Thur. June 25, 2020 – here I sit…

Hmm, warmer?  Humid.  Really humid.  Wet even.

Yesterday did warm up but didn’t get scorching hot.  The sun never really came out for most of town.  Parts got hammered by rain- I could see the cell dumping on the north side when I was out running errands.  Only spatters here at home though.

——————————————

Turns out I won’t be buying a new Lexus for the Orthodontist this fall.  The doc said to wait for a while longer before Daughter 1 needs braces on her teeth.  That is a relief for us all.  My wife took her and was impressed with the lengths the orthodontics office went to to prevent infection.

Speaking of, we won’t be going to swim team practice today.  We’ve decided to pull back a bit.  One kid with headache and sore throat, the other with ‘itching’ throat, and everyone seems to have forgotten to even try to distance themselves.   We’re going to be prudent, cautious, and considerate.  I think having a family we know all come down with wuflu has ratcheted up my wife’s concern level dramatically.  She’s quoting local hospitalization rates and available ICU beds to ME….

I have other stuff to do.  With the 4th of July coming, my client wants all his stuff working, and the new stuff all installed.  He’s even got my conduit trenched in.  I thought waiting for that to happen would buy me a lot of time.  So today I have to get up in the attic and pull some cables.  I’m hoping for rain and lower temps out in the country.  Then tomorrow I’ll finish up the install and commissioning of the new stuff.  That’s the plan anyway.  It does mean I’ll be entering the Costco to buy a new TV for him.  He’s tired of waiting for the service guy to make a decision and proceed with the replacement.  When Concierge services does get around to it, we’ll have a hot spare for the next dead tv.

I’m debating whether to do my Costco shopping or not since I’m in the store.  Big difference in my mind between entering, grabbing a TV and exiting, and spending an hour shopping.   I’m leaning toward instacart.  Costco is back to discounts on a bunch of my normal purchases this month, so I’m definitely either ordering or shopping.   I was also thinking about hitting the HEB in person.  There are some items I buy that aren’t listed on the Instacart app, that I’d like to restock.  But again, if we’re pulling back, this is not the time to be returning to the stores.

Am I being consistent or stubborn?  Consistent or unwilling to adapt to changing conditions?  I know which I think is true.

Dinner was mostly leftovers with a bit of rice added, and cookies from mix for dessert.  Mix was BB 2020, so right on time, half a decade early by my usually standards.


I got a brief update from Frances regarding Barbara.  She’s doing better, sitting up, talking, had some of the medical stuff removed, she’s even being funny, but no timeline for her return home has yet been discussed.  They are continuing to test and check for other issues, but it sounds like she’s responding well to the current treatment plan.  Let’s hope that continues.


It’s important to remember that the people driving the BLM movement, Antifa, and the other grab bag of protesters and rioters are still out there doing their thing, or getting ready for their next thing.  Even in Madison WI, one of the most progressive places I’ve ever been, and also a tiny little place on the edge of nowhere, they’re pulling down statues and pummeling state senators.

If anyone here has a credible scenario for how we get back to “normal” by Christmas, feel free to share in comments.  I can not think of what would need to happen for that to work out.   I can think of LOTS of ways things are worse then than now.  So, unless you can do the math, and show your work for how this all ends before the end of the year, it behooves you to make some preparations.

This stuff has a life of its own now, and it won’t want to die.

Keep thinking.  Keep prepping.  Keep stacking.

nick

70 Comments and discussion on "Thur. June 25, 2020 – here I sit…"

  1. Greg Norton says:

    I’m debating whether to do my Costco shopping or not since I’m in the store. Big difference in my mind between entering, grabbing a TV and exiting, and spending an hour shopping.

    YMMV, but our nearest Costco and Sam’s are empty on weekday mornings as of late. People are either working from home, heading to a job at an essential service, or are out of money.

    Throughout this situation, I’ve looked at Costco as a pretty unlikely infection vector. Regardless of their true reasons, the management has been pretty militant about enforcing masks, distancing, and sending sick employees home on paid leave. I wouldn’t be surprised if they have therms on people but don’t talk about it because that would be a liability.

    I’ve limited my Costco trips because I don’t like dealing with the kabuki. I can’t imagine someone not feeling 100% — I’m not a big believer in “asymptomatic” — having more enthusiasm for the experience.

    Ironically, the biggest risk in Costco is probably from the Instacart worker contingent. Gig economy means no work = no pay. I can spot them instantly in various retail establishments, and I’ve been avoiding our local HMart late in the evenings when the Instacart people tend to be in there sans masks attempting to decipher the shopping list in the unfamiliar environment.

  2. brad says:

    If anyone here has a credible scenario for how we get back to “normal” by Christmas, feel free to share in comments.

    On the race riot front, I expect things to fade back to semi-normal. BLM lacks a charismatic leader, and for a martyr they picked a felon who holds pregnant women hostage. Other stuff will take over the headlines, until the next time.

