Mon. Mar. 14, 2022 – stubby stub stub

By on March 14th, 2022 in Random Stuff

This is the stub for Monday.

Don’t burn the place down you miscreants.

n

62 Comments and discussion on "Mon. Mar. 14, 2022 – stubby stub stub"

  1. MrAtoz says:

    LOL. And, kaching!

    Pfizer CEO: Fourth COVID shot is "necessary"

    Mo money, mo money.

  2. Greg Norton says:

    Pfizer CEO: Fourth COVID shot is "necessary"

    Mo money, mo money.

    More US Government money. Comirnaty still isn't available in the US.

    I’m still jab free and waiting for that knock on my door.

  3. brad says:

    Re vaccinations: not a surprise. I expect to get a Covid vaccination every year alongside the flu vaccination.

    The fact that the vaccination effectiveness drops so quickly? I'm not an expert, but as a reasonably informed lay-person, I expect this has to do with the mutation rate of corona viruses.

    Meanwhile, Switzerland has decided to drop all restrictions as of April 1st. It will be interesting to see how many people continue wearing masks, and under what circumstances. And how many will get their annual Covid shot. Personally, I will probably continue with the mask in public transport, where you are sitting in tight quarters, with lots of strangers, for a long time. It may not buy much, but it also doesn't cost much.

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  4. Greg Norton says:

    And how many will get their annual Covid shot

    Absent coercion, no one is going to continue getting boosters of the mRNA jabs with the unpleasant side effects.

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  5. Chad says:

    Personally, I will probably continue with the mask in public transport, where you are sitting in tight quarters, with lots of strangers, for a long time. It may not buy much, but it also doesn't cost much.

    I'd be tempted to wear one just for the smell. I really cannot stand people's B.O., cologne/perfume, or the stench of whatever takeout they just couldn't wait until they got home or back to the office to eat. I've never been the guy that farts or burps and then finds it humorous. Heck, I've gotten to the point that every time I walk past an old lady I instinctively hold my bread for several moments as they usually stink from a combination of only bathing once a week (usually before church on Sundays) and wearing perfume that went out of style decades ago. The latest smell making me gag is lotion. I'm not talking scented lotions either. I'm talking that base lotion smell that ALL hand/body lotions have. I know people that stink up an entire large room with it. It's like, "How dry are you that you cover yourself head to foot in that crap and reapply so often that you smell that strongly of it?" Few things make me as antisocial as the smell of my fellow humans. It's really irrational and I should probably seek help, but in the meantime I'll continue holding my breath or avoiding people.

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  6. MrAtoz says:

    I will only get a COVID booster if my cruise in November requires it. TCM Classic movie cruise 2022.

    I wonder if deaths from the Koof shot will ever come to the forefront. It appears there are plenty of death by shot stats coming soon.

  7. CowboySlim says:

    I had no side effects whatsoever from any of my three Moderna shots.  I will take a fourth as soon as it is available.

  8. SteveF says:

    as of April 1st

    Why the delay? If the masking and lockdown and distancing requirements are pointless on April 1, they're pointless today.

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  9. SteveF says:

    I had no side effects whatsoever from any of my three Moderna shots.

    Yet.

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  10. lynn says:

     https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/03/12/is-this-what-peak-oil-feels-like/

    The price of oil is extremely elastic.

    The supply of oil is incredibly inelastic.

    Peak oil? Given the turmoil with the Ukraine, I find a price of $100/bbl to be surprisingly low. That threshold has often been broken, even more often if you account for inflation.

    Gas prices are up everywhere, and no one seems to really know why. Filling up our old car (the new one isn't here yet) now costs nearly $100, and it's only a RAV/4 with a 16 gallon tank. Oil prices have been this high before, but not gasoline/diesel prices. Yet it's not clear (or at least, not openly known), just where that comes from.

    We will sure be glad when the Ioniq 5 arrives, and we get "gas" from our solar cells. That's going to make quite a difference in the budget.

    The point of the article was that we are in an artificial peak oil situation right now since we are forcing the Russian oil off the world market.  The author of the article says that we should be developing new nuclear power plants right now and using electric vehicles as people want to.

    And what I said is very true.  The price of oil is incredibly elastic.  If the world is short one barrel of oil then the price of oil doubles.  If the world has a spare barrel of oil then then price of oil cuts in half.  Incredibly frustrating to those of us in the business.

    And the supply of oil is incredibly inelastic.  It takes years, sometimes decades, to develop new supplies of oil.

