Mon. Apr. 25, 2022 – birthday and anniversary this week

National forecast says we might be getting some rain today and tomorrow… which I’m hoping against.  I’ve got stuff to do that needs dry weather.   It was 76F and 91%RH when I went to bed.

I did some stuff Sunday.  Mostly fled the house and the squealing of tiny proto females.   Did two pickups, both mainly for my non-prepping hobby.   Did daddy daughter stuff, then wasted time on the internet with my friends. Oh, and during that time the dog ate an unknown quantity of Easter chocolate and caused some concern and an attempt at making him vomit it up.  The little poop factory eats aluminum soda cans, a teaspoon of hydrogen peroxide didn’t phase him.  He’s still alive so I guess he didn’t eat too much of the chocolate.

Today’s plan is to figure out what’s gone wrong with my pickup truck, get some bins of stuff ready for auction, and do a pickup or two of BOL stuff.  Rain complicates all of that tremendously so I’m hoping it misses us.

I’ve got so much going on this week, swim team practices start, D2 has a birthday, I have a wedding anniversary, and all the normal things too.  It’s crazy.


Some comments at the end of the day yesterday regarding supply chain, food, and corn.  If you haven’t caught up, take a minute and read them and consider how they’ll affect you if it happens that way.

Beyond local and national farm issues, the brutal lockdown in China is backing up shipping and supply chain like crazy.  The effects will start showing up in a couple of weeks and it will take months to un-flock this clustered mess.  Expect anything coming from or through China, and particularly Shanghai to be delayed or unavailable, possibly for months.

The situation is worsening folks, in just about any way you look at it.  I know, I know.   Sky is falling yet again.  Yep.  Look at the material and make your own conclusions.  If you decide it’s overblown, then at least you’ve considered it, and didn’t just keep running forward with your eyes closed.

If like me and others, you see all the signs pointing to things getting worse, not better, ACT on that.  Take actions that work for you and your family and for your financial situation.  I’m still in “don’t do anything irrevocable” mode, but we did turn a whole pile of cash into a whole pile of bricks and dirt because my wife agrees that inflation is eating our savings like a fat man at a buffet.

Interest rates are rising.  They’ve already risen.   If you are selling a house, do the deal.  If rates rise too much the housing bubble will pop again.  If you are buying a place to live, and it’s within your means, know that you might end up underwater on your loan for a while, and that might limit you for a few years or longer.  I wouldn’t be buying any place as an “investment” and I wouldn’t be entering into an adjustable rate mortgage at the moment either… nor would I ‘stretch’ to make a purchase that is outside what I can safely afford.  If I was renting, I’d be looking at long term leases to lock in monthly payments.  If I was the owner, I’d be looking at short term leases as much as possible.

Also consider what these changes and trends mean for fixed incomes and government assistance programs and the people dependent on them.   Food shortages almost always lead to riots.     In other words, I expect violence and lawlessness to increase.  It will be variable by area, but everyone will be affected.   And people will be fleeing to your safe semi-rural area when the cities get worse.  They’ve already started.

Time to really get busy getting ready.   Suck it up and stack it up.

n

82 Comments and discussion on "Mon. Apr. 25, 2022 – birthday and anniversary this week"

  1. nick flandrey says:

    75F and 94%RH this morning.

    Not actually raining, but pretty close.

    n

  2. SteveF says:

    almost all packaged food has corn or corn byproducts in it

    I think of HFCS as a waste product, but close enough.

  3. drwilliams says:

    @Lynn

    There is an incredible amount of natural gas out there.  

    The problem is that the natural gas pipeline capacity in Texas is maxed out. 

    No short-term fix. Perfectly good nukes shut down to placate the green weinies. Pipelines canceled and existing pipelines under assault.

    The Dems own this problem big-time, and the voters know it.

  4. SteveF says:

    But… BadOrangeMan! Mean Tweets!

    5
    1
  5. Ray Thompson says:

    the voters know it

    Do they? The stupid are everywhere and they are allowed to vote.

  6. MrAtoz says:

    Killer Baldwin will be fine in Hollyweird. He has proven his ProgLibTurd credentials. What will get him OJ’d is his bipolar mean streak. Very ugly. I read he was overseas working on a couple of Christmas movies. Probably needs the cash. 

  7. Greg Norton says:

    But… BadOrangeMan! Mean Tweets!

    The meme is either:

    Here’s the thing. Trump. I’m jus’ sayin’

    or, now that the voting is done and Biden ensconced:

    Yeah, Biden. Trump tho.

    always spell it t-h-o.