    The problem is: there will be a next time. And next time maybe they’ll pick someone like Breonna as the martyr and have a charismatic spokesperson.

    Getting the police to stop doing stupid things might help. No more “qualified immunity”, no more “no knock raids” unless you have something like a hostage situation. And a lot of retraining. Any amateur shooter seems to have more fire discipline than the police. That might prevent there being a next martyr.

    As for Corona, who knows? We still don’t have any idea what the long-term situation is going to look like. Personally, I think this is going to make a serious dent in mass tourism. Possibly also in clubs and night life. Changes in industry displace workers, and it will take a few years for the job market to settle.

    And that’s an area where young people need to get a clue. I’ve read numerous articles over the past few years about some young person who “just can’t get a job”. Turns out that their idea of a job is sitting in an air conditioned office doing not-very-much. Here, at least, there are plenty of jobs in the trades, in construction, on the factory floor in industry.

    I’m also seriously hoping that the home-office trend stays. Old-fashioned managers are going to be the problem. My boss’s boss, for example, has declared a goal of getting people back into the office. Apparently, he can’t believe people are working unless he can see them. Assign people work, and if it gets done well and on time, they worked. It shouldn’t matter whether or not you can see them.

    Cynically, home-office may reduce the need for managers, because too many of them actually hinder the people trying to get stuff done.

  3. Mark W says:

    HAR no longer using ‘master’ to describe bedrooms and bathrooms

    Master’s degree?
    Mastering a subject?
    Ship’s Master?
    Master recording?
    Masturb… never mind.

    This is stupid.
    (I’m sure I got my apostrophes wrong)

  4. Nick Flandrey says:

    My zip code is has the 5th highest number of cases in Houston, with second and third just to the west, and the 11th on the southwest. Most of the top 20 zips are on the west side.

    n

  5. Nick Flandrey says:

    ” Any amateur shooter seems to have more fire discipline than the police.”

    –most of the cops are not “gun guys”. They shoot one box a year at qualifying, ie 50 rounds. Some shoot even less than that. Cop trade-in guns are desireable because while they might be cosmetically worn (holster wear) they are usually mechanically like new.

    Further, the time they do get in the “shoot/no shoot” simulator encourages the binary set, and they all want to go home at the end of the shift, so “shoot” becomes the ingrained behaviour.

    “Gun guys”- who make up a significant part of the gun carrying population -have hundreds if not thousands of rounds thru their weapons. If they have any formal training, it’s been hammered into them that they’ll need to justify all of their actions, that “every bullet fired has a lawyer attached”, etc. No qualified immunity either.

    As more people carry who are not ‘gun guys’, and who don’t have much training or practice, I expect to see more sketchy incidents.

    n

  6. Nick Flandrey says:

    Chuckie Cheeze bites it

    Chuck E. Cheese files for bankruptcy citing virus shutdowns

    https://www.houstonchronicle.com/politics/texas/article/Gov-Abbott-bans-elective-surgeries-in-Harris-15365950.php

    “If we are unable to slow the spread over the next few weeks, then we will have to re-evaluate to the extent to which businesses are open,” Abbott said in an interview with NBCDFW on Wednesday. “Because if it’s not contained in the next couple of weeks it will be completely out of control and Texas will have to ratchet back.”

    n

  7. Nick Flandrey says:

    Houston-based Pappas Restaurants announced on Friday that it has permanently closed five restaurants.

    The shuttered locations include Yia Yia Mary’s Mediterranean Kitchen at 4747 San Felipe St.; Pappas Seafood House at I-45 North at Aldine Bender; and Pappadeaux Seafood Kitchen at 2410 Richmond Ave..

    Pappas Shrimp Shack at 6945 I-45 South and Little Pappas Seafood House at 3001 S Shepherd Dr. are also closed.

    “This was not an easy decision but one that is made carefully, with thought and intention, considering the best for the organization as a whole,” said director of marketing Christina H. Pappas.

    Pappas restaurants are a fixture in Houston.

    n

  8. Chad says:

    CDC said there are almost no truly asymptomatic cases, they either develop symptoms or when pressed remember that they did indeed have mild symptoms. FWIW

    That may be why some places are saying 80% but the CDC is saying 35% for asymptomatic cases. I suppose for most laypeople that being so mildly symptomatic that it’s forgettable is the same as being asymptomatic.

    I joke with my son, who works in child care, that children are actually just little bags of germs

    Amen to that. My kid, and as a result most of the family, was regularly ill from the time my daughter started daycare until she was in about 1st grade. Until they get past that “That’s a neat ball you have in your mouth. Can I have it so I can put it in my mouth?” stage they’re just one huge biohazard. There’s a funny Louis CK bit about how his young daughter was sitting on his lap and they were talking and out of nowhere she just coughed and it pretty much went directly into his mouth.

    If anyone here has a credible scenario for how we get back to “normal” by Christmas, feel free to share in comments.

    Two things I can think of to have us back to or mostly back to normal by Christmas…

    COVID-19 Fatigue: People will simply stop caring. Many already have.

