Month: October 2016

Tuesday, 11 October 2016

09:55 – Last night was the first of the season where our low got down into the 30’s (~ 3C). When I took Colin out first thing this morning, the breeze made the wind chill below freezing. Our first night below actual freezing is normally on 10/31. We may beat that this year.

With four weeks to go until the election, things are getting messy, as was predictable and predicted. As Buffalo Springfield sang nearly 50 years ago, “There’s battle lines being drawn…”. Literally, not figuratively. Trump, who not long ago would have been considered a moderate left Democrat, is bizarrely now the right’s last best hope. The Alinskyite/Trotksyite progressives now own both the Democrat and Republican parties. Candidates who not long ago would have been considered middle-of-the-road are now cast as hard right, if not outright Nazis. Something’s going to break, and break badly. Meanwhile, we Normals stand aghast watching this Kabuki theater, without a candidate to call our own. We’re a patient, well-behaved bunch, but patience has its limits. We can be pushed too far, and that point is rapidly approaching, if it hasn’t occurred already. I’m seeing one sentiment expressed more and more often: “Is it time yet to start shooting?” I’m afraid for the more radical Normals, the answer is becoming, “Yes!”

You’ll know it’s happening when you start to see news stories about left-wing politicians, which is to say nearly all of them, being assassinated. There must be a million or more Normals with the equipment and skills to take down a human-size target at 300 yards or more. If even 0.01% of them start shooting, things would get very interesting very fast.




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Monday, 10 October 2016

09:17 – Barbara was out doing some work in the yard yesterday when she was attacked by our black walnut tree. The winds were gusty, and walnuts started dropping in droves. At least one nailed her. There are hundreds of them down in the yard now, with hundreds still remaining on the tree.

I’d like to harvest the walnuts, but I have no idea what the best way to proceed is. I vaguely remember back in the 70’s visiting a friend of a friend who had walnuts. IIRC, he’d collected them and put them out to dry. He had a steel plate with walnut-size holes in it. After filling the plate with raw walnuts, he’d smack each one with a rubber mallet to drive it through the hole and de-shell it. But we have no such plate, and I’m wondering if there’s an easier way to go about harvesting them.

Barbara’s at the gym right now. When she gets back, we need to build another batch of the CK01B chemistry kits. Once that’s complete, I’d like to get more bulk staples repackaged, including several 50-pound bags of flour, sugar, and rice. Also, Barbara has commented a couple of times now that the one-gallon jugs of pancake syrup are awkward to handle, particularly when they’re nearly full. I have several of the flip-top 89 fluid ounce (2.63L) orange juice jugs that we’ve cleaned and dried, so I’m going to transfer pancake syrup from the one-gallon jugs into those. Once cleaned, those one-gallon jugs will be useful for storing bulk staples.

I didn’t bother watching any of the debate last night. Watching two psychopaths going at each other isn’t my idea of a good time. Unless, as I’ve suggested, they arm both of them with helmets, shields, and short swords and let them go at it that way. I think Trump could take her. Not that it’d make much difference. Whichever one wins, we Normals are screwed.


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Sunday, 9 October 2016

10:25 – The effects of the hurricane are mostly gone up here, other than a stiff breeze with strong gusts. The temperature this morning was in the mid-40’s (~ 7C), but the wind chill was down below freezing. I don’t worry too much about wind unless I see cows rolling by in the field behind us.

We filled bottles yesterday of things we’re short of. Six dozen each 15 mL bottles of barium nitrate solution and potassium ferricyanide solution, and four 3,000 mL bottles of bread flour. Those last were some leftover bread flour we’d packaged temporarily in gallon ziplock bags when we ran out of clean PET bottles. I wanted to get them transferred to a better LTS container, and 3-liter bottles fit the bill. Using a cut-off 2-liter bottle as a large wide-mouth funnel made it easy to transfer the flour. It took only about a fifth as long to make the transfer to 3-liter bottles as it would have taken transferring it to narrower-mouth 2-liter bottles. At some point soon, we need to get another 250 pounds of flour, rice, and sugar transferred to PET bottles. We’ll use 2-liter bottles for the latter two, which are free-flowing enough that the 2-liter bottles work fine.