    3
    1
  8. ITGuy1998 says:

    We haven’t been to a movie theater since 2020 and don’t really miss it. We watch mostly series shows these days. Just finished Giri/Haji (HBO), currently watching Brotherhood (SHO) and have Tokyo Vice (HBO) on deck. 
     

    Same for my wife and I. I am trying to remember the last movie we saw in a theater. I think it was Avengers:Endgame. 

  9. SteveF says:

    The meme is either

    I hew my own path.

  10. SteveF says:

    I last went to a theatre more than ten years ago. The sons and a number of teen friends wanted to see an R-rated movie (rated for swearing and CGI violence) and the theatre’s policy was that an adult had to go in and stay with the group if anyone was under 17.

  11. Greg Norton says:

    Same for my wife and I. I am trying to remember the last movie we saw in a theater. I think it was Avengers:Endgame. 

    Disney is praying you will be back for “Doctor Strange 2” in two weeks or else they will have to indulge Wall Street by firing Chapek and dealing with DeSantis like he really is the Governor of Florida.

    Imagine.

    In the mean time, if you’re holding the stock, look out below!

    In the words of Shrub, “This sucker’s going down.”

  12. Chad says:

    I last went to a theatre more than ten years ago. The sons and a number of teen friends wanted to see an R-rated movie (rated for swearing and CGI violence) and the theatre’s policy was that an adult had to go in and stay with the group if anyone was under 17.

    These sorts of things are usually (laughably) unenforced. That’s the problem when you rely on teenage employees to enforce rules on teenage customers.

    I used to go to Rate-R movies all of the time as a kid and I was usually able to walk right up to the ticket counter and buy the ticket. Now, with kiosks and apps for tickets it’s probably even easier. If I ever got any gruff from some older employee I’d just buy a ticket to something PG or PG-13 and then go into the Rate-R movie anyway (before the days of specific seat assignments).

    I suppose if I were a young teen these days I’d probably just download it from some shady website and watch it at home.

  13. MrAtoz says:

    I suppose if I were a young teen these days I’d probably just download it from some shady website and watch it at home.

    Shady website? Moi?

  14. EdH says:

    A gardening suggestion for Nick.

    https://bustednuckles.blogspot.com/2022/04/gardening-suggestion.html

    Though, honestly, I’d ask the neighbors with successful gardens what they did.

    And, can Nick use lake water for irrigation? ( I mean, legally, not at night with a firehose and trash pump…)

  15. nick flandrey says:

    ( I mean, legally, not at night with a firehose and trash pump…)

    — all the residents are members of a water co-op and have actual water rights to the lake, as it is technically a reservoir.     Everyone waters their lawn from the lake, but IDK the actual legal status.   I am pretty sure the guy who fills his trailer from the lake and drives somewhere isn’t supposed to, and I saw two of them round trip several times a day while I was up there.

    n

  16. nick flandrey says:

    There is a version of that planting guide done for the brits in WWII that I’ve seen but can’t find anymore.  I looked at thousands of images trying to find it again too.

    n

  17. Greg Norton says:

    — all the residents are members of a water co-op and have actual water rights to the lake, as it is technically a reservoir.     Everyone waters their lawn from the lake, but IDK the actual legal status.   I am pretty sure the guy who fills his trailer from the lake and drives somewhere isn’t supposed to, and I saw two of them round trip several times a day while I was up there.

    Another resident?

    Industrial water rights may be separate from residential.

  18. Pecancorner says:

    There is a version of that planting guide done for the brits in WWII that I’ve seen but can’t find anymore.  I looked at thousands of images trying to find it again too.

    There’s one right at the top of my WWI/WWI Homefront Pinterest board. Is that the one you are looking for?  

  19. lynn says:

    “Netflix’s Bad Habits Have Caught Up With It” By Josef Adalian

         https://www.vulture.com/2022/04/netflix-bad-decisions-have-caught-up-with-it.html?utm_source=pocket-newtab

    Yup, paying too much for mediocre stuff.

  20. lynn says:

    “Ford F-150 Lightning electric pickup may be sold out ahead of launch”

         https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ford-f-150-lightning-electric-pickup-may-be-sold-out-ahead-of-launch-160647436.html

    Got 2,000,000 orders and 200,000 trucks to sell.  Those numbers mean a lot of unhappy people.

  21. lynn says:

    Dilbert: AI Becomes Sentient 3

        https://dilbert.com/strip/2022-04-25

    Are we approaching peak Skynet startup ?

  22. Greg Norton says:

    “Ford F-150 Lightning electric pickup may be sold out ahead of launch”

    Got 2,000,000 orders and 200,000 trucks to sell.  Those numbers mean a lot of unhappy people.

    You’re assuming that every single one of the $100 deposits translates to a purchase. Ford was contemplating special rules to prevent flipping.