    BLM are fair weather protestors. No mobs are going to be roaming the streets in December/January in Minneapolis (or Chicago, or Detroit, or Seattle, or NYC…). I would love to see every riot in the northern US by month it occurred in. I’m guessing Dec/Jan/Feb are historically pretty peaceful months.

  9. MrAtoz says:

    Chuckie Cheeze bites it

    Closing businesses again will be the death toll for the FUSA. The ProgLibTurds and MSM are using COVID to paint the picture “tRump is dead! Long Live Plugs”. If tRump is re-elected, CWII starts. The Dumbos are using BLM and rayyycism to change the country into a Third World Shithole. They expect to rule over us, but will die just like every Commie country before.

  10. Nick Flandrey says:

    Hulu takes down three Scrubs episodes featuring blackface… days after 30 Rock pulled four episodes off streaming for the same reason

    –despite any protestations about the motives for the censorship/memoryholing (we’re doing it to protect the kids) all these alterations do is protect the ACTORS and show owners.

    we’re living in 1984

    And it’s all the more reason to OWN PHYSICAL MEDIA for anything you like or want to keep. Digital records are not ‘records’. Digital documents aren’t ‘documents’. They are too changeable, they do not lock something down in time. Neal Stephenson actually addressed this years ago in an essay.

    n

  11. Nick Flandrey says:

    Covid fatigue might occur, but it won’t make people stop getting it. The restrictions, changes in behaviour, etc have a life of their own and I do not see that changing.

    With the increase in cases/hospitalizations, and the shift in the affected demographic, I think we’ll see another change in attitude and behaviour. A few tragic stories on FB from the 20/30-somethings who can’t breathe from the scarring on their lungs and how ‘covid changed my life’ ‘I survived but I’ll never be the same’ will probably do the trick.

    n

  12. Harold Combs says:

    OWN PHYSICAL MEDIA

    We got a DVD of Song of the South when it was available years ago. You’ll never see this on streaming media

  13. JimM says:

    >”… when pressed remember that they did indeed have mild symptoms.”
    That is an opportunity for confirmation bias. How many people who are validly negative for corona would also remember mild symptoms if “pressed”? How many more would remember mild symptoms if they were also convinced that they have now been diagnosed with corona?

  14. Greg Norton says:

    Chuckie Cheeze bites it

    Chuck E. Cheese files for bankruptcy citing virus shutdowns

    No more DoorDash Pasquale’s Pizza delivery.

    Chuck E. Cheese has been circling the drain for at least 20 years. The stores in Tampa and Orlando were dominated by a scary demographic any time we went in for a kiddie party.

  15. SteveF says:

    Covid fatigue might occur, but it won’t make people stop getting it.

    People will continue to get colds, flus, and other diseases, too. The Chinese Flu currently looks to have a mortality rate like a bad flu, and every time we turn around the rate drops because we’re finding more people have antibodies or report having had something early in the year, which increases the denominator.

    Yah, sure, “there are signs of long-term organ damage” or “it’s possible that getting it a second time will be fatal”, or whatever’s being blatted about lately; I’m not going to waste my time paying attention. Until there’s some evidence, and in particular evidence of a difference from any other flu — which also in rare cases will cause long-term organ damage — it’s just speculation and panic-mongering. Buy into it if you want, but then you might just as well buy into the panic-mongering speculation, and the endlessly-moving goalposts, of warmenism.

  16. SteveF says:

    We got a DVD of Song of the South

    I found an image online and downloaded and burned a CD (not DVD) back around 1994 or 95, when practically no one outside of colleges had an internet connection. The guy I gave it to was very happy because he (or his wife or kid) loved the movie and his VHS tape (remember those?) had worn out and it was impossible to find a replacement.

  17. Nick Flandrey says:

    Also, it seems to me that people aren’t internalizing some of the changes.

    They’ll say “those jobs are gone. They’re never coming back” but in the next breath they’ll wail “who will teach the kids at home if the schools/daycares/kiddie prisons don’t re-open…”

    –um, it will be the parent with no job. Like it used to be for decades. Before doubling the number of available workers drove down wages, and made two income households common, which not coincidentally gave rise to daycare, extended school programs, and put strangers and politically indoctrinated organizations in charge of raising the next generation of kids.

    Seriously, if the job loss is as bad as they’re saying, there will be plenty of parents at home to oversee the kids’ educations. If they aren’t coming back, gone forever, new normal, then YOU AREN’T GOING BACK TO WORK.

    If you aren’t at work, how do you get medical insurance? If you are working from home, will the IRS lighten up on the home office stuff? (widely seen as a red flag to claim home office credits, most people don’t follow the extremely restrictive rules to make it legal for the IRS) What will it mean for bigcorp HR departments when you don’t have an ergonomic workstation at home? Can you sue for RSI? That was always one of the arguments against working from home. I had to get a proper chair and document that with my company’s HR department. Will you get a stipend and how will it be taxed? Does your deed or HOA even allow home offices?

    wrt jobs, there will be a lot more pressure to hire documented workers. Soccer Mom doesn’t care about illegals working, might even welcome it, but if Soccer Dad isn’t buying the groceries anymore, she’ll focus her considerable attention on the issue. SHE doesn’t want to go back to work….