It appears that the gloves have come off in the Trump/Clinton war of words. I suspect Clinton will lose this battle. She’s an incredibly nasty piece of work, but she’s not the street-fighter that Trump is. Clinton releases a pretty innocuous audio tape and claims that Trump is anti-woman. Trump responds by hauling out the big guns, and accuses her husband of being a literal rapist, with testimony to back that from some of the women who accuse Bill of raping them. So Trump is proven to be crude, which all of his supporters already knew. And Clinton is accused of not just enabling but actively assisting her husband in raping multiple women, which all of Clinton’s supporters also already knew. But I suspect Trump hammering on this is going to damage Clinton by making many of her female supporters think again about the role she played in her husband’s despicable and criminal behavior.

With a month until the election, I suspect that things are going to get a lot nastier. A lot. Given the Clintons’ alleged habit of murdering opponents, if I were Trump I’d be hiring a phalanx of steely-eyed security men who were beholden only to me. And I wouldn’t eat or drink anything that had been out of my sight.


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Saturday, 8 October 2016

09:41 – We’re up to 2.4 inches (6 cm) of rain since Thursday night. It’s been light but steady the whole time. The breeze has picked up this morning, but a gentle rain and a light breeze are the only effects we’ve seen from Hurricane Matthew. My guess is that the sprinkle and breeze will continue through tomorrow afternoon.

I keep seeing articles about Trump supporters being poor, lower-class, poorly educated, and (implicitly if not explicitly) stupid. Obviously, none of those fit the Trump supporters who comment here. No one comments on the fact that it’s simply mistaken to equate a college degree with being educated. Most of the people I know have a college degree. In fact, most of them have a post-graduate degree. But those degrees are in real subjects. Calling someone who has an undergraduate degree or even a doctorate in non-disciplines like psychology or sociology or education “educated” is just flat-out wrong. The media are using “educated” to mean people who have undergone four or more years of progressive indoctrination, and by that definition it’s no wonder that “educated” people are more likely to support Clinton.

Several commenters yesterday warned me to expect 4H to require a background check before accepting me as a volunteer. My first reaction was simply to refuse. I’m not a pervert. The only time in my life that I’ve been stopped by the police was 30 years ago, when I was ticketed for driving 40 MPH in a 35 zone. I’m 63 years old, married for more than half of those years, and own a home locally. If you chose a random universe of 10,000 people like me, maybe one would be a pervert. Insulting all 10,000 in that group to catch maybe one pervert is ridiculous.

When I mentioned this to Barbara this morning, her only comment was that in this day and age she didn’t think a background check was unreasonable. Which is true. Someone commented yesterday that this insanity may not have reached our rural area, and that’s probably true for local organizations. But 4H is a national organization that’s administered locally by the state Department of Agriculture. So it’s quite possible that they will require a background check. I’m undecided as to what I’ll do if they do insist on it. And, in this day and age, I’m actually more concerned about protecting myself than I am about protecting the kids. I want to make very sure that I’m never in a position where a kid could accuse me of something perverted. Obviously, that means never being alone with a kid, particularly a girl. That’s a sad commentary on how far we’ve let things get.


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Friday, 7 October 2016

09:44 – We’re already getting rain from the outer bands of Matthew. Half an inch (1.3 cm) overnight. Depending on Matthew’s track, we may get anything from another inch or so down to nothing. Lori just picked up the mail. Her daughter is home from UGA in Athens, Georgia to await developments. I suspect most kids from colleges near the coast whose family homes are inland and within driving distance are home for the weekend, many of them with friends or roommates whose family homes are too far away to make it practical to drive home.