    Two million Ford Jesus Trucks is power consumption for charging to full equal to ⅔ of the power generating capacity of Texas plugged in for some amount of time, up to eight hours, nightly. That kind of volume is going to have to hit the grid slowly.

  23. Alan says:

    >> Also Thursday, former U.S. President Barack Obama told an audience at Stanford University that the tech industry needs more regulation to stop the spread of online disinformation which is putting democracy at risk. 

    https://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/2022/04/22/european-union-law-meta-facebook-google/7419892001/

    He meant Democracy with a capital “D” right?!

  24. lynn says:

    “World needs extra $1.3 trln energy investment by 2030 – JP Morgan”

         https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/world-needs-extra-13-trln-energy-investment-by-2030-jp-morgan-2022-04-20/

    “LONDON, April 20 (Reuters) – The world needs to find $1.3 trillion of incremental investment by 2030 to boost all types of energy output and infrastructure from renewables to oil and gas to avoid an energy crunch, U.S. bank JP Morgan said in its first annual energy outlook.”

    “”Our main finding is that by 2030, energy demand growth will exceed supply growth by circa 20% based on current trends, primarily driven by emerging economies and their efforts to develop and lift their citizens out of poverty,” strategists Marko Kolanovic and Christyan Malek said.””

    The price of energy in the world is going to go up more.  Get ready.

  25. Alan says:

    >> “Ford F-150 Lightning electric pickup may be sold out ahead of launch”

    I hardly see any mentions in the press of the Chevy Silverado EV. I guess it hasn’t reached Jesus status yet. 

  26. lynn says:

    “Same problem back then, waiting for the damn thing to charge.”

        https://bustednuckles.blogspot.com/2022/04/same-problem-back-then-waiting-for-damn.html

    Yup, there is our future.

  27. Nick Flandrey says:

    @pecan corner, that one wasn’t, but I’m pretty sure one down the page was.

    Have to see it on a big monitors to be sure, thanks !

    N

  28. MrAtoz says:

    The ProgLibTurds are freaking out ver Musk’s Twitter purchase. LOL. Maybe they should be starting their own PLT platform. Nah, too lazy.

  29. lynn says:

    “Execs to workers: Back to the office for thee, but not for me”

        https://www.computerworld.com/article/3658108/execs-to-workers-back-to-the-office-for-thee-but-not-for-me.html

    “Top brass are less likely to commute in every day, according to a survey by Slack, which claims workers are seeing more stress as a result of being required to go back into the office.”

  30. Greg Norton says:

    >> “Ford F-150 Lightning electric pickup may be sold out ahead of launch”

    I hardly see any mentions in the press of the Chevy Silverado EV. I guess it hasn’t reached Jesus status yet. 

    GM attempting to pair a four cylinder turbo charged engine with a 10 speed transmission severely tarnished the Silverado brand. Pre-pandemic, the trucks were rental lot fodder here in Austin.

    GM’s Jesus Truck is the Hummer EV. 

  31. Mark W says:

    Maybe they should be starting their own PLT platform

    They had one and they may have just lost it. Time will tell.

    I listened to a recent episode of TWiT. One of the guests said he was unsure if democracy could withstand free speech. How stupid – real democracy requires free speech.

  32. Greg Norton says:

    The ProgLibTurds are freaking out ver Musk’s Twitter purchase. LOL. Maybe they should be starting their own PLT platform. Nah, too lazy.

    Building the service is only half of the battle. The mobile app is the other half.

    Twitter never managed to produce a decent mobile app internally so they bought out … Tweety (?) … and deactivated external access to the API to prevent someone else from coming along later and producing something better just like the Tweety developers did.

    Add in a decade of psychologists making tweaks to the app to increase the dopamine hit, and you have quite a “moat” in Warren Buffett-speak.

  33. lynn says:

    “Ford F-150 Lightning electric pickup may be sold out ahead of launch”

    Got 2,000,000 orders and 200,000 trucks to sell.  Those numbers mean a lot of unhappy people.

    You’re assuming that every single one of the $100 deposits translates to a purchase. Ford was contemplating special rules to prevent flipping.

    Two million Ford Jesus Trucks is power consumption for charging to full equal to ⅔ of the power generating capacity of Texas plugged in for some amount of time, up to eight hours, nightly. That kind of volume is going to have to hit the grid slowly.

    I would assume that at least half of those people want a $49,000 Ford Lightning.   As the base price climbs to whatever, that number will decline.

    And yes, if people get home and plug their truck in to their 230 volt, 50 amp fast charger in the garage AND turn on the 230 volt, 50 amp oven and the 230 volt, 50 amp cooktop, we are going to have a problem.  Especially if they have a 200 amp breaker box that can handle that load.