    Fewer restaurants = fewer jobs for illegals, fewer slave traders*. Ditto nail salons/day spas.

    We’ve seen what homelessness and itinerant living means for honest families and workers during previous collapses. What will it mean for the mentally ill addicts that make up most of our current homeless population when THAT demographic shifts. Especially in an age when flashmobs are possible? What will the 21st century Oakie look like?

    n

    *sorry, ‘human traffickers’ in the newspeak

  18. Greg Norton says:

    “Houston-based Pappas Restaurants announced on Friday that it has permanently closed five restaurants.”

    Pappas restaurants are a fixture in Houston.

    In Austin and San Antonio, the group’s restaurants are expense account dining for business travelers, and the seafood outlets have the same fundamental problems that led Darden to unload Red Lobster.

  19. Jenny says:

    @Harold
    OWN PHYSICAL MEDIA
    We got a DVD of Song of the South
    My husband got a DVD of this from I don’t want to know where a couple years ago. It’s marvelous. I recall it from my childhood then it fell off the map.
    No way could it be sold or made in todays climate.

  20. Greg Norton says:

    “If we are unable to slow the spread over the next few weeks, then we will have to re-evaluate to the extent to which businesses are open,” Abbott said in an interview with NBCDFW on Wednesday. “Because if it’s not contained in the next couple of weeks it will be completely out of control and Texas will have to ratchet back.”

    Abbott will be done the moment he announces a second shutdown. The Progs will smell blood in the water, and field a real candidate for Governor in 2022 as opposed to Wendy Davis or Lupe Valdez, both deeply flawed jokes.

    If he’s going to do it again, the order must include an enforcement mechanism for infected people to stay home for two weeks after a positive test, subject to random checks. Burn it out in July or we’ll have to do a lockdown again in September/October.

  21. Chad says:

    Chuckie Cheeze bites it

    Meh. Chapter 11. They’ll “reorganize” by telling their creditors to piss off and closing a chunk of under-performing locations and then be back at it before their next bankruptcy in 2-3 years.

  22. lynn says:

    If anyone here has a credible scenario for how we get back to “normal” by Christmas, feel free to share in comments. I can not think of what would need to happen for that to work out. I can think of LOTS of ways things are worse then than now. So, unless you can do the math, and show your work for how this all ends before the end of the year, it behooves you to make some preparations.

    This stuff has a life of its own now, and it won’t want to die.

    What is “normal” ? We have not had normal for years, maybe decades. The 2008 credit debacle nearly took this country down and we never recovered from that.

  23. lynn says:

    “Facial Recognition Leads Detroit Police to Arrest the Wrong Man”
    https://www.pcmag.com/news/facial-recognition-leads-detroit-police-to-arrest-the-wrong-man

    And of course, the facial recognition software does not work well on minorities. I hope that this guy sues the city of Detroit into a big payday. The police never should have arrested him when he did not visibly match the photo.

  24. lynn says:

    Pappas restaurants are a fixture in Houston.

    No joke, always dependable good food and service across The Great State of Texas. I suspect that the Pappas brothers have well over 100 locations in the Houston, Dallas – Fort Worth, and Austin – San Antonio metropolitan areas. Just bring your big wallet.

  25. lynn says:

    We’re going to be prudent, cautious, and considerate. I think having a family we know all come down with wuflu has ratcheted up my wife’s concern level dramatically. She’s quoting local hospitalization rates and available ICU beds to ME….

    Stay out of bars and adventure parks. Anywhere that requires a line to get in or to wait for an attraction. Wear a mask when around other people not in your family.

  26. dkreck says:

    Chuckie needs to die! Karma for years of awful entertainment and even worse food.

  27. lynn says:

    Getting the police to stop doing stupid things might help. No more “qualified immunity”, no more “no knock raids” unless you have something like a hostage situation. And a lot of retraining. Any amateur shooter seems to have more fire discipline than the police. That might prevent there being a next martyr.

    No knock raids are definitely bad news. I am not sure about qualified immunity, that relates back to sovereign immunity. In fact, any lawsuit filed against a police officer should be loser pays.

    I’ve been in a shooting house once. I went through two 16 round mags in my .40, shot about 20 to 25 rounds. The adrenaline is high, very high. I snuck around a corner and and a plywood dummy was holding a knife to the throat of a plywood woman. The guy behind me was yelling “shoot, shoot, shoot”. So I put at least ten rounds into the plywood bad guy. And the guy behind me yelled, “he’s not going down, head shot !”. So I put one in the head. Afterwards I was just drained of energy, I had been on total adrenaline for the entire ten minutes.