  11. lynn says:

    "The Plague of Oblivion (Perry Rhodan #28)" by Clark Darlton, translated by Wendayne Ackerman
       https://www.amazon.com/Perry-Rhodan-Plague-Oblivion-28-Darlton/dp/B000HT6HXI?tag=ttgnet-20/

    Book number twenty-eight of a series of one hundred and twenty-six space opera books in English. The original German books, actually pamphlets, number in the thousands. The English books started with two translated German stories per book and transitioned to one story per book with the sixth book. The German books were written from 1961 to present time, having sold two billion copies and even recently been rebooted again. I read the well printed and well bound book published by Ace in 1973 that I had to be very careful with due to age. I bought an almost complete box of Perry Rhodans a decade or two ago on ebay that I am finally getting to since I lost my original Perry Rhodans in The Great Flood of 1989. In fact, I now own book #1 to book #103, plus the Atlan books.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Perry_Rhodan

    BTW, this is actually book number 36 of the German Pamphlets. There is a very good explanation of the plot in German on this website of all of the PR books. There is automatic Google translation available for English, Spanish, Dutch, Japanese, French, and Portuguese.
       https://www.perrypedia.de/wiki/Die_Seuche_des_Vergessens

    In this alternate universe, USSF Major Perry Rhodan and his three fellow astronauts blasted off in a three stage rocket to the Moon in 1971. The first stage of the rocket was chemical, the second and third stages were nuclear. After crashing on the Moon due to a strange radio interference, they discover a massive crashed alien spaceship with an aged male scientist (Khrest), a female commander (Thora), and a crew of 500. It has been over ten years since then and the New Power has flourished with millions of people and many spaceships headquartered in the Gobi desert, the city of Terrania.

    Rhodan's mutants have joined up with Pucky and his supplies on the Springer slave world Goszul. Amongst Pucky's supplies is a new bacteria that causes a strange disease with red spots and a complete loss of memory. But the disease does not kill, just temporary loss of memory. The Springers are very disease phobic since they are constantly running into new diseases when finding new planets and races. Pucky and the other mutants start spreading the disease and manage to get the Springers infected who start fleeing to all corners of the Galaxy.

    One has to remember that this book was written in German in 1962 and translated to English in 1973. Many items that came about in the 1970s and beyond such as cell phones are not reflected in the book. However, commercial aircraft commonly traveling at Mach 3 are not available to the public as talked about in the book. Niels Bohr's saying "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" comes to mind.

    Two observations:
    1. The publisher should have put two to four of the translated stories in each book. Having two stories in the first five books worked out well. Just having one story in the book is too short and would never allow the translated books to catch up to the German originals.
    2. Anyone liking Perry Rhodan and wanting a more up to date story should read the totally awesome "Mutineer's Moon" Dahak series of three books by David Weber.
       https://www.amazon.com/Mutineers-Moon-Dahak-David-Weber/dp/0671720856?tag=ttgnet-20/

    My rating: 4 out of 5 stars
    Amazon rating: 5 out of 5 stars (1 review)

  12. Greg Norton says:

    Friends in Florida reacting to Brady's un-retirement with the Yucs cited the Germany game as possibly being a factor in his decision, and I've seen the argument raised elsewhere this morning.

    The game being a huge event is really important to both to the NFL and the Yucs' ownership, who also control Manchester United, one of the most valuable sports franchises in Europe if not the world.

    https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/buccaneers/2022/02/28/tampa-bay-buccaneers-germany-game-munich-schedule-2022/6973939001/

    Brady wants to be in that game. If nothing else, if he didn’t unretire, the Yucs would have been working John Lynch in San Francisco for a Garoppolo trade this morning.

    Lynch is another name on the wall of the stadium in Gronk’s shoe commercial

  13. ITGuy1998 says:

    I had no side effects whatsoever from any of my three Moderna shots.

    After my second Moderna shot, I felt off for a day – slight temp and lack of energy. I haven't had a booster, and probably won't.

  14. Mark W says:

    I lost about 3 days to flu-like symptoms after the second shot. I get that with a lot of shots though.

    IMHO The mRNA tech is amazing. The problem lies with the delivery system and the fact that the lipid nano-particles don't stay in the arm in some people, instead they enter the blood and migrate to the heart, lymph nodes etc and cause problems there.

  15. Geoff Powell says:

    Like @brad, I'm prepared for an annual CoViD shot, all same the annual flu jab. They are making noises about a combined shot, which I suspect will be difficult, given the previously announced storage  conditions for the Pfizer jab.

    But regardless of that, a 2 shot regime will be barely more onerous than one, and I'm up for that.

    G.

  16. CowboySlim says:

    Yet.

