Month: September 2016

Tuesday, 20 September 2016

09:32 – USPS is running today. Lori just stopped to pick up a couple of kits and told me that the Sparta area is getting limited gasoline deliveries. I suspected as much. When I took Colin out this morning to pick up the paper, there was a tanker truck sitting in the 4 Brothers/Liberty station across the road. The odd thing was that it’s normally a Beroth Oil tanker, because Beroth owns the chain of stores. This time, it was a generic tanker. The other odd thing was that when I looked again an hour or so later, the station still had the gas pumps blocked off. I wonder if the city/county has limited this station to filling emergency vehicles until the supply situation is resolved.

Lori also told me that things are getting crazy out there. When a guy at the Wilco station finally got to the pump, he filled up his tank and gas cans and then sat blocking the pump while he called his friends on his cell phone and told them that he’d keep the pump blocked until they could get there to fill up. Other people in line didn’t take that well, of course, and fist fights broke out. It’s just lucky that no one started shooting.

The problem, of course, is panic buying. Most people wait until their gas gauge is down to a quarter or less before they fill their tanks. In recent days, everyone has been filling their tanks regardless of how much they had left, not to mention filling every gas can available. Not to mention trying to hold a place in line until their friends can get there. Even if the pipeline and distribution system is operating at normal capacity, there’s no way it can keep up with that kind of demand.

My takeaway on all this is that once the emergency passes and gas cans are available again, we need to buy at least two or three cans, fill them, treat them with fuel stabilizer, and periodically cycle them through our vehicles. Not so much to have fuel for the vehicles as to have fuel for our generator if there’s a long-term power failure. I’ve calculated that we can run our well pump long enough to keep us supplied with water at a minimal level on five gallons or so of gasoline a month.

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Monday, 19 September 2016

09:18 – Barbara filled her gas tank yesterday morning, and will fill it again if she starts to see lines at gas stations or any other indication that fuel may be hard to come by. With the spate of bombings and attempted bombings in the NYC and NJ area, it’s unclear just what’s going on. She’ll be back Thursday. Colin and I can’t wait.

I’ve always favored proportional response, so it seems to me that we should trade them bomb for bomb. Any time musloid terrorists detonate one bomb in the US, we should respond by detonating one nuke over a musloid city, starting with Mecca. Tit for tat.

Colin and I ate dinner from long-term storage again last night: ground beef Stroganoff over rice. Tonight we’ll have a chicken pasta casserole. We’re finding that it’s not all that difficult to make tasty meals from long-term food storage, but it’s important to actually make those meals during normal times rather than just stocking up on what you think you’ll need. To get started, I’ll again recommend buying a copy of Jan Jackson’s 100 Day Pantry and trying out some of the recipes. And visit websites like Jamie Cooks It Up for more recipe ideas that use LTS foods.

One item that’s often overlooked in designing an LTS food plan is keeping the protein balanced. Grains provide a significant amount of protein, but the amino acid profile of that protein is unbalanced. One can literally starve to death eating only grains, even if you’re otherwise getting plenty of protein. The problem is the essential amino acids that are absent or present only in inadequate amounts in grain protein. You can supplement that with animal proteins, which are relatively expensive, but you can also supplement it with bean/legume proteins, which have the amino acids that are lacking in grain proteins. We store what most people would consider a lot of canned animal proteins, mostly chicken and ground beef, but we also store a lot of beans. Those two can also be combined in various recipes like chili, which include meat and/or TVP for flavor and beans for the bulk of the protein. Incidentally, the amino acid profile of beans is also unbalanced, so you can’t survive on just beans. You also need the grains to balance the protein there.

Another mistake that many people make in designing their LTS food plan is basing quantities on current consumption. In a long-term emergency, your food consumption pattern will change, probably a great deal. No more restaurant meals, convenience foods, ordering take-out, pizza deliveries, snacks from vending machines, etc. And you will probably end up eating much more of some items than you do during normal times. For example, Barbara and I both like pancakes, but we don’t have them very often because it takes longer than just cooking fresh foods and it makes a mess of the kitchen. But in a long-term emergency, we’d certainly be eating more pancakes–many more–and we need to plan quantities accordingly.

For example, when Barbara looks at a 10-pound bag of Krusteaz buttermilk pancake mix, she sees enough pancake mix to last the two of us a year or more. Same thing the other day when we ran out of pancake syrup and I opened another gallon.