    When people are involved, bad things and good things are going to happen. And if the bad guy is acting bad, they will get hurt. People keep on forgetting that we have 320+ million people in the USA, screwups are going to happen. And there does need to be repercussions for the screwups, especially if they happen to the same officer over and over again.

  28. lynn says:

    “New GOP Bill Would Cripple End-to-End Encryption”
    https://www.pcmag.com/news/gop-senators-try-to-cripple-end-to-end-encryption-with-new-bill

    Here we go again. “Trust me.”

    The minute anyone says “trust me”, I immediately grab my wallet and a gun.

  29. lynn says:

    My zip code is has the 5th highest number of cases in Houston, with second and third just to the west, and the 11th on the southwest. Most of the top 20 zips are on the west side.

    Looks like the high minority areas of Houston.
    https://www.chron.com/coronavirus/slideshow/UPDATED-Harris-County-ZIP-codes-with-the-most-204375.php?cmpid=trend

    30% of Fort Bend County’s infected are supposedly black. Or maybe that is 30% of the dead (50 as of yesterday) are black, I do not remember exactly.

  30. Clayton W. says:

    “Facial Recognition Leads Detroit Police to Arrest the Wrong Man”

    I know a lot of people are against this technology, but I always judge it by what is different than having a cop on the corner. He has looked at the wanted posters and thinks you look like one of the wanted. He would bring you to the station for an a better look. No real difference.

    Same with crime cameras, etc.

  31. Nick Flandrey says:

    “What is “normal” ? We have not had normal for years, maybe decades. ”

    –normal for this purpose is

    -shopping without waiting in line outside, all previously available items in stock.
    -restaurants and bars open and serving customers
    -daycare and schools operating as they did in December
    -Dr visits available and requiring minimal PPE or special procedures
    -offices filled with workers, all busy on the job
    -large gatherings unimpeded

    you know, ‘normal’ life, circa 4 months ago.

    n

  32. Nick Flandrey says:

    https://www.pcmag.com/news/facial-recognition-leads-detroit-police-to-arrest-the-wrong-man

    –nothing burger. The cops were lazy. They used a tool in a way it wasn’t designed or approved to be used.

    PCmag’s sloppy reporting, “However, past studies have found facial-recognition software can often misidentify people of color. ” should read “However, past studies have found facial-recognition software can often misidentify people.” Full stop.

    HUMANS misidentify people. Eyewitness accounts are notoriously unreliable. I’ve got pictures of my kids I couldn’t tell you which was which. I’ve got pictures from highschool, I can’t tell if it’s me or my best friend.

    The cops should have investigated. INTERVIEWED the guy. They jumped to arresting the guy. Anyone here surprised that the cops took the easiest path, shortcutting procedure, and grabbing the first guy they (figuratively) saw?

    The only thing that surprises me about the story is that the cops bothered to investigate at all.

    n

  33. gavin says:

    Digital documents aren’t ‘documents’. They are too changeable, they do not lock something down in time. Neal Stephenson actually addressed this years ago in an essay.

    I think this is the proper use case for blockchain applications. Not sure how it would be implemented, or by whom.

    It’s something that’s been in my head since I read the Artur Blord stories by A. E. van Vogt and E. Mayne Hull with the concept of a ‘Registered Circuit’ which was a means to publish something in an unchangeable medium, for contracts, marriage licenses etc.

  34. Greg Norton says:

    you know, ‘normal’ life, circa 4 months ago.

    A lot of the population doesn’t want “normal” back. Their jobs — at places like schools, stores, and doctors’ offices — in a word, sucked.

  35. Chad says:

    A lot of the population doesn’t want “normal” back. Their jobs — at places like schools, stores, and doctors’ offices — in a word, sucked.

    That’s true. There’s a lot of people WFH for the first time because they worked for employers who were against it up until the pandemic. Now, they’ve gotten a taste for it and a lot of them love it. Likewise, there’s a lot of kids forced into a lot of activities by parents who are finally getting some free time to do what they want and hang out with their friends. There’s a lot of control freaks and busy bodies out there who needed something like this to give them an attitude readjustment.

  36. Greg Norton says:

    That’s true. There’s a lot of people WFH for the first time because they worked for employers who were against it up until the pandemic. Now, they’ve gotten a taste for it and a lot of them love it.

    WFH won’t last. I went through the complete cycle when I worked for IBM’s VPN vendor. My generation combined with the Boomer women in the Work From Home Mommy (and a few Daddies) Mafia (TM) burned large companies big time leading to a watershed moment a decade ago when a lot of major employers decided to pull the plug on “working” from home.

    I have no doubt the cycle will repeat with the Millennials. My generation never felt as entitled as the 30-somethings today, and the build up in abuse of the WFH system took a while.

  37. paul says:

    I ordered a battery for my LG V20 phone. It’s suppose to be new but how that’s defined is unknown. New = fresh from the factory? New = unused and a few years old?

    The LG page for my phone says “up to 17 days standby time”. It doesn’t say how to get there. Do I disable the second screen or what? Details would be nice. Or even better, how many standby days with everything at factory defaults?