    But if people wait until 10 pm to plug in their truck then we will be ok.  BTW, the Texas grid demands jumped 25% or more per year in the 1960s and 1970s as people put in central air conditioning and millions of people moved to Texas.  Then in the middle 1980s, electric demand dropped when the oil patch imploded and people moved out of the state.

  34. lpdbw says:

    I just learned that I am the proud (?) owner of a number shares of Warner Bros. Discovery stock.

    Apparently, AT&T spun off some stuff and I got about .24 shares of WBD for every share of AT&T I own.

    Part of the fun (?) of owning AT&T long term is the number of spin-offs, mergers, and bankrupt companies you get to participate in.  Frontier, Lumen, Verizon, CenturyLink, etc.

  35. SteveF says:

    But if people wait until 10 pm to plug in their truck then we will be ok.

    When are the transformers going to cool? Especially in the Texas heat? Or have enough transformers been switched over to some new technology that doesn’t require hours of nighttime low use to cool down?

  36. dkreck says:

    When are the transformers going to cool? Especially in the Texas heat? Or have enough transformers been switched over to some new technology that doesn’t require hours of nighttime low use to cool down?

    No problem. Get an ac unit for them. ‘Bout 20k btu should do it.

  37. RickH says:

    About those pesky 500 errors….

    I finally found the round-tuit to look at the hosting place. Didn’t talk to support yet, but their ‘support wizard’ (auto-responder) suggested increasing memory allocation inside WP.

    So, I changed it from 256M to 512M. Not sure if that will make a difference in the very random and intermittent 500 errors, though…..

  38. Greg Norton says:

    Part of the fun (?) of owning AT&T long term is the number of spin-offs, mergers, and bankrupt companies you get to participate in.  Frontier, Lumen, Verizon, CenturyLink, etc.

    I worked for GTE up until the “merger of equals” with Bell Atlantic to form Verizon. A few spinoffs came out of that one, including Syniverse, my former business unit.

    Lumen is a new one on me, but I’m familiar with CenturyTel/CenturyLink. They were a customer at GTE. 

    Frontier is the old GTE territories together with problematic companies like SNET under worse management than Chuck Lee and GTE Telops President Kent Foster if such a thing can be imagined.

    BTW, William Barr was General Counsel for most of the 90s after Daddy Bush was booted out of office.

  39. Greg Norton says:

    I would assume that at least half of those people want a $49,000 Ford Lightning.   As the base price climbs to whatever, that number will decline.

    $40k is where a clever F&I room stops being able to make $500 payments work with 90 month loans.

    And that’s the F&I guy calling in a favor at a bank.

    Ford is probably going to eat the losses to avoid paying Musk. 

    $600 million of last quarter’s Tesla earnings came through “regulatory credits”.

  40. Greg Norton says:

    Things must be tight at McDonalds. My annual report and proxy ballot package were pretty low rent compared to what they usually send – Priority Mail stock envelope and stamped return mailing envelope for the ballot.

    Diet Coke syrup was up over $100 for 5 gallons the last time I looked. No more dollar drinks at Mickey Ds unless Ronald is eating a big loss or has a deal with Coca Cola.

  41. Alan says:

    >>  Diet Coke syrup was up over $100 for 5 gallons the last time I looked. No more dollar drinks at Mickey Ds unless Ronald is eating a big loss or has a deal with Coca Cola.

    Looked the other day (wife insists Big Macs are part of the knee rehab as per the surgeon) and the only dollar items on the $1/2/3 menu were soda and coffee. Cheapest food item was a cheeseburger for $1.89. I think part of the dollar sodas is the amount of ice they cram into the cups. 

  42. lynn says:

    I would assume that at least half of those people want a $49,000 Ford Lightning.   As the base price climbs to whatever, that number will decline.

    $40k is where a clever F&I room stops being able to make $500 payments work with 90 month loans.

    I was wrong, the new F-150 Lightning with destination, dual motors, and 230 mile battery is $41,669.

         https://www.f150lightningforum.com/forum/threads/f-150-lightning-official-epa-range-mpge-revealed-in-window-sticker-base-extended-range.9441/

    The new F-150 Lightning Pro with destination, dual motors, and 320 mile battery is $50,374.

    The freaking F-150 Lighting Platinum with destination, dual motors, 20 inch wheels, and 300 mile battery is $93,874. Momma is gonna beat me with a stick if I bring that one home.

    Hat tip to:
    https://www.caranddriver.com/news/a39490045/ford-f-150-lightning-range-confirmed/

  43. Rick H says:

    Diet Coke syrup was up over $100 for 5 gallons the last time I looked.