But in a long term emergency, things change big-time. Instead of feeding just Barbara and me, we may be feeding Frances and Al, not to mention Colin. That means we’d need maybe 2.5 times as much pancake mix and syrup as we normally use. And instead of having pancakes maybe once every three weeks, we might be having them two or three times a week. And the pancakes would make up a much higher percentage of those meals’ nutrition because we might be serving them alone instead of with bacon and eggs or whatever. That means that what looks to Barbara like a year’s supply of pancakes may actually last us only a week or two in a serious emergency. And we need to stock accordingly, if not specifically Krusteaz pancake mix, at least the flour, egg powder, oil, and other items needed to make pancakes from scratch.


10:51 – Things have turned very bad very quickly in Sparta. Lori just delivered the mail and told me that she may not be able to run her route tomorrow because she’s low on fuel and all of the gas stations in the county are out of gas. I thought USPS would have its own fueling point, but apparently not. I immediately called Barbara and let her know what was going on. Gas stations in New Jersey are still open, and the guy told her yesterday when she filled up that they didn’t expect to be impacted until late this week. She’s going to take the ferry across the bay, which will save her about four hours of driving. She thinks she can get home on the full tank. I told her to fill up at every opportunity on the way home, even if she’s down only a gallon or two and regardless of price, and that if she does run out of gas to call me and I’ll come get her. I have about 22 gallons in the Trooper, which should give me at least 350 miles of range with some reserve if I drive at optimum speed. That means that as long as she can make it to within 200 miles or so of home that I can go get her.

I thought when I originally read about the pipeline problem that things were probably worse than they were admitting, and it looks like I was right. USPS being unable to deliver could be life-threatening for folks who get critical medications by mail. I just hope the supply situation is remedied soon. Once Barbara gets home, we can hunker down and await developments, but a lot of people are going to be seriously inconvenienced by this. If it goes on a few more days, a lot of businesses will have problems because key people can’t get to work. I hope that transportation will be okay for now with what diesel stocks they have or can obtain, but I’d guess that in a week or ten days transportation might start winding down. Let’s hope the pipeline is fixed before that.

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Sunday, 18 September 2016

09:20 – I called Barbara first thing this morning to make sure she knew about the Colonial Pipeline break, that the governors of Alabama, Georgia, and Tennessee had declared states of emergency, and that South and North Carolina may not be far from doing so. According to Google, it’s 532.1 miles from Cape May, New Jersey to Sparta, North Carolina using the most direct I-81 route. That’s more than she can get on a tank of gasoline, even driving at the most efficient speed. I suggested she fill up her tank today. I didn’t suggest that she buy a 5-gallon gas can or two and fill them as well, although I probably should have. There’s no good estimate on how long it’ll take Colonial to get the pipeline running again, but they’re building a bypass so it’ll probably be at least 10 days or two weeks if they work around the clock on it. As it stands, the East Coast has lost something like 50 or 60 million gallons a day of gasoline, which is a significant portion of the supply to the East Coast from Georgia up to New York City. I checked my Trooper, which has 4.7 miles on the trip odometer since the last fill-up.

I decided to re-watch Jericho while Barbara’s away. I notice new stuff all the time. For example, I hadn’t realized until last night that there are mountains or at least foothills right outside Jericho, Kansas. Until now, I thought of Kansas as flat. If I didn’t know the series was set in Kansas, I’d almost think they’d shot that footage outside Los Angeles.

Colin and I ate dinner from long-term storage last night: peanut butter and jelly sandwiches. As still more evidence on the mythical nature of best-by dates, the jar of peanut butter I used had a best-by date in March of 2013, 3.5 years ago. It was opened 18 months ago, and has been sitting on the pantry shelf since then. The odor and taste are indistinguishable from a fresh jar just opened. I’ll keep what remains in this old jar for further testing months or years from now, but I think it’s safe to say that the real shelf life of a jar of Jif Creamy peanut butter is at least five years, and probably a lot longer. At about $1.50 per pound, it’s a good shelf-stable way to store both oils and proteins that supplement grain proteins. Oh, the Welch’s Grape Jelly I used had a best-by date about a year and a half ago, and has been sitting open in the refrigerator at least that long. It was fine as well.

Bombings in New Jersey and New York City, a musloid slasher at a Minnesota mall, a cop ambush and mass shooting in Philadelphia. No word on just what caused the pipeline break. Things may be ramping up for the election. Historically, Committees of Vigilance arise when the government can’t (or won’t) protect citizens. I hope that never happens in the US, but I’m afraid it might.





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Saturday, 17 September 2016

08:50 – Barbara left yesterday afternoon to spend several days visiting with friends in Cape May, New Jersey. Colin and I made two quarter-pound burgers for dinner. Usually, I have only one, but when Barbara’s gone Colin feels entitled to more human food, so I made enough to share with him. He’s always worried that with Barbara gone I’ll forget to feed him. Of course, now that we’re in Sparta, if he gets a bit peckish there’s always the herd of cattle in the field adjoining our back property line.