    I get a couple of days with the phone just laying on the coffee table. I charged it yesterday. Used it as a TV remote for a while, checked mail, and when I went to bed it showed 98% charge. Just now, 65%. 21 hours since last charge.
    The other day it showed 38% and dropped to 15% in five minutes of checking e-mail.

    It has never seemed to have great battery life. For under $10 I’ll know more next week.

    It’s like my Galaxy s2 for battery life. I knew that phone was a few years old when I bought it. New, on sale, Wal-Mart, StraightTalk, what can I say. I replaced that battery a few weeks before stupidly trying to update Cyanogen Mod. Turned a nice phone that needed charging once a week (instead of every other day) into an expensive paperweight.

  38. paul says:

    I’ve never had a job where I could WFH. Kind of hard to re-set tills and make bank deposits without getting to play with the money.

  39. Greg Norton says:

    Speaking of Song of the South….

    https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/world/disney-world-and-disneyland-are-turning-splash-mountain-into-a-princess-and-the-frog-themed-attraction/ar-BB15YlT4

    Supposedly, that has been in the works for a while, but I’m not buying it.

  40. SteveF says:

    That’s what drones are for, Paul. Control the drone from home as you have it plug into the till’s serial port or wifi connection, or even have it push out a pseudo finger and push buttons. Then have it scoop up the cash and fly home. Er, to the bank.

  41. lynn says:

    The cops should have investigated. INTERVIEWED the guy. They jumped to arresting the guy. Anyone here surprised that the cops took the easiest path, shortcutting procedure, and grabbing the first guy they (figuratively) saw?

    The only thing that surprises me about the story is that the cops bothered to investigate at all.

    Word.

  42. Chad says:

    Princess and the Frog is an example of a Disney movie that sort of fizzled out. Most Disney animated movies (especially the “princess movies”) do well on release and most get generally favorable reviews, but it’s whether or not anyone is interested in them a year or two later that cements them. Hunchback of Notre Dame, Anastasia, Pocahontas, Mulan, and Princess and the Frog are all movies that sort of faded away. They can’t all be Little Mermaid, Aladdin, Beauty and the Beast, Frozen… If you struggle to find related merch 2 years after the movie left the theater then you know.

  43. lynn says:

    I had a ARB (Appraisal Review Board) at our Central Appraisal District today. The appraisers at our FBCAD raised the value of the land of my nine acre commercial property by 50% this year so I filed a protest. I told the board that I felt that the land appraisal was not good since I did not have frontage property like the comparison property did and they agreed with me. They rolled the entire value of the property back to the 2019 value. That will save me about $3,000 in property tax in the fall.

    BTW, to get into the FBCAD building I had to wear a mask and submit to a temperature check.

  44. Greg Norton says:

    Hunchback of Notre Dame, Anastasia, Pocahontas, Mulan, and Princess and the Frog are all movies that sort of faded away. They can’t all be Little Mermaid, Aladdin, Beauty and the Beast, Frozen…

    You forgot “The Emperor’s New Groove”. Even the “making of” documentary, “The Hotbox” (I’m not kidding about the name) is buried on that flick. Though, to be fair, for late-90s/early-2000s Disney, the end result wasn’t terrible. I would put it on the same level as “Sky High” and “Enchanted” as demonstrating Disney potential had they not fallen down the Marvel/Lucasfilm rabbit hole.

    Disney animated movies struggled without Katzenberg, and Eisner gutted the hand drawn animation groups. Lasseter brought them part of the way back, but he had his own issues.

    Hand drawn is done for a long time. Kevin Lima’s “Enchanted” sequel got shelved when the director spilled the beans about the situation during an interview for the 10th anniversary of the film’s release — Disney outsourced the hand-drawn work in “Enchanted” because it couldn’t do that quality level of work by itself anymore.

  45. Chad says:

    Around here if you don’t have a conflicting appraisal in hand from a licensed appraiser then your valuation appeal is usually rejected. Most people don’t want to pay for an appraisal on the hopes their appeal is successful so they let the county assessor stick it to them.

    I guess it’s a two edged sword. Everyone wants their property to appreciate in value but nobody wants their property tax valuation to increase. It’s hard to have one without the other. Especially if a “similar” nearby property just recently sold and the list of comparables they’re using jumps in value.

  46. lynn says:

    “Native Americans protesting Trump trip to Mount Rushmore”
    https://apnews.com/50f6bdb9e2fd2349bb39b99c1250b093

    “SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (AP) — President Donald Trump’s plans to kick off Independence Day with a showy display at Mount Rushmore have angered Native Americans, who view the monument as a desecration of land violently stolen from them and used to pay homage to leaders hostile to Indigenous people.”

    Two items on my bucket list are visiting Mt. Rushmore and watching a manned space launch. Looks like I may have to visit Mt. Rushmore soon. No telling when somebody is going to dynamite it now.