    It's been over four months from my third, last shot.  I'm sure I'll suffer greatly from after effects in four to six months from now.

  17. lynn says:

    LOL. And, kaching!

    Pfizer CEO: Fourth COVID shot is "necessary"

    Mo money, mo money.

    I have yet to get my third shot.

  18. lynn says:

    Over The Hedge: How Do They Pay For New Phones ?

        https://www.gocomics.com/overthehedge/2022/03/14

    Oh no.

  19. Pecancorner says:

    Locally, with a rather constant 43% vaccinated, last week our county of 38,000 had only 8 new COVID cases.  And as usual, about one third to half of all new COVID cases have had the vaccine… in this case, 3 out of 8.  Nobody in hospital; 4 new deaths, probably from the 16 cases last week or the 14 cases the week before.

    Quite a difference from the 1108 new cases seven weeks ago, the week of January 21st.  So in Brown county,  COVID has burnt itself out. 

    I'm not really opposed to getting vaccinated, but only if it works. I don't get flu shots either, for the same reason. I haven't had COVID, nor have I had influenza in at least 20 years, maybe 30 or more. I’ve never tested positive for the flu, so it’s possible that I’ve never had it. Strep is my bugaboo, and the one I am leary of.

  20. lynn says:

    "Sure, Why Not: Regulator Says Self-Driving Cars Don't Need Brake Pedals or Steering Wheels to Be Safe"

         https://gizmodo.com/nhtsa-says-self-driving-cars-dont-need-brake-pedals-1848643125

    What could go wrong ?

  21. SteveF says:

    IMHO The mRNA tech is amazing. The problem lies with the delivery system and the fact that the lipid nano-particles don't stay in the arm in some people, instead they enter the blood and migrate to the heart, lymph nodes etc and cause problems there.

    IMHO the home fission technology is amazing. The problem lies with the fuel delivery system and the fact that the byproduct particles don't stay within the shielded system in some homes.

  22. Greg Norton says:

    IMHO The mRNA tech is amazing. The problem lies with the delivery system and the fact that the lipid nano-particles don't stay in the arm in some people, instead they enter the blood and migrate to the heart, lymph nodes etc and cause problems there.

    The migration of the nano-particles is a sign of poor vaccination training.

    For a while, on the local Faux News, the stock footage they would run about the jabs would show the same idiot nurse "bouncing" the needle on the patient's skin before the needle finally hit the target.

  23. CowboySlim says:

    IM(not so)HO, who had the greater death percentage from KungFlu, fully vaccinated or nonvaccinated?  I assume the fully.

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  24. lpdbw says:

    The migration of the nano-particles is a sign of poor vaccination training.

    Ostensibly.  Possibly.  Maybe.  Or it could be intrinsic.

    Shame nobody is going to do long term studies on this.  Shame they destroyed the control group in their initial studies.  Shame reports of adverse effects are being censored.  Would be nice to have a catalog of successful mRNA animal studies, too.

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  25. lynn says:

    "“Alien Drone Swarm” Form Giant Hovering QR Code Over Austin to Promote ‘Halo’"

        https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/tv/tv-news/halo-sxsw-drones-1235110882/

    ""I got scared and ran inside": Texas locals were variously freaked out, annoyed and impressed by a 600-foot-wide drone swarm marketing stunt."

    It is getting weird out there.  Wait, this is Austin.

    Hat tip to:

       https://www.drudgereport.com/

  26. MrAtoz says:

    I'm sure you've read, triple jabbed Obola has COVID. Well, he tested positive. Says he had a scratchy throat for a couple of days. Wonder where he is hanging out to catch the Koof?

    I was required to take the flu shot each year for twenty years in the Army. Never had the flu or tested + for it during that time. I've been *retired* for 22 years. I've taken a flu shot 2-3 times and never had the flu or tested +.

    I think I had the Koof like Mr. Lynn, mild symptoms, before I got the Koof shot. Maybe one of the lucky ones who is resistant.

  27. Greg Norton says:

    I'm sure you've read, triple jabbed Obola has COVID. Well, he tested positive. Says he had a scratchy throat for a couple of days. Wonder where he is hanging out to catch the Koof?

    This time of year? Probably Hawaii, with 77% fully vaccinated, 86% having at least one shot.

    Rebuilding the Magnum PI estate is still a work in progress.

  28. lynn says:

    "Bankruptcy fate of scandal-laden Boy Scouts to be decided in trial starting Monday"

        https://www.chron.com/news/houston-texas/article/Texas-based-Boy-Scout-trial-bankruptcy-fate-17000448.php

    "The trial for the Texas-based group is expected to stretch over several weeks as attorneys and witnesses battle over a host of complex issues, including insurance, liability, and the value of some 80,000 child sex abuse claims"

    I suspect that there will not be a Boy Scout organization after this.