    The interesting thing to know would be how many ounces of drink that 5 gallons would make. I seem to recall that sodas are a big (maybe huge) profit item in  most places.

    My last trip to MickeyD’s always includes a large Hi-C Orange drink.

  44. nick flandrey says:

    One of the kid’s school groups had a fundraiser tonight in partnership with Chick fil a.   So I bought dinner for the 4 of us for $50.   Two sandwiches, two 4 pc strips, 3 fries, and 4 shakes.    Equals about 30 chicken dinners if home cooked.   About 20 if it’s not just the chicken but the whole dinner.  Poor people don’t eat at fast food, how the heII could they afford it?

    https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2022-04-25/us-dollar-defaults-petro-dollar-and-ru-banking-obligations

    interesting summary at the beginning, don’t know about the rest although it aligns pretty well with my thoughts.

    n

  45. lynn says:

    About those pesky 500 errors….

    I finally found the round-tuit to look at the hosting place. Didn’t talk to support yet, but their ‘support wizard’ (auto-responder) suggested increasing memory allocation inside WP.

    So, I changed it from 256M to 512M. Not sure if that will make a difference in the very random and intermittent 500 errors, though…..

    I just got a 500 error.  I wonder if it has something to do with multiple users hitting the database simultaneously ?

  46. Greg Norton says:

    The interesting thing to know would be how many ounces of drink that 5 gallons would make. I seem to recall that sodas are a big (maybe huge) profit item in  most places.

    McDonalds used to mix 4:1 on Diet Coke. 5 gallons of syrup makes 20 gallons of soda. 2660 ounces. ~ 83 32 oz cups without ice.

    At $100 for a 5 gallon syrup box, the profit margins aren’t so great on drinks anymore.

    Chipotle uses the McDonalds mix ratio and their 32 oz drink is $2.90 here.

  47. nick flandrey says:

    The rule of thumb used to be that the cup cost more than the contents.

    n

  48. Greg Norton says:

    One of the kid’s school groups had a fundraiser tonight in partnership with Chick fil a.   So I bought dinner for the 4 of us for $50.   Two sandwiches, two 4 pc strips, 3 fries, and 4 shakes.    Equals about 30 chicken dinners if home cooked.   About 20 if it’s not just the chicken but the whole dinner.  Poor people don’t eat at fast food, how the heII could they afford it?

    The conventional wisdom on fast food is from “Fast Food Nation” published … 20 years ago?

    My paperback copy has a Borders receipt when they still discounted so it has to be at least 15 years ago.

    The movie was 2006. Another decent Bruce Willis performance that tends to fall through the cracks.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sjQY19HM0fU

    The big place on school event nights in Vantucky was Papa Murphy’s. They take food stamps aka EBT cards provisioned by Chase Paymentech — no stigma.

    One of the people from my GTE training class is Director of EBT at Chase.

  49. Ray Thompson says:

    I have just learned that starting this year on July 1 and continuing through June 30, 2023, auto registrations in TN will be at no cost to the vehicle owner. There will still be a charge from the county and a wheel tax on those counties that have such a tax. My county does not. I will pay $5.25 next year for one vehicle; the truck registration never expires and will never be a charge.

    This is in a state with no income tax. States like California with both a state income tax and sales tax, charge based on value. A new $50K vehicle registered in California would be over $600.00. Due to all the giveaways to leaches, public projects going nowhere (high speed rail), and general corruption.

  50. Alan says:

    No, it’s not April 1st… 

    Tony closes the deal at $44B.

    Says Twitter is crucial for free speech in this country. Does that include DJT? 

  51. nick flandrey says:

    Orangemanbad said he wouldn’t return to twitter even under musk.

    n

  52. Rick H says:

    Regarding the very intermittent 500 errors:

    I dug into the server error logs, and found this log entry that corresponds to the time and IP address of @lynn reporting the 500.  (Some info obfuscated.)

     Line 497: [Mon Apr 25 17:10:05.901324 2022] [:error] [pid 359621:tid 120021017691904] [client 76.231.xxx.xxx:xxxxxxx] [client 76.231.xxx.xxx] ModSecurity: Rule 6d28c03b74e0 [id "932140"][file "/dh/apache2/template/etc/mod_sec3_CRS/REQUEST-932-APPLICATION-ATTACK-RCE.conf"][line "412"] - Execution error - PCRE limits exceeded (-8): (null). [hostname "www.xxxx.com"] [uri "/xxxxx/wp-comments-post.php"] [unique_id "Ymc4Xa8j1quB-J5Kla81QgAAAA8"], referer: https://www.xxxx.com/xxxx/page-url/
     

    According to some quick research, this is because the PCRE limits were exceeded. PCRE is a configuration setting related to reducing effect of DDOS attacks. There are some changes to the httpd.config file that are recommended to reduce this error, but that isn’t an area that I can edit. (Which is probably a good thing…)

    I’ve submitted a ticket with relevant information and log entries to Dreamhost (the hosting place here). We shall see what they say.