    Hat tip to:
    http://drudgereport.com/

  47. RickH says:

    I recall listening to my Dad read stories from a big “Song of the South” book when I was small. This was probably about 1958-9. I believe we even had a big LP (vinyl to you young whippersnappers) of the songs and stories. Good memories of him reading the story using appropriate voices.

    So, I did a googles of “Song of the South”, hit the Shopping tab, and found many entries. I picked the DVD of the extended version and ordered it. There were many shopping choices, at prices of $15 to $60. I bought the $15 one, with free shipping.

    So it is available out there, if you want it.

  48. Greg Norton says:

    Two items on my bucket list are visiting Mt. Rushmore and watching a manned space launch. Looks like I may have to visit Mt. Rushmore soon. No telling when somebody is going to dynamite it now.

    Mt. Rushmore isn’t going anywhere. The visitor center presentation may change to present a more “balanced” view of the monument, but the sculpture will remain.

    Why the h*ll else would anyone go to S. Dakota?

    I gave serious thought to making my second FL to Portland run across the more northern route to stop at Mount Rushmore and see a few other things, but, by mid-October in 2010, freezing temperatures were already happening on the more southern route across NE and WY.

  49. hcombs says:

    Digital documents aren’t ‘documents’. They are too changeable, they do not lock something down in time. Neal Stephenson actually addressed this years ago in an essay.

    True unless they are hashed and encrypted with asymmetric encryption. I addressed this in the 90s for a firm selling digital futures. We used asymmetric encryption to produce verifiable source and encrypted hash to produce tamper-proof data. This was for a Toronto based start-up. Too bad the company went belly-up spending millions on a Tempest quality computer facility. But I did learn a lot about securing digital data working on that project.

  50. ITGuy1998 says:

    Speaking of Song of the South….

    https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/world/disney-world-and-disneyland-are-turning-splash-mountain-into-a-princess-and-the-frog-themed-attraction/ar-BB15YlT4

    Supposedly, that has been in the works for a while, but I’m not buying it.

    I’d say Disney knew they would get pressure to change the ride someday, and likely came up with the contingency plan a while ago. Ignoring the “issue” until it was forced on them just let them not spend the money until they had to, since they were spending a good chunk on other projects before wuflu hit.

  51. lynn says:

    Two items on my bucket list are visiting Mt. Rushmore and watching a manned space launch. Looks like I may have to visit Mt. Rushmore soon. No telling when somebody is going to dynamite it now.

    Mt. Rushmore isn’t going anywhere. The visitor center presentation may change to present a more “balanced” view of the monument, but the sculpture will remain.

    Why the h*ll else would anyone go to S. Dakota?

    To look for gold ?
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Treasure:_Book_of_Secrets

  52. lynn says:

    Wait, where did this thumbs up thing come from ?

  53. lynn says:

    Around here if you don’t have a conflicting appraisal in hand from a licensed appraiser then your valuation appeal is usually rejected. Most people don’t want to pay for an appraisal on the hopes their appeal is successful so they let the county assessor stick it to them.

    I guess it’s a two edged sword. Everyone wants their property to appreciate in value but nobody wants their property tax valuation to increase. It’s hard to have one without the other. Especially if a “similar” nearby property just recently sold and the list of comparables they’re using jumps in value.

    I would have been totally happy if they split the difference with me. But the board decided to go totally to my suggested value which is ok with me. I pay a LOT of property taxes and every little bit helps. Note that I did not contest the value on the five acres of land that has all of the road frontage on it.

    I also wonder if the board was told be generous due to the SARS-COV-2 thing causing property values to drop like a rock. Lots of small businesses (all three of mine !) are hurting due to the oil and gas drop and the SARS-COV-2 doubled down on that.

  54. Rick Hellewell says:

    @lynn

    Wait, where did this thumbs up thing come from ?

    That’s what happens when an admin gets bored. It’s an experiment. Will go away if people complain. Wanted to see if anyone was paying attention.

    Only allows one vote per person/cookie. Can be one vote/IP address.

  55. lynn says:

    “For the first time, the majority of people under 16 in America are nonwhite and Hispanic”
    https://www.fastcompany.com/90521390/for-the-first-time-the-majority-of-people-under-16-in-america-are-nonwhite-and-hispanic

    “The Census Bureau has released its latest population estimates, which include data from 2019. And on the whole, it shows an aging white America and an increasingly diverse United States.”

    “Here are some general insights:”

    ” Our nation is getting bigger: The total population hovered around 329 million in 2019, up from around 308 million in 2010.”

    The last person that I hired is half Hispanic, half white. He is a great guy and works hard for me as a salesperson. I have really enjoyed having him help me out. If he is a good example of the new population (he is 24) then we are ok.

    Hat tip to:
    http://drudgereport.com/

  56. Greg Norton says:

    “Why the h*ll else would anyone go to S. Dakota?”

    To look for gold ?
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Treasure:_Book_of_Secrets

    Don’t laugh. Being featured in a Hollywood film is a huge argument for preservation.