  29. Chad says:

    RE: Scouting

    My brother is an adult leader in a local BSA troop where his sons and nephews are Scouts. He was telling me the other day about their restrictions. Basically, no adult can be alone with a Scout. He even had to scold some of the Scouts and tell them they cannot text him directly about anything. No private communication between the adult leaders and the individual Scouts is allowed.

    Of course, IIRC, Boy Scouts is now just Scouts and girls can join now. Though, you cannot have co-ed troops.

  30. SteveF says:

    triple jabbed Obola has COVID. Well, he tested positive. … Wonder where he is hanging out to catch the Koof?

    Working the glory hole. I'll bet he took a lot more than three shots.

  31. lynn says:

    Of course, IIRC, Boy Scouts is now just Scouts and girls can join now. Though, you cannot have co-ed troops.

    That will be a future lawsuit of discrimination by the BSA against girls.

  32. Greg Norton says:

    I suspect that there will not be a Boy Scout organization after this.

    Lawyers of all kinds are going to make out in that situation, but especially real estate developers' attorneys. I know the Scouts have lucrative holdings in Florida which were deeded to them by wealthy individuals who didn't want their properties turned into strip malls and neighborhoods of 3/2 stucco shacks which buyers pretend will be worth $1 million some day.

    I’m sure the situation is similar elsewhere.

    In Texas, I’ve only seen the Girl Scout properties on Texlake and up in Belton. I assume the Boy Scouts are as nice or nicer.

  33. CowboySlim says:

    Oh-oh, I had this inside out:

    IM(not so)HO, who had the greater death percentage from KungFlu, fully vaccinated or nonvaccinated?  I assume the fully.

    Now corrected to my real opinion:

    IM(not so)HO, who had the LESSER death percentage from KungFlu, fully vaccinated or nonvaccinated?  I assume the fully.

  34. CowboySlim says:

    Yes, NaN!  Statistical results as I expected.  Almost as effective as Smallpox and Polio vaccines.  However, the anti-KungFlu vaccination parents didn't keep their children out of school to avoid Smallpox and Polio vaccines, did they?

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  35. Greg Norton says:

    It is getting weird out there.  Wait, this is Austin.

    That is Austin during SxSW week, when the city really loses its mind and the Pappy Reserve shots flow freely as the tech companies attempt to shill their wares to the C-suites in town on expense account junkets.

    Cr*p like SolarWindws gets sold over the next week. Maybe you will see a movie premiere, but the Alamo on 6th closed during the pandemic.

  36. SteveF says:

    Almost as effective as Smallpox and Polio vaccines.

    Using the numbers which have lies built in, right? "If you got your second shot more than 120 days ago and got the booster less than 15 days ago, you're not vaccinated." Those case rate numbers? I don't recall any such games with smallpox vaccines.

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  37. drwilliams says:

    Should include all the conclusions, not cherry-pick:

    • The monthly age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs) for death involving COVID-19 have been consistently lower for all months since booster introduction in September 2021 for people who had received a third dose, or booster, at least 21 days ago, compared with unvaccinated people; this is the case for all age groups.

    • The monthly ASMRs for death involving COVID-19 have been consistently lower for people who had received a second dose at least 21 days ago compared with unvaccinated people, until October 2021 but increased in November and December 2021, particularly in older age groups; this may be driven by a change in the composition of the group with most people in older age groups having received a third dose, or booster, or waning protection from prior vaccination.

    • The age-adjusted rates are not equivalent to measures of vaccine effectiveness; they account for differences in age structure and population size but there may be other differences between the groups, particularly underlying health, which affect the mortality rates.

    • Changes in non-COVID-19 mortality by vaccination status are largely driven by the changing composition of the vaccination status groups because of the prioritisation of clinically extremely vulnerable and people with underlying health conditions, and differences in timing of vaccination among people who were eligible.

    Any claims by the U.S. and U.K. governments concerning the effectiveness and ex post facto justification of Wuhan virus policies are largely meaningless. Both have promulgated policies based on politics, not science, and have vested interests in obscuring and covering up the extent of their perfidies, the latter ranging from simple lies to policies being more damaging than the alleged threat.

    "Meaningless" extends to any analysis of data that is not based on the complete data, viz:

    all data sets that do not include the natural immunity status

    Part 2 entire:

    2. Background to the data

    Comparing mortality across coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccination status is challenging because the size and age structure of vaccinated and unvaccinated populations changes over time, because of vaccinations being offered according to priority groups set out by the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI).

