Starlink, by comparison, has already launched thousands of satellites, has over 250,000 subscribers, and is offering high-speed internet service in dozens of countries with multiple service options right now.

    –and amazon hasn’t finished building their satellites, nor has their launch provider finished the launch vehicle… which has never flown anyway.

    So saying something like “Satellite companies OneWeb and Eutelsat have agreed to a $3.4 billion merger to create a player in global internet connections that competes with SpaceX’s Starlink and Amazon’s Kuiper”  is a complete falsehood, as none of those companies COMPETE with starlink.   One has a few satellites and some .biz and .co customers, one hasn’t ever flown anything.

    Eutelsat chairman Dominique D’Hinnin said in a press release. “This combination will accelerate the commercialisation of OneWeb’s fleet, while enhancing the attractiveness of Eutelsat’s growth profile.”

    so it looks like an admission that the merger, and OneWeb, are a way to actually USE some sats that are already in GEO but not finding customers, and a stock play- by bringing in the new sexy internet guys to pump up the stock price.   Since the shareholders in the mostly  vaporware OneWeb end up owning 50% of the existing telcom sat company, something looks rotten to me.

    Interesting in light of Musk’s comments that his goal with Starlink is firstly not to go broke.

    n

    https://www.theverge.com/2022/7/26/23279205/satellite-internet-oneweb-eutelsat-starlink-project-kuiper-competition 

  15. Nick Flandrey says:

    And just for fun, because paypal is in the news, and the only crypto I have is in my paypal account, I’ve apparently lost ~60% of my experiment with crypto.  I’m down $250 according to their tool.

    In a rising market, everyone finds it easy to make money.   In a falling market, only the big boys have the tools and info to profit, and damn few of them manage it.

    n

  16. RickH says:

    I installed Windows 11 Update 22H2 on my laptop earlier this week. No issues. As usual.

  17. Alan says:

    >> It’s a big club, and you ain’t  in it.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/atlanta-fed-president-reveals-five-years-trading-violations-claims-he-didnt-understand 

    In other words, the first black and openly gay president of the Atlanta Fed was violating pretty much every rule in the book. His excuse? It was “inadvertent.”

    So, “But officer, it was inadvertent that I was doing 95 mph. Let’s revise it to 65 and I’ll be on my way, cool?” should work for me, right? But no, not “entitled.”

    And I haven’t seen any specifics as to how much his ‘ill-gotten gains’ amount to…nor any offer to return any of them.

    Politically ambitious too…so might as well get ahead of the curve and make this old news in the future.

    From Wikipedia:

    Political future
    Throughout his career, Bostic has been mentioned as a potential nominee for a variety of roles in the federal government. In November 2020, Bostic was named as a potential candidate for Secretary of the Treasury in the then-upcoming Biden Administration, a position that ultimately went to Janet Yellen.[10]

    In August 2021, Bostic was mentioned as a contender for the position of Comptroller of the Currency. He has recently been mentioned as a possible replacement for Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve.[11]

  18. Greg Norton says:

    Interesting in light of Musk’s comments that his goal with Starlink is firstly not to go broke.

    Musk proposed a settlement to end the war which sounded a lot like something Dr. Pournelle would have come up with, including letting the Russians keep The Crimea. The Ukrainians and their supporters weren’t happy and cr*pped all over The Real Life Tony Stark (TM) on social media.

    Musk and Pournelle had a running friendly disagreement about SSTO vs. TSTO, but Musk obviously read a few Chaos Manor columns.

  19. Alan says:

    >> Interesting in light of Musk’s comments that his goal with Starlink is firstly not to go broke.

    Hey, @lynn, any progress getting Starlink in your office?

  20. Alan says:

    “Deleted” from the internet, sure, right…

    https://twitchy.com/dougp-3137/2022/10/15/rolling-stone-reporter-deletes-tweet-calling-john-fettermans-wife-the-de-facto-candidate-in-pa/

    Let’s see if there’s any simulcast of the debate on the 25th .

  21. Alan says:

    >> Creepy Joe strikes again! Biden sneaks up behind girl, grabs her shoulders and tells her ‘no serious guys until you’re 30’ – as the uncomfortable teen tries to laugh it off

    Missed one…

    Camera allegedly captures President Joe Biden catching a quick sniff

  22. EdH says:

    The Ukrainians and their supporters weren’t happy and cr*pped all over The Real Life Tony Stark (TM) on social media.
     