Because of my vertigo, Barbara always worries about leaving me alone for long periods. She’s afraid I’ll fall and can’t get up. To assuage that fear, which is not unreasonable, I carry my cell phone on me the whole time she’s gone. I also won’t shower while she’s gone, because the last place in the world I want to lose my balance is in the shower. Instead, I’ll just do sponge baths.

Interesting email overnight from a guy who’s looking for a hobby that would be a useful skill to have if the SHTF. He’s thinking about buying a high-end personal CNC milling machine and downloading templates for everything imaginable, up to and including AR-15 lowers. The problem is, he knows nothing at all about the subject and wanted to know what I recommend. I don’t have a recommendation, because I know nothing about it. But as I recall, MrAtoZ purchased just such a milling machine a year or two ago, so perhaps I can get him to write a guest article about the issues involved and his recommendations for consumables, etc. for someone who’s willing to spend at least two or three grand to get set up.


10:14 – Oh, good. I just got email from Jen. Her husband read my post this morning and said a CNC mill might be a good hobby for him. He’s into mechanical tinkering anyway, and hinted that his workshop has plenty of space remaining. So that’s at least two people who are thinking about it. MrAtoz?





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Friday, 16 September 2016

09:59 – Barbara is leaving today to drive up to Cape May, New Jersey to spend several days visiting with friends. It’ll be wild women and parties for Colin and me while she’s gone. Or it would be, if I knew any wild women. Unfortunately, Alleghany County and Sparta are really just a big Basket of Deplorables, and wild women are very rare in a BoD.

Another flurry of emails from Jen and Brittany, both of whom independently decided that, with the approach of colder weather, what they’re both shortest of is firewood. Both of them have trees and the means to fell them, but both decided just to order in a good supply of dry firewood. Like me, neither of them expects anything catastrophic to happen with the election but, also like me, both of them think there’s a small but real chance that something will happen. Better to be as prepared as possible against that.

The closer we get to the election, the worse things look for Clinton. A couple months ago, it looked like it’d be a slam-dunk for Clinton. A month ago, Clinton still had what appeared to be an insurmountable lead in the polls, but now things appear to be just about tied. The momentum definitely favors Trump, and that’s even without an October Surprise. And I think we Deplorables are underrepresented in most or all of the polls. I think a lot of mainstream Democrats and Independents are going to end up holding their noses and voting for Trump.

A white police officer in Columbus, Ohio shot and killed a black armed robbery suspect who pulled a gun on him. Based on the reports of the incident, there’s no doubt that it was a good shooting. After the fact, it was determined that the dead suspect, Tyree King, was 13 years old and that the gun he pulled on the cop was a very realistic-looking BB pistol. That cop had to assume that it was an actual Glock, and that he, his colleagues, and innocent bystanders were at risk of being shot. I have no sympathy for the dead suspect. Think of it as evolution in action. One has to be incredibly stupid to pull a gun on a cop, let alone a toy gun. No reports of rioting so far, but it wouldn’t surprise me if riots occur. I’d think that any reasonable person would conclude that this kid deserved to be shot, but BLMers are not reasonable people.

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Thursday, 15 September 2016

09:50 – There was some discussion yesterday about whether food in #10 cans is suitable for individuals and small families, or only large families or groups. The real answer is that it depends both on the types of food and on your budget.

Meats and other highly-perishable foods are best stored in smaller containers. Even a large family or a group may not consume an entire #10 can of meat in one meal or even one day. Yes, there are various workarounds, such as keeping a large container of pottage simmering for days or even weeks at a time, but it’s best to store meats in smaller cans that can be consumed in one meal. Most of the canned meats in our deep pantry are in 14- or 15-ounce cans, like Costco chicken. The largest cans of meat we stock are Keystone Meats 28-ounce cans.

But shelf life isn’t an issue for the stuff we store in #10 cans. A lot of that is long-term bulk staples from the LDS Home Storage Center: flour, rice, sugar, macaroni, spaghetti, non-fat dry milk, and so on. A lot of it is also stuff from Augason Farms: powdered eggs, butter, and cheese, TVP meat substitutes, Morning Moos milk substitute, and so on. All of these have rated shelf lives of several years sealed (and in reality much longer), but the important part is that their rated shelf lives after opening are typically one year or more. That means we’ll never need to use the contents of any of these #10 cans quickly because we’re concerned about spoilage.