    To account for these differences, we calculated age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs). However, there are other factors such as the health status of individuals, changing infection levels, changing dominant variants and differing levels of immunity from prior infection that can influence the mortality rates.

    ASMRs are therefore not equivalent to measures of vaccine effectiveness. More information on this can be found in our previous release.

    The vaccination status is split by dose and time since vaccination, to allow for the increase in protection in the first few weeks after vaccination. We have updated our vaccination status definitions to include booster doses, defined as a third or booster dose received after 16 September 2021, the date from which booster doses were first administered. Therefore, vaccination status can be one of:

    • unvaccinated

    • received only the first dose, less than 21 days ago

    • received only the first dose, at least 21 days ago

    • received only the first and second dose, less than 21 days ago

    • received only the first and second dose, at least 21 days ago

    • received a third dose, or booster, less than 21 days ago

    • received a third dose, or booster, at least 21 days ago

    This bulletin includes six-month and monthly ASMRs by vaccination status for deaths involving COVID-19, broken down by age group for the population in the Public Health Data Asset. More information on the dataset can be found in the Measuring the data section and our previous release. Annual data and ASMRs broken down by sex and age for deaths involving COVID-19, non-COVID-19 deaths and all deaths are provided in the datasets for all vaccination statuses, as well as counts of deaths by vaccination status for all registered deaths.

    "To account for these differences, we calculated age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs). However, there are other factors such as the health status of individuals, changing infection levels, changing dominant variants and differing levels of immunity from prior infection that can influence the mortality rates."

    "ASMRs are therefore not equivalent to measures of vaccine effectiveness."

    Alas, no mention of natural immunity.

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  38. SteveF says:

    Should include all the conclusions, not cherry-pick

    Two of Pournelle's rules:

    – You can prove anything if you can make up your data.

    – You can prove almost anything if you can ignore data that you don't like.

    Which is useful to people who loudly proclaim that they're following the science, as without lies and cherry picking they'd have nothing.

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  39. ITGuy1998 says:

    https://www.intel.com/content/www/us/en/events/arc-events.html
     

    Intel is about to release a discrete GPU for laptops. I wonder if they will eventually try to enter the desktop market. Laptops do seem to be a better fit for them.

  40. drwilliams says:

    Here, Nano, let me help you:

    1) By quoting only part of the conclusions, it is YOU who were cherry picking. I can find you an Amazon link to a cheap mirror, if that doesn't help.

    2) Natural immunity is not part of the data set, but yes, it is “mentioned” in the list of things they ignored in their analysis. Like leaving rain and sunlight out of the analysis of crop yields.

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  41. CowboySlim says:

    CowboySlim: I’m not sure I see the relevance. Do you mean that the folks who vaccinated were more cautious in general, leading to their lowered death rate? Possibly – but wouldn’t vaccinated folks also be more confident to go out and risk exposure, too? Could be a wash.

    I will respond to that in this fashion.  I understand the above and my education and career was based on scientific methodology and statistical analyses based on sufficiently sized samples of collections of data.

    OTOH, not properly sized two cases in my related subjects:  1.  My 19 year old granddaughter with proper vaccinations recently diagnosed positive with KungFlu.  Three days later, another test had negative results and off to a vacation with friends to Hawaii.  2.  A 17 year old daughter, whose father was a friend of my SIL, died of KungFlu recently.  The parents were separated and she resided with the mother who refused vaccinations.  Should the mother be criminally charged as an "accomplice before the fact?".

    Yes, those two incidents are not sufficient numerically in the context of statistical analysis to provide bona fide conclusions.

    OTOH, has someone refuses vaccinations for themselves and then dies of KungFlu can  be considered to have committed suicide? 

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  42. drwilliams says:

    Two posts from Kevin Roche that may be of interest:

    https://healthy-skeptic.com/2022/03/13/two-years-on-when-do-we-get-our-apologies/

    https://healthy-skeptic.com/2022/03/14/comparison-of-case-rates-updated/

    I credit Mr. Roche and his erstwhile data cruncher "Dave" for trying very hard, but I have some fundamental reservations concerning the utility of their calculations.

    First of all, again, the data do not contain information on natural immunity. That doesn't make it GIGO, but the whiff of rotting fish and cabbage is eye-watering.