We cleaned, sanitized, and dried 44 three-liter bottles, which we’ll be filling with bulk staples over the next few days. We used the double kitchen sink, with each side filled with six or seven gallons (~25 liters) of water, with dish washing detergent and half a cup (120 mL) of chlorine bleach added to each side. One unanticipated side effect was that our white porcelain sinks are now pure white. Scrubbing with abrasive detergent gets them reasonably clean, but chlorine bleach diluted one tablespoon (15 mL) to a gallon (4 L) of water gets them really clean. Our hands were also a lot cleaner than they’ve been in years. Having them in that solution pretty much constantly for an hour or two probably killed every microorganism that had been on them.

In the interest of getting to know more people in the community, I called the 4-H representative yesterday and asked if they needed volunteers. She fell all over herself encouraging me to volunteer, particularly once I told her about my background in science. The woman who actually coordinates volunteers was out of the office for a week-long training session, but she’s going to call me when she returns.


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Thursday, 6 October 2016

10:05 – Email overnight from Jen and Brittany. For the last ten weeks, they’ve both been keeping track of how much toilet paper their families actually use, counting dead rolls each time they emptied the bathroom trash. They both thought the toilet paper they had in LTS was sufficient for at least a year. They were both optimistic by at least a factor of two.

Jen and David average 2.2 rolls/week for the two of them. Brittany and her family average 4.1 rolls/week. That sounds about right. Men average about half a roll per week. Women, particularly those of menstrual age, go through two to three times that much. Young children average somewhere in between.

So Jen and Brittany both plan to do Costco/Sam’s runs devoted to paper products. Not just toilet paper, but paper towels, napkins, and plates, all of which would be consumed at much higher than normal rates during an emergency. In fact, those things are on my Costco list for our next run as well. And I suggested to Jen and Brittany that no matter how much toilet paper they have on hand, it may eventually run out. If that happens, it’s an excellent idea to have a bunch of personal cloths on hand, as well as lots of bleach/pool shock to sterilize them.


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Wednesday, 5 October 2016

09:40 – Barbara is down in Winston today, running errands and having lunch with a friend. As usual when she’s gone, it’s wild women and parties for Colin and me.

Most people really are stupid. I was just reading an article about Hurricane Matthew, the strongest storm to affect Florida in more than a decade. As usual, everyone panics and heads for the supermarkets and hardware stores to lay in supplies. One stupid woman who was interviewed had gone to her local Publix supermarket, in search of bottled water. She was upset to find that they were sold out of the store brand stuff and had only the more expensive name-brand bottled water left in stock. The article wasn’t clear about her actions, other than that for some reason she lay down on the empty shelf where the cheaper bottled water had been. Presumably, she left without any bottled water because it cost a few cents a bottle more than the house-brand stuff. Jesus wept.

As is usual this time of year, my component inventory system has completely broken down. The problem, as always, is that we’re doing so many things at once, and updating component inventory is often overlooked. For example, we’ll be running short of biology kits and are out of chemical bags for them. So I check inventory and find out that we have only eighteen bottles in stock of the limiting chemical. So we build 18 of the chemical bags and start assembling more biology kits. Meanwhile, we get a bulk order for chemistry kits. We ship those and realize that we’re now short on chemical bags for those kits. So we check our inventory and see that it shows that we should have 27 of the limiting chemical for those kits. But it turns out that another chemical is really the limiting chemical because I hadn’t updated the inventory records after we used 18 bottles of it to make up biology chemical bags. It turns out that instead of having enough to make up 27 chemistry kit chemical bags, we actually have only 11 of that second chemical. So we make up 11 chemistry chemical bags and start building kits. As Barbara is assembling those, I make up the solution for the chemical bottles we’d run out of. So it’s really a matter of us having so many things going on at the same time that stuff slips through the cracks. Multiply that confusion by the scores of different chemicals included in the various kits, with significant overlap between types of kits, and things quickly turn chaotic. Fortunately, things have now settled down to a dull roar, so we’ll have time to rectify the inventory count again by physically counting all of our component inventory SKUs.