    About 20 years ago, when the cross on Mount Davidson in San Francisco was endangered by Church/State loonies, someone reminded the city planning board that the cross was featured in “Dirty Harry” with Eastwood kissing the cross at one point during a confrontation with the bad guy. Cross saved!

    Mount Rushmore plays a huge part in “North by Northwest” among other flicks, and a bit of revisionist film history by Martin Landau before he died tagged his character (Landau’s first big film role) as being LGBTQXYZ and possibly a closeted lover of James Mason’s main antagonist.

    Don’t underestimate how much weight that will carry. Hitchcock is sacred, more so than Eastwood. Universal will want that monument preserved.

  57. Ray Thompson says:

    Why the h*ll else would anyone go to S. Dakota?

    To get to North Dakota. Then that begs the question why the h*ll go to North Dakota. Canada I guess. But who wants to go to Canada?

  58. Greg Norton says:

    “Why the h*ll else would anyone go to S. Dakota?”

    To get to North Dakota. Then that begs the question why the h*ll go to North Dakota. Canada I guess. But who wants to go to Canada?

    The “Corner Gas” set in Rouleau was demolished in 2016 after the movie wrapped. That’s the only reason I ever considered heading into that part of Canada when we lived in WA State.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-hqL66YVTmo

  59. pcb_duffer says:

    [snip] Why the h*ll else would anyone go to South Dakota? [snip]

    1 To see Wall Drug. To use a modern day analogy, it’s sort of a Bucee’s without gas pumps.
    2 Because Uncle Sam told you to live at Ellsworth AFB.
    3 Because you live on a reservation in Nebraska, and alcohol is closest just across the line in South Dakota. Seriously, the road is supposedly known as the Blood Highway.
    4 To visit Custer State Park, the Badlands, and the Crazy Horse Memorial.

  60. SteveF says:

    Why the h*ll else would anyone go to S. Dakota?

    Because South Dakota is a very business-friendly state, especially small business and startups.

    (Or it was. Haven’t checked lately, since it’s become obvious that I’m stucking in NYF’inS for five more years.)

  61. lynn says:

    “House Democrats will vote to make Washington D.C. a state – and rename the District of Columbia the Douglass Commonwealth”
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8460719/House-Democrats-vote-make-Washington-D-C-state-renaming-Douglass-Commonwealth.html

    Nope.

    Hat tip to:
    http://drudgereport.com/

  62. lynn says:

    “Data map reveals the 23% of US counties that are currently seeing an uncontrollable growth in COVID-19 – as new model predicts Phoenix alone could see 28,000 new infections a DAY by July 18”
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8459417/Data-shows-23-counties-seeing-uncontrollable-COVID-growth.html

    “In Houston, daily infections are forecast to increase to more than 4,500 in the same time frame. Miami could see cases surge to more than 2,800 in the next three weeks.”

    I don’t trust the model. And I hope that it is wrong.

    Hat tip to:
    http://drudgereport.com/

  63. Greg Norton says:

    “In Houston, daily infections are forecast to increase to more than 4,500 in the same time frame. Miami could see cases surge to more than 2,800 in the next three weeks.”

    I don’t trust the model. And I hope that it is wrong.

    The Daily Mail. Again, take it with a grain of salt.

    I can imagine the giggling that takes place in the newsrom at The Mail … well, except the morning they found out how much they would have to pay to the Trump family to settle the slander lawsuit.

  64. Nick Flandrey says:

    Well, got home from my site visit, although I’ll be going back tomorrow. Finally got approval to swap the TV at Costco. Don’t know why it took an extra week. Guy on the phone was coughing his lungs out.

    Pretty sure we lost the input board on the theater projector. It’s a $16K sony so I hope they can repair it. Lightning again. Last time we had to fix that projector it was the same thing. Nearby lighting strike killed the input board on the proj, and the video out on the AV receiver it is connected too. I’ll be double checking tomorrow but I think it’s smoked. I’m going to suggest we put a fiber extender in place of the copper HDMI just to keep it from happening again. I tried to test the input today with my signal generator, but the 5v wall wart was dead as a doornail. Age related failure. Most of the wall warts we’ve lost over there in the past couple of months are similar ages. Caps or tin whiskers, it’s a huge pain in the butt.

    It was HOT in the attic, even at 83F and overcast…

    n

  65. Nick Flandrey says:

    A used Frigidaire upright freezer, def not new, just went for $550 in an estate auction here. That’s about $687 out the door.

    #panicbuyingfreezers

    Wisdom of crowds?

    n

  66. lynn says:

    “25 Best Young Adult Fantasy Books” by Dan Livingston
    https://fantasybookworld.com/25-best-young-adult-fantasy-books/

    I think that I have read “Nine Princes in Amber”. I know that I have read “Dragonflight”, “The Once and Future King”, and “Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s Stone”.

    I have seen the “Watership Down”, “Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s Stone”, and “The Golden Compass” movies.

  67. ayjblog says:

    half hispanic half white, always seemed hilarious the american clasification, its a goodexample, jajajjajajja

    As you say, utterly nonsense

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