    The tables at the end of the article should be in close proximity to comment #1, in which they state in part:

    These are cumulative rates over the course of the pandemic, over the time period for specimen collection dates of cases from 1/20/2021 to 2/06/2022. This date range was selected in order to cover the time period during which there were breakthrough events reported, and during which there is a reasonable likelihood that admissions or deaths would be reported, as described more fully below. Choosing different time periods for the analysis would generate different results of the analysis.

    In the 12.5 months from January 20, 2021 to February 6, 2022 the population of Minnesota went from virtually 0% fully vaccinated to about 68%, the age eligible for vaccination changed, the dominant strain of the virus changed twice, and the definition of "fully vaccinated" at least acquired an asterisk. The statistics are not simply from discrete sub-samples, but from continually evolving sub-samples. Culling one set of numbers from it all is certainly something, but the first word that comes to mind is not "useful".

  43. Paul Hampson says:

    Noting that Barbara hasn't posted for a week now after saying that she is "back to functioning in survival mode."

  44. SteveF says:

    OTOH, [if] someone refuses vaccinations for themselves and then dies of KungFlu can  be considered to have committed suicide?

    I'd say they died of bioterrorism.

    A more on-point question is, if someone gets one of the "totally safe and effective" so-called vaccinations and dies of complications — heart problems, stroke, whatever — and it is later revealed that the manufacturer did not reveal to the public the full extent and likelihood of potentially fatal complications, was he murdered? It was impossible for him to have given informed consent because he was not given and was not able to obtain the information needed to be fully informed. What about the "excess" miscarriages in the past year? If you go by the modern interpretation pushed by some, were all of those babies murdered? By whom? The list of possible culprits is lengthy.

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  45. drwilliams says:

    In retrospect, one of the most useful things that could have been done, and should be done as soon as the proper legislation can fund it, is to retain regular sewage samples from municipal treatment plants for retrospective analysis.

  46. nick flandrey says:

    @cowboyslim,

    OTOH, has someone refuses vaccinations for themselves and then dies of KungFlu can  be considered to have committed suicide? 

    —  only if the vax is 100% effective at preventing death from wuflu, and only if there are no legit medical or moral reasons to refuse the vax (and that taking the vax is 100% risk free).

    Neither of those conditions are met, so the answer has to be No.  

    Sometimes, no matter what you do, there is a bad outcome. 

    n

    and I am sorry for your friend's loss.

  47. lynn says:

    LOL! You can keep your Amazon (affiliate?) links. Unlike some folks around here, I actually cite sources to support what I say. For example, it’s completely incorrect that 80% of U.S. electricity comes from fossil fuels, as was recently claimed. 

    That was me, I misremembered those numbers as renewables have been rapidly rising.  According to the EIA for 2021, fossil fuels were 61%, nuclear was 19%, and renewables were 20%. 

         https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.php?id=427&t=3

    I do have a question about those numbers though as they very carefully state those are utility generation.  In Texas, about 30% of the electricity is generated by topping stream turbines with fossil fuels (mostly natural gas since the Sandow coal plant shutdown in 2012) at refineries and chemical plants.  Those electric generation numbers are not included by ERCOT since they are not dispatchable so I wonder if the EIA include them.

  48. SteveF says:

    Culling one set of numbers from it all is certainly something, but the first word that comes to mind is not "useful".

    I run into that all the time when researching political or social essays, whether a piece that I'm writing or a piece that I'm fact checking. ("Trying and failing to fact check", that should be. It's very rare that all of the following are true: the raw data sources are listed, the raw data are available to me at the listed URIs, the statistical and analytical methods used by the writer are provided in sufficient detail, I'm able to follow the method, and the results I get match those in the article.) (This is not related to the "replication crisis" in psychology and sociology research, as I'm just crunching numbers and not re-performing experiments. However, it kinda makes me wonder if any published research, analysis, or data mining is more than 10% likely to be accurate.) (It was also rare that I'd be able to contact the author and get a reply. Sometimes there'd be something like "whoops, copied the wrong column, thanks for catching it" and the online article would be corrected. Usually no reply and no correction.)

    So, to reel in the chain of digressions, when I'm writing something involving number crunching, I'll commonly find a number of studies that had been done and superficially they look like I can combine them to get a bigger base, a longer timeline, or whatever. Except that the age buckets of the people being surveyed don't match. Or races are counted differently. Or one study includes only earned household income while another includes welfare and free housing in effective household income. Or any number of other confusions. I've asked some researchers about the standard practice in combining data sets that don't really match and the answers boiled down to "take a bunch of SWAGs in rebucketing, apply statistical mumbo-jumbo in order to pretend it's scientific, and call it good enough". Though I'll note that the one researcher I suggested this to denied it rather huffily. Though I'll further note that he couldn't point out where my analysis was inaccurate. Maybe instead of "SWAGs" and "mumbo-jumbo" I should have said "standard data rebalancing steps and statistical approaches which have been accepted by the sociology (economics, psychology) community".