    Pretty stupid of them to mess with a supporter during an existential war for survival.  

    Even if you don’t agree with his plan you could say so politely. Or walk it back, they had time.

    4
    1
  23. Greg Norton says:

    And just for fun, because paypal is in the news, and the only crypto I have is in my paypal account, I’ve apparently lost ~60% of my experiment with crypto.  I’m down $250 according to their tool.

    In a rising market, everyone finds it easy to make money.   In a falling market, only the big boys have the tools and info to profit, and damn few of them manage it.

    Nvidia isn’t firing on all cylinders right now. Prices aren’t headed where the market would like except for the 4GB and lower cards, which are useless for mining.

  24. drwilliams says:

    Irans-security-forces-caught-on-video-sexually-assaulting-women-protesters

    https://legalinsurrection.com/2022/10/irans-security-forces-caught-on-video-sexually-assaulting-women-protesters/

    Creepy Joe desperately wants to do a deal with Iran. Birds of a feather?

  25. drwilliams says:

    Musk proposed a settlement to end the war which sounded a lot like something Dr. Pournelle would have come up with, including letting the Russians keep The Crimea. The Ukrainians and their supporters weren’t happy and cr*pped all over The Real Life Tony Stark (TM) on social media.

    The looters get no jail time and can keep their stolen shiitte, as long as they promise not to get caught again.

    Sounds like a Democratic proposal.

  26. Ray Thompson says:

    installed Windows 11 Update 22H2 on my laptop earlier this week. No issues

    Won‘t install for either one of my systems. Not offered in Windows update. So I tried to force the update. No go. Got an error that is worthless and the update reverted. This was on my Surface, a Microsoft product. Research seems to indicate it is a problem with an audio driver.

  27. Lynn says:

    So look at your situation, and re-stack as needed.   Or stack some more.  Because everything is changing except man’s nature.  It’s reasserting itself, red in tooth and claw.

    I keep on stacking and we keep on using it all up.  I stack what we use.

  28. drwilliams says:

    Lawless mob in Tennessee!

    Pelosi and Cheney vow to investigate orange-wearing insurrectionists for ties to Trump!

  29. drwilliams says:

    So look at your situation, and re-stack as needed.   Or stack some more.  Because everything is changing except man’s nature.  It’s reasserting itself, red in tooth and claw.

    “I keep on stacking and we keep on using it all up.  I stack what we use.”

    Just rotated some Quaker Oatmeal Squares with Best By Sept 2021. Stored in original package in a/c. No discernible difference from just-purchased box.

  30. Lynn says:

    “CISG”

        https://areaocho.com/cisg/

    “Larry Correia introduced us to the common Internet S*** Gibbon. I will allow his description to speak for itself.”

    “Their bulls*** is endless. Your time is not. So when you discover that you’ve got a CISG infestation, the best bet is to just mock them until you get bored, and then block them.”

    Yup.

  31. Lynn says:

    >> Interesting in light of Musk’s comments that his goal with Starlink is firstly not to go broke.

    Hey, @lynn, any progress getting Starlink in your office?

    I’ve got Dishy McFlatface set up in the foyer.   I just need to install it and run the wire through the attic to my equipment room but it has been so hot that I am not interested.  Hopefully next weekend.

  32. Lynn says:

    “Real Goal of the Alex Jones Judgement”

        https://areaocho.com/real-goal-of-the-alex-jones-judgement/

    “Alex Jones has to pay $1 billion. He says he will fight, delay, and appeal for years. In any case, he is likely done. Still, the reason for what was done to him is apparent to anyone paying attention. Just look at this article from the Guardian: Only proper online regulation can stop poisonous conspiracists like Alex Jones and by Alex Jones, they mean anyone on the right, including and especially Donald Trump. I quote:”

    “You get that? They consider censorship like Russia, China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, the EU, and the UK are preferable to the freedom to say what you think. That is the lesson of Alex Jones: shut up, peasant. Silencing the opposition, it’s what every communist revolution needs to do.”

  33. EdH says:

    Just rotated some Quaker Oatmeal Squares with Best By Sept 2021. Stored in original package in a/c. No discernible difference from just-purchased box.
     