With Barbara away for the day, I’m going to spend some time washing and sanitizing bottles that will contain bulk staples. I wish Coke were still sold in 3-liter bottles, because their wider mouths mean they’re immensely better than 2-liter bottles for repackaging LTS bulk foods. Someone mentioned that dollar stores still carry off-brand soft drinks in 3-liter bottles. I may pick up a couple of those to try, because I’d really like to have more 3-liter bottles. I much prefer them to foil-laminate Mylar bags for LTS food storage.

In fact, nearly all of our repackaged LTS food is in PET bottles. We use them for just about everything other than bulk storage of oxygen absorbers, for which we use glass canning jars.


11:32 – Ooh. Almost a prepper fail.

I just started a load of laundry, darks and towels. We use Chlorox II rather than chlorine bleach. When we moved up here, we knew nothing at all about septic tank care, and I decided not to risk killing the beneficial bacteria in the septic tank by using chlorine bleach. Granted, I’d only be using a cup (250 mL) or so a week, but chlorine bleach is an extremely effective bacteria killer. In retrospect, I suppose I should have run the numbers. Assuming a 1,500 gallon septic tank, I’d be adding 1/16 of a gallon of bleach, or one part 5% hypochlorite bleach to 24,000 parts water, assuming the tank is full. Call it maybe 2 ppm. Not enough to kill many bacteria, but probably enough to make them feel unwell.

I have another load of laundry queued up. All of our whites, none of which have been washed with chlorine bleach since last November. Chlorine-free bleach just doesn’t cut it for whites. All of our white underwear, socks, t-shirts, etc. are starting to have a faint yellow cast, which is what happens when you don’t use real bleach on them. So, since I was going to use a mixture of dishwashing liquid and chlorine bleach in the kitchen sinks to wash and sanitize 3-liter bottles, I went off in search of the chlorine bleach. I couldn’t find it anywhere. It wasn’t on the laundry room shelves. It wasn’t under the kitchen sink, where Barbara used to keep a supply of it for sanitizing work surfaces. It wasn’t under the sinks in any of the bathrooms. It wasn’t downstairs anywhere, including in the unfinished area.

I have enough calcium hypochlorite (pool shock) stored with the prepping supplies to make up about 30 gallons of bleach, but I didn’t want to open it. I was actually considering walking down to the convenience store across the road to buy some, but I thought to look in the cabinet under the laundry room sink. Sure enough, there was an unopened gallon of chlorine bleach nestled behind a bunch of 2-liter bottles filled with water.

The takeaway here is that if you don’t know where something is stored, you don’t have actually have it even if it’s listed in your inventory records.

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Tuesday, 4 October 2016

09:40 – Five weeks until the election, and the pot is bubbling. I suspect we’re going to see a lot of nasty stuff on both sides as the election gets closer. Barbara brought home a sample ballot yesterday. The front side lists partisan races; the reverse lists non-partisan races. That seemed normal, until I noticed that most of the “non-partisan” races listed two candidates, one labeled “Republican” and the other “Democrat”. I may, for the first time in my life, vote straight-ticket Republican. I remember my mother telling me, fifty years or more ago, “A Republican will never steal as much as a Democrat will give away.” That’s as true now as it was then.

The guys finished pouring the driveway yesterday. It took four full concrete mixers and a partial load on a fifth. We were able to walk on it last night, but they told us not to allow any vehicles on it for 10 days. The weather was ideal for concrete work yesterday and overnight, cool and dampish. I was going to go out periodically and spray the surface to keep it damp, but it looks like that won’t be necessary.

We had a bulk order yesterday that wiped out our inventory of the smaller CK01B chemistry kits, so it’s a high priority to get more of those built. We also have an order likely for a dozen full forensic science kits that we’ll need to ship as soon as we get the purchase order. Our stock on those is reasonable, but if that order comes through we’ll need to get started on building more of them. I also got a query yesterday from the editor of a magazine targeted at high-school and college forensic science teachers, asking for permission to reprint a couple of the labs from the forensic science book in their next issue. I of course granted permission, which really wasn’t even necessary since the book is published under a creative-commons license. The magazine has 18,000 subscribers, so we’re likely to see increased order volumes on the forensic science kits.