  49. nick flandrey says:

    Official word from the CDC, note the mentions (although not by name) of natural immunity.

    Get Vaccinated Even If You Had COVID-19

    You should get a COVID-19 vaccine even if you already had COVID-19. No currently available test can reliably determine if you are protected after being infected with the virus that causes COVID-19.

    Getting a COVID-19 vaccine after you recover from infection with the virus that causes COVID-19 provides added protection to your immune system. People who already had COVID-19 and do not get vaccinated after their recovery are more likely to get COVID-19 again than those who get vaccinated after their recovery.

    If you currently have COVID-19, you should wait to get your vaccine until your symptoms are gone (if you had symptoms) and you are done with your isolation period

    If you are not vaccinated and were exposed to someone with COVID-19, you should wait until your quarantine is over to avoid getting others sick while you get your vaccine.

    –source is one of the myriad email pubs I get from various orgs.

    n

  50. drwilliams says:

    "But anyway, you can play the “what about” game all day long, and you’ll still be wrong."

    We're not supposed to notice the deflection to an unrelated topic followed by proof by assertion?

    "For example, failing to fully account for natural immunity from prior infection would make the vaccines look less effective, not more. "

    I didn't make a claim about the effect, only that omitting information on natural immunity corrupted the data and any results. Your claim is incorrect–published research says the opposite.

    ProTip: Your assertions would be more interesting if you posted animation of yourself clicking ruby slippers as you repeat them.

    4
    1
  51. nick flandrey says:

    https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/your-health/covid-by-county.html

    — now CDC guidance is based on community risk levels.  Page includes a nice map by county.

    n

  52. nick flandrey says:

    Lost a long comment to the internal server error and back took me to a blank comment box…

    I'll turn what I can remember into a post.    See, orange julius from oranges….

    n

  53. Rick H says:

    Minor change to the site – external links now have the little 'arrow in a box' icon, and will be opened in a new window/tab.

    A prior plugin that did this had stopped working, and appeared to be an 'orphan' – the last update was 6 years ago.

    Other than the addition of the tiny icon, there are no other changes to external links.

  54. Rick H says:

    Lost a long comment to the internal server error and back took me to a blank comment box…

    Ah, the new 'censorship' plugin is working as intended….

    (Still working on the new version of the theme that will have the new CKEditor5 as the comment box editor. Still need to tweak some settings and test them.)

  55. Ray Thompson says:

    In San Antonio for a couple of days. Wife's friend that we were supposed to visit fell and broke both wrists. She was taken to the ER where the fractures were confirmed. She will have to spend the night and will have surgery tomorrow. Wife is at the hospital with her friend. We will still get to stay in her house.

    We might be bringing her home tomorrow after the surgery. At this point I really don't know. Bummer of a way to start a visit.

    The wife's friend has a laptop that died. Powered up to a BIOS screen with no disk drive visible in the BIOS page. I removed the drive, jerked it horizontally in hopes that it was a stuck platter. Even tapped the drive from various orientations to perhaps loosen the platters. No such luck. Installed the drive in my external holder. Drive makes no noise and just gets warm. Either the platters are horribly stuck or the motor is kaput. Regardless, the drive is toast.

    The wife's friend ordered a new computer, all-in-one, as I advised her to do. Her laptop was on its last legs with a failed disk drive and only a slim hope of recovering the data. I set up the new computer for her. Dell all-in-one with a touch screen. Fortunately she had all the passwords and account credentials that I needed except for a couple that I had to sleuth.

    The wife's friend had never backed up her computer. All the files are lost including her Quicken files which she never synced to the cloud. She will have to start over with her financial data. Hope she learns a lesson, but I doubt it.

    We were supposed to spend two nights here and then travel to a nephews place for a. night, then BIL's place for a night. We may skip that so the wife can help her friend for a couple of extra days. Regardless we have to be near Waco at a BNB on the 18th as we have paid a non-refundable fee. Or wife may stay and I go to Waco with the wife flying home in a couple of weeks.

    I do have a meet and greet with Mr. Atoz tomorrow at 12:30. Be nice to put a face with the name and actually hear the voice. We may shock each other when we come face-to-face. I have met with Mr. Lynn and Mr. Flandrey, good meetings. Bill Miller BBQ, good stuff in my opinion.