    In defense of the just purchased cardboard box: it probably wasn’t supposed to be edible!

  34. EdH says:

    Craigslist issue of the day: returning listings from over 200 miles away!  Sacramento showing listing in Orange County, for example. 
     

    I have fiddled with filters, it doesn’t seem to help much. 
     

    I noticed they were rolling a new version out a few weeks ago, the San Francisco Bay Area has had differences from the rest of the state for a while for a while.  Looks like it’s not quite ready for prime time. 

  35. Lynn says:

    “SpaceX stacks Starship and Super Heavy on launch pad ahead of orbital test flight (photos)”

       https://www.space.com/spacex-starship-stacked-october-2022-photos?utm_campaign=58E4DE65-C57F-4CD3-9A5A-609994E2C5A9

    “Ship 24 was stacked onto Booster 7 using SpaceX’s “chopsticks” system on the Starbase launch tower, forming the full 395-foot-tall (120 meters) Starship system.”

    “Ship 24 and Booster 7 are slated to launch on the first-ever Starship orbital flight, which could take place as early as next month.”

    Whoa, I had no idea they were almost ready for an orbital test of Starship and its Booster.

  36. Alan says:

    >> Just rotated some Quaker Oatmeal Squares with Best By Sept 2021. Stored in original package in a/c. No discernible difference from just-purchased box.

    No difference in taste, definite difference in price!

  37. Greg Norton says:

    I had some science experiment time today so I learned how to convert ISO images to Docker images.

    Linux Mint running under Windows works, but the resulting Docker image is 5 GB.

    Hot Skillz!

  38. Greg Norton says:

    Whoa, I had no idea they were almost ready for an orbital test of Starship and its Booster.

    They’ve been close to ready since July, when we went out there. I believe the Feds approval of the site is the reason the rocket isn’t flying.

    As for regular passenger service, Boca Chica is not even close to being ready.

    The dolphin watching cruises out of South Padre Island offer excellent views of the facility, and I imagine that the campground at the tip of the island would be a great place to view a launch.

    It is a haul to go down there, however. Figure two hours solid drive south from Corpus Cristi.

  39. Lynn says:

    No difference in taste, definite difference in price!

    I am seeing wild predictions in pricing over the next year, 15% increase is the low, 100% increase is the high.  Grocery stores and energy both.

    The farmers are complaining that their fuel and fertilizer have jumped 300% in cost this year.  Those costs are coming to the markets.

    The Russians have taken 7.5 million barrels of crude oil per day off the market.   Biden has temporarily nullified the effect of that by draining the USA SPR (strategic petroleum reserve).  That effect is coming to an end very soon.  We will have $6 gasoline in Texas and $8 gasoline in California very soon.  Add another dollar for diesel.  

    The refineries in the USA are running at 93%.  Bad things start happening when they go above 86 or 87%.  They delay maintenance trying to catch the boom cycle. 

    Europe and Asia are paying $35 for natural gas. We were paying $3 for natural gas and are now paying $8. Pray that it does not go to $35. This war and Biden’s prolific spending is costing all of us incredible amounts of money.

  40. Nick Flandrey says:

    Money that isn’t there.  Money that if created, can not fail to destroy the economy.

    n

  41. Nick Flandrey says:

    Did a test run of my idea for the main Halloween display this year.   Got proportions right and most of the major elements.   Need a few more parts, and there are some ‘targets of opportunity’ that I’m looking for… but the idea looks very doable.  

    Cleaned up the doors (removed them from the jambs and partial jambs) and restacked them in the truck.   Went thru some auction buys, and I’ve got a good score.  Needs one part and I can sell it.  Part is plumbing part and easily available.  Missed out on another big telescope, it got too high for me.  Skywatcher classic 200P, 8 inch dobsonian.  It got up to around the ebay price.

    Picked up stuff around the house.  

    I will be headed up to the BOL tomorrow, later.   The guys called and they will be starting in the morning on Monday.  

    I’ve got a bunch of stuff to do to get ready.

    n

  42. Nick Flandrey says:

    D2 is at her sleepover.   We just finished watching Gremlins.   Lots of easter egg visual jokes.   LOTS of great character actors and a REALLY young Corey Feldman.     The effects held up really well.   Not as scary as I remembered.

    And Phoebe Cates.   Yum yum.

    n

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