  53. nick flandrey says:

    @rick, that is good news, at least potentially.

    Any idea about the ‘site not found’ errors?    IIRC I’m not the only one getting them intermittently.   A reload or two finally goes thru, which is the confusing part.   Routing tables don’t update that often or that quickly.

    And it’s happened both at home and on my phone, so it’s not my end.

    n

  54. Greg Norton says:

    This is in a state with no income tax. States like California with both a state income tax and sales tax, charge based on value. A new $50K vehicle registered in California would be over $600.00. Due to all the giveaways to leaches, public projects going nowhere (high speed rail), and general corruption.

    WA State used to have similarly high tag fees to support transportation projects such as the ferries and Amtrak Cascades, but initiatives drove the cost down to $70/year by the time we moved there.

    The man who drove the initiative process is among the politicians in WA State the media hate the most. 

    I know from the previous previous job that Virginia has a property tax on cars in addition to tag fees. $500-600 is not unusual there for a late model car.

  55. drwilliams says:

    @Lynn

    “The freaking F-150 Lighting Platinum with destination, dual motors, 20 inch wheels, and 300 mile battery is $93,874. Momma is gonna beat me with a stick if I bring that one home.”

    Just transplant that big aluminum tailgate sun reflector off a junker and call it good.

  56. lynn says:

    “The freaking F-150 Lighting Platinum with destination, dual motors, 20 inch wheels, and 300 mile battery is $93,874. Momma is gonna beat me with a stick if I bring that one home.”

    You know, for a $100K (with tax), they could pop the battery up to 600 miles …

  57. Rick H says:

    Any idea about the ‘site not found’ errors?  

    Those types of errors are usually (I believe)

    • loss of connection to the web somewhere along the line
    • a DNS lookup failing,
    • or the local DNS cache failing

    Those are the most common errors. It could also be 

    • the hosting place’s DNS resolvers not getting your request to the proper IP address on their server. 
    • DNS tables somewhere along the line not propagating a DNS change, so the request goes to the wrong or invalid place (like snail mail giving you an ‘address not found’)
    • The SSL cert for the domain is broken or missing on an HTTPS request.
    • The DNS server you have set up on your device is busy or not updated with the correct IP address for the domain you (your request) are trying to access.

    DNS record entries usually don’t change, unless you register a new domain, or (as a domain registrant) change the nameserver for a domain. 

    I suppose they could also happen on a shared server if some domain on your shared server was extremely busy at the moment your request got to your shared server. This might be a good possibility, since this place shares server resources with an unknown number/type of sites.

    Maybe also a DDOS on another domain on your shared server might be a cause.

    I assume that the DNS nameserver for your two devices are different. So that makes it harder to figure out.  I don’t think it’s a propagation timeout thing – the DNS server that your device is using isn’t ‘caught up’ on the latest changes. 

    There haven’t been any changes to the nameservers on the account. I think it’s more likely a resource problem caused by another site on the shared server. Only fix for that is to have a dedicated server. And that’s expensive.

  58. drwilliams says:

    In Friday’s letter, Backer also highlighted Hillary for America and the DNC’s commitment in their settlement agreement with the FEC to “not further contest the Commission’s finding of probable cause to believe” that the political organizations had “falsely reported their payments through Perkins Coie to Fusion GPS as being for legal services.” In contrast, in the Sussmann case, Hillary for America and the DNC “are nevertheless asserting materials generated by Fusion GPS and provided to Perkins Coie are protected by attorney-client privilege and work-product doctrine,” the letter stressed.

    “The Government should not permit HFA and the DNC to adopt conflicting positions in different proceedings, depending on the federal agency against which they are litigating,” the foundation’s letter concluded, suggesting the trial court may find those breaches of the settlement agreement “material in ruling on any privilege claims.”

    https://redstate.com/bonchie/2022/04/25/john-durham-springs-his-trap-after-hillary-for-america-walks-right-into-it-n555688

  59. drwilliams says:

    “You know, for a $100K (with tax), they could pop the battery up to 600 miles”

    It’s Ford.  You get special paint and carpet colors, bunch a stuff that the dealer sprays on, and the latest upgrade, a twelve-month wait after ordering.

  60. lynn says:

    There haven’t been any changes to the nameservers on the account. I think it’s more likely a resource problem caused by another site on the shared server. Only fix for that is to have a dedicated server. And that’s expensive.