  56. lynn says:

    (Still working on the new version of the theme that will have the new CKEditor5 as the comment box editor. Still need to tweak some settings and test them.)

    Programming is hard !

    I am adding two new features for a customer.  The first feature was almost easy as it was only two paths through the calculations.  The second feature is at five paths through the calculations and counting.  Argh !

    And I still cannot debug on my Windows 10 x64 PC so I have to jump over to my Windows 7 x64 PC.  What a pain !  I have three people asking for a sample set of code that shows the problem, I hope to get to it this week so they can find the bug in the debugger.

  57. Ray Thompson says:

    Ah, the new 'censorship' plugin is working as intended….

    Better than you thought. One of my long comments just disappeared, nothing showed. Had to retype from memory.

    And I just updated my MacBook Air and my iPad to the latest OSes. The universal control seems to work quite well. I am able to move my mouse pointer to the iPad and select, use the keyboard on the Mac to type on the iPad. Slicker than snot on a hot rock.

  58. nick flandrey says:

    Thanks for the heads up about Barbara not posting in a week.

    I spoke with her sister tonight, and she's fine.  Her right knee got infected, and the implant had to come out.  She's got a spacer in the knee joint, a PIC line for ABx, and she's resident at a rehab facility for a couple more weeks.  She is working on building up her strength so she can return home for a while before going back for a new knee.

    They have to be sure the infection is completely gone before then of course, so it's going to be a  few weeks in any case.

    She has been down this path before (almost exactly 2 years ago) with the other knee so she knows the plan, and some of the tech has improved.  Apparently the new spacer leaves her more able to fend for herself than the previous one did.  That is a blessing as she's able to move around and care for herself.  She just can't put any real weight on it.

    I posted an update on her site, and Frances may jump into the comments either here or there with any additional updates.

    So, she's fine, but will be 'off grid' for a while, probably 2 weeks more.  Then it's back on the path to a total knee and the recovery from that.

    So light a candle, say a prayer, or throw a penny in a well…

    n

    (she's currently got enough to keep her busy, with a fresh stack of library books, and will let us know if she needs anything else.)

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  59. Kenneth C Mitchell says:

     brad says:

    Re vaccinations: not a surprise. I expect to get a Covid vaccination every year alongside the flu vaccination.

    I don't do flu shots, and didn't do the Covid shot either. And don't intend to, ever. 

  60. lynn says:

    Thanks for the heads up about Barbara not posting in a week.

    I spoke with her sister tonight, and she's fine.  Her right knee got infected, and the implant had to come out.  She's got a spacer in the knee joint, a PIC line for ABx, and she's resident at a rehab facility for a couple more weeks.  She is working on building up her strength so she can return home for a while before going back for a new knee.

    They have to be sure the infection is completely gone before then of course, so it's going to be a  few weeks in any case.

    She has been down this path before (almost exactly 2 years ago) with the other knee so she knows the plan, and some of the tech has improved.  Apparently the new spacer leaves her more able to fend for herself than the previous one did.  That is a blessing as she's able to move around and care for herself.  She just can't put any real weight on it.

    I posted an update on her site, and Frances may jump into the comments either here or there with any additional updates.

    So, she's fine, but will be 'off grid' for a while, probably 2 weeks more.  Then it's back on the path to a total knee and the recovery from that.

    So light a candle, say a prayer, or throw a penny in a well…

    Shades of my mother. Mom has been out of the hospital for over a week now but they were able to kill the hip implant infection without removing the new hip implant.  These implants are obviously imperfect technology and need more work.  I think that the hospital in Victoria, TX did a fine job with Mom but she is not happy with them for some reason.

    I said a prayer for Barbara.  I hope that she does well.

  61. Jenny says:

    Thanks for the Barbara update. Will keep her in our prayers. If there’s a more tangible need we can fill, please let us know. 
     

    Ray and Mr. Atoz enjoy your get together. I greatly enjoyed meeting Cowboy Slim, and would enjoy meeting the rest of you someday. 
     

    Rabbit kits are well. Tiny kit died as expected. Remaining eight are robust. Other doe has not kindled and no nest building going on. I’ll give her another day then Re feed her and my third doe.
    I went horseback riding tonight, first time in years. I am out of shape and will feel it tomorrow. I remember what to do in a saddle, though I couldn’t physically execute my knowledge due to lost muscles. Had a great time with my daughter. She’s turning into a decent rider. Indoor unheated arena. It was 22 Fahrenheit inside. I rode without my jacket, though I kept my gloves. I was physically active and no drafts so kept pleasantly warm. After I dismounted and was walking the horse for her cool down I donned my coat and hat again. 

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