With everything else going on, prepping still continues. We have 45 three-liter bottles that I rescued when we moved up here from Winston. Those need to be cleaned and sanitized before we fill them. The 3-liter bottles are good for flour and other fluffy stuff, which is a PITA to get into the narrower-mouth 2-liter bottles. Each 3-liter bottle will hold about five pounds of flour, so the 45 we have on hand are enough for more than 200 pounds of flour.

Preparing them for use is pretty straight-forward. We’ll fill both sides of the kitchen sink with sudsy water with some chlorine bleach added. After a quick run through both sides of the sink, we’ll invert the bottles to let them drain. We can air-dry them or use silica gel beads or dry white rice to get rid of the last vestiges of moisture in them and then use a funnel we’ll make from the top half of a 2-liter bottle to fill them. After labeling them, we’ll stick them on the LTS pantry shelves.


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Monday, 3 October 2016

10:00 – We’re continuing to get a flurry of kit orders. As of this morning, we’ve already done 80% of the revenue we did in all of October 2015. I don’t worry about sales numbers too much. We’ll probably end up having a record for October this year, but on the other hand we could end up not selling a single kit for the rest of the month. Things even out, so I don’t worry about it.

We didn’t expect to get much done today because the guys showed up this morning to start pouring concrete. They tell me it’s going to take almost 50 yards (~ 38 cubic meters) to do the driveway, so we’ll have several concrete mixers showing up. The second one is pouring its load as I write this. We expected Colin to be barking berserkly all day long at all the activity out front. He did bark when the guys showed up, but then he apparently decided that if they were okay with us he didn’t need to bark constantly at them. That’s a first for him.

Like everyone, I can think back to things I thought about doing, didn’t do, and later regretted not doing. The one that immediately comes to mind for me was 25 years ago or so, when Barbara and I were in a Walmart and I noticed a stack of crates of SKS carbines in cosmoline and cans of 7.62×39 ball ammunition for them. The carbines were $29.95 each, as were the ammo cans. Three cents a round. At the time, standing there looking at the stacks, I thought seriously about buying a hundred carbines and a hundred cans of ammunition for them. That would have been $6,000 total, and those items would be worth at least ten times that much now. But I didn’t even mention it to Barbara, because I knew she’d freak at the idea of buying a hundred military rifles and a hundred thousand rounds of ammunition. So I walked out without buying even one. I wish now that I’d bought at least a crate of each, if not the whole pile.

Don’t let that happen to you. I don’t really expect anything catastrophically bad to happen over the next few months, but I wouldn’t be surprised if something did happen. Things are really on edge right now, and it wouldn’t take much of a spark to set off the powder keg. If you haven’t done so already, making at least minimal preparations for bad times should be a high priority. If things do turn to shit, you really don’t want to be sitting there wishing you’d bought and done things that are no longer options for you.


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Sunday, 2 October 2016

09:44 – Last month was really slow for kit sales. The first half of the month was normal for September, or a bit better. Around the 15th, sales fell off a cliff and we ended up doing only about two-thirds the revenue of September 2015. On the other hand, this month is starting out well. We’ve already done a third of the revenue that we did in October 2015.

According to one of my correspondents who wishes to remain anonymous, we may be in for an exciting next three months or so. Apparently, the federal government has warned federal and state LE agencies that there’s a significantly increased probability of widespread violent civil unrest associated with the election, only about five weeks from now, and we can expect an increase in so-called lone wolf terrorist attacks, particularly from Thanksgiving and Black Friday though the New Year celebrations. Intuitively, that makes sense to me. As always, it will be a very good idea to avoid central cities, shopping malls, sporting events, and any other venues that draw large crowds. And, if has been speculated, hackers attack and disable the EBT servers immediately before the election, all bets are off. It’d be a very good idea to have made at least minimal water, food, and defensive preparations, just in case.


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