    My dedicated (and managed) server is $300/month at https://www.pair.com .

  61. Alan says:

    >>  Orangemanbad said he wouldn’t return to twitter even under musk.

    Yes, but regardless will Tony preemptively lift Trump’s ban? 

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  62. Rick H says:

    @lynn   – My dedicated (and managed) server is $300/month

    Barbara currently pays about $155/year. Moving to a dedicated server at the same hosting place (DreamHost) would be about $165 per month.  Dedicated hosting on JustHost is $150 to $250 per month

    And that plan is not fully managed. I don’t have the time (or possibly the extensive knowledge) to do that level of server management.

    And don’t think that Barbara would appreciate that increased cost. Besides, the site traffic doesn’t need a dedicated server. (As you probably know.)

  63. drwilliams says:

    The Voters Are On To Biden

    https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2022/04/the-voters-are-on-to-biden.php

    Biden is a symptom–the disease is the Democratic Party.

    The residual 40% that will vote for anything (D) no matter what is revealed about the Biden Family Enterprise, BLM, Antifa, CRT, the educational establishment and the other pustules of corruption.

    The educational system has been firmly in the hands of progressive indoctrinators for generations, sucking ever harder on the public teat as they mew about “More resources for the kids” and do the periodic kabuki strike drama so the Democrat school board has cover for their demands.

    I saw the graph earlier and misplaced it. Tier after tier of corporations whose employees give 90, 95, 98, 99% of their political contributions to Democrats.

    Virtually all of the universities are run by progs who believe tenure and institutional control are sticks to beat students and the rare conservative faculty into submission. Think their way or get expelled or fired.

    A few months of price increases are not going to be enough to effect change. Portland burned for months and the populace didn’t learn diddly.

    Having Republicans in control of the House and Senate will stop the worst excesses. Not having a veto-proof majority will be a good thing, as there are no short term fixes. 

    Send perfectly reasonable bills to Biden’s desk in January and they will get vetoed–he will be told to do so. The Democrats have to keep owning green, so they will own inflation and shortages of energy and food.

    Raid the offices of the Capitol Police.

    Use the investigatory powers of the House to expose corruption in the DoJ and FBI, and raid them, too. 

    And assign Durham a bigger protection detail.

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  64. drwilliams says:

    The solid wall of MSM covering up for Biden is starting to show some movement.

    Is it possible that the Dems will try to jettison Biden and install Kneepads backed by Pelosi before the fall midterms?

    Jill would never stand for it, and she is in a position to spill the beans about all the drug and monkey gland injections and who’s been pulling the strings. Wonder if she’s smart enough to have the proofs tucked away?

    Isn’t it interesting that the Secret Service claims there are no visitor logs for BidenHom?

  65. nick flandrey says:

    So the garden plot chart I was looking for is from Britain during WWII, and a series of pamphlets called “Dig For Victory”.

    https://dig-for-victory.org.uk/growing-advice/dig-victory-leaflets-ww2/grow-winter-well-summer-dfv-no-1-new-series/ 

    The pdf of the layout and timing is down the page a bit.

    https://dig-for-victory.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/digforvictory1.pdf 

  66. nick flandrey says:

    “no visitor logs for BidenHom?”

    or “no visitors”??

    putting him back in medical stasis every weekend is nuts.

    n

  67. drwilliams says:

    @Alan

    Yes, but regardless will Tony preemptively lift Trump’s ban? 

    Yes.

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  68. drwilliams says:

    @Nick

    “no visitor logs for BidenHom?”

    or “no visitors”??

    I’d like to get a few dozen (or more) Secret Service agents and administrators under oath in front of a House committe and have them claim no logs and no visitors. Then run highlights of the video surveillance of black limo traffic on weekends Biden’s brain was being steam-cleaned.

    After that lot is in jail, I’d go down the list to the very bottom, asking each agent only one question: “ What have you been told not to see?”

    Ok, maybe another question, too: “Have you ever been assigned to Hunter Biden?”

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  69. drwilliams says:

    Another pustule that needs investigation:

    https://hotair.com/jazz-shaw/2022/04/25/john-kerry-im-putting-natural-gas-on-notice-n464674

    Some years ago, after close observations in several cities around the world, I hypothesized that pigeons moved their heads violently to and fro to force blood through their miniscule brains fast enough that they could remember to breathe and walk at the same time. 

    I have no such explanation for John Kerry. The man is too stupid to walk and talk, yet there he is.

  70. lynn says:

    Another pustule that needs investigation:

    https://hotair.com/jazz-shaw/2022/04/25/john-kerry-im-putting-natural-gas-on-notice-n464674

    Some years ago, after close observations in several cities around the world, I hypothesized that pigeons moved their heads violently to and fro to force blood through their miniscule brains fast enough that they could remember to breathe and walk at the same time. 

    I have no such explanation for John Kerry. The man is too stupid to walk and talk, yet there he is.

    Kerry’s hero is Al Gore.  Nuff said.

    Ok, just another tool of the dumbrocrat party.

  71. drwilliams says:

    “I am glad to talk about what we’ve done, obviously, and I think the president deserves real credit, but it’s not enough.”

    “We can’t just rest on what we’ve already done,”

    “Families are paying more at the pump, they’re paying more when they go to the grocery store, they’re paying more when they try to buy a hamburger,”

    pure whitebread  progressive Senator Elizabeth Warren

    https://conservativebrief.com/stay-62265/?utm_source=Conservativebrief.com

    That’s exactly what you’ve done, Fauxahontas, and you own it.

  72. drwilliams says:

    @Lynn

    Kerry and Gore.

    A good case against inherited wealth right there.

  73. Nick Flandrey says:

    Going to bed early, see you all on the morrow.

    n

  74. lynn says:

    “Get Ready For the New, Improved Second”

        https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/25/science/time-second-measurement.html?utm_source=pocket-newtab

    “Scientists are preparing to redefine the fundamental unit of time. It won’t get any longer or shorter, but it will be more precise — and a whole lot more powerful.”

    Just more digits of precision.  We will now know the length of a second to 15 digits !

    Meh, I am going back to wasting seconds watching the Astros tank another game.

  75. lynn says:

    Man, RBT would have loved Netflix streaming.  Fourteen seasons of “Heartland” now !

    https://www.netflix.com/title/70171946

  76. lynn says:

    “Climate Misanthropes Say Fighting Climate Change is More important than Food, Reliable Energy, and Peace”

        https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/04/25/climate-misanthropes-say-fighting-climate-change-is-more-important-than-food-reliable-energy-and-peace/

    “In the face of unbearable human tragedy around the world, children starving, women and children being bombed, homes and businesses without power, climate scolds continue to insist climate change is the most important danger the world faces.”

    Fanatics rarely realize that they are sinking in quicksand until their heads sink below the sand.

  77. Alan says:

    >> I saw the graph earlier and misplaced it. Tier after tier of corporations whose employees give 90, 95, 98, 99% of their political contributions to Democrats.

    Giving my hard-earned money to any politician just makes them hungry for more. If you want to throw yours away instead donate to support your local animal shelter. 

  78. Greg Norton says:

    Barbara currently pays about $155/year. Moving to a dedicated server at the same hosting place (DreamHost) would be about $165 per month.  Dedicated hosting on JustHost is $150 to $250 per month

    @RickH – Please let me know at the email connected to my posts if Barbara needs any costs covered here and where to send a check. I even have a WA State bank account at a credit union based in Vancouver if that is preferred.

    This is one of the places that reminded me to keep an eye on my DIS stock over the last few weeks. Selling last week ahead of DeSantis’ acting saved my beer money, but I don’t drink beer.

  79. Greg Norton says:

    Kerry and Gore.

    A good case against inherited wealth right there.

    Kerry inherited some money from his parents, but the private jets and yachts come from Tay-ray-sah, who married into the Heinz fortune. Kerry is the Widow Heinz’ boy toy/himbo/second shot at the White House.

    Kerry kept his military records sealed during the 2004 election to hide the fact that his GPA at Yale was lower than Shrub’s “Gentleman’s ‘C’” by a tenth of a point.

  80. Greg Norton says:

    Kerry’s hero is Al Gore.  Nuff said.

    John Kerry’s hero is John Kerry.

    He probably has his own 35 mm print of “Going Upriver”.

    I’ll concede it is a fantastic piece of propaganda film, much better than “A Man From Hope”.

  81. Greg Norton says:

    “You know, for a $100K (with tax), they could pop the battery up to 600 miles”

    It’s Ford.  You get special paint and carpet colors, bunch a stuff that the dealer sprays on, and the latest upgrade, a twelve-month wait after ordering.

    Recent year F150s have a problem with what Ford calls “surface rust” on the frame, but nothing the dealer sprays on will make a lick of difference. Not that dealer rustproofing ever really has.

    A co-worker at the previous previous job had a 2019 where frame rust set in, and when he told me what the dealer said to try and explain it away, I showed him the undercarriage of my 2001 Solara, still rust free despite four years of occasional salt on the roads in WA State and, following that, roughly once a year in Texas since 2014.

    I did nothing in WA State beyond garage the vehicle and run it through the car wash after a hard freeze week once temps warmed up.

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