The other issue is cost. A #10 can is expensive. LDS Home Storage Centers sell a limited selection of bulk staples in #10 cans and retort bags, and they sell basically at cost. But those #10 cans are still costly. For example, on our last Costco run, we bought 100 pounds of flour in 50-pound sacks. It cost $0.25/pound. The LDS HSC sells a 4-pound can of white flour for $3, or $0.75/pound, so the packaging cost is twice the cost of the food itself.

LDS also sells 7-mil foil-laminate Mylar one-gallon bags and oxygen absorbers for about $0.50 each in quantity 250. Each one-gallon bag holds about 6.67 pounds of flour, so repackaging 100 pounds of flour requires 15 of those bags, at a cost of about $7.50. One hundred pounds of flour in #10 cans from the LDS HSC costs $75, versus about $32.50 if you package your own. Your cost is $42.50 higher in the #10 cans. Or, another way of looking at it is that $100 buys you about 133 pounds of flour in #10 cans versus about 308 pounds of flour if you repackage it yourself.

In fact, if you’re really on a tight budget you can skip the bags and simply use free 2-liter soft drink bottles. Your $100 now buys you 400 pounds of flour, perhaps a bit less if you add a $0.10 oxygen absorber to each bottle.

Of course, repackaging it yourself requires time and effort and makes a mess, and neither the bags nor the bottles are rodent-proof like the #10 cans, but everything is always a trade-off. Don’t underestimate the convenience factor. It’s a lot faster and easier to buy the flour in #10 cans. They come in cases of six. All you need to do is drive to your nearest LDS HSC, pay for the stuff, and load it into your vehicle. Haul it home, unload it and transfer it to your pantry, and you’re finished. The time required is minimal, and for many people that’s more important than the higher cost.


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Wednesday, 14 September 2016

09:33 – We’re working on science kits today. We’re down to four of the full CK01A chemistry kits in inventory, so yesterday we made up 28 of the CK01A regulated chemical bags and 13 of the unregulated chemical bags, which in both cases was all we could make up because of limiting quantities on the two chemical bottles that we were short of. So we’ll build 13 more CK01A kits today, and then get to work on making up more of the chemical bottles we’re short of. After that, we’ll make up a good-size batch of forensic kits, followed by biology kits.

Large bulk orders are way down this year compared to prior years, when we had a fair number of orders for batches of 20 or 30 kits. Fortunately, small bulk orders are way up this year, with quite a few people ordering four, six, or eight kits at a time, presumably for use by home-school co-ops.

I just read an article in The Atlantic about large numbers of Democrats from Western Pennsylvania who are going to vote for Trump. These are folks who’ve been registered Democrat since they were old enough to vote. Their parents were also registered Democrat, as were their grandparents, and great grandparents. They’ve never voted for a Republican in their lives, but they’re jumping ship this time and voting for Trump (and for the Republican candidate for Senate). I think they’re realizing, even if they’re not consciously aware of it, that Trump is what would until very recently have been a Democrat. Clinton is what would until recently have been considered a fever-swamp Socialist or, more accurately, Fascist.

Even without all her crookedness and health issues, Hillary is not a candidate for mainstream America merely because of her politics. I think the momentum is shifting strongly in favor of Trump, and that’s likely to accelerate with the October Surprise when Assange releases her emails and other damaging data. Or perhaps Clinton will do the right thing and just drop dead.


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Tuesday, 13 September 2016

09:25 – We survived the Great Power Failure of 2016. I got up this morning as usual and took Colin out for his short morning constitutional. When I came back in the house, I noticed that the ceiling fan wasn’t spinning and when I flipped a light switch nothing happened. I tried calling Blue Ridge Electric Co-op but got only a fast busy, so it was apparently widespread. Fortunately, the power came back on about 0743.

Lori, our USPS carrier, is definitely a prepper. Yesterday morning, I asked if she’d had a good weekend. She’d spent two solid days canning, everything from beans and vegetables to spaghetti sauces to beef stew. She was also happy that her brother had brought her a whole bunch of 2-liter soft drink bottles, because she doesn’t buy 2-liter bottles. She intends to wash and dry them and then fill them with bulk staples.

She said she’s already in good shape on stored food, not even counting the 20 or so cattle that she keeps, but intends to keep going. I asked her about water. She doesn’t have any water stored, but she does have a spring on her property. Then she surprised me. She said that if things ever got really bad and we ran short of food that Barbara and I were welcome at her place. I thanked her and said that if we ever needed to take her up on that offer, it’d mean I’d committed an epic prepping fail.

Prepping is pretty common up here in the mountains, I guess because most of us are just a big Basket of Deplorables. Barbara and I noticed when we were looking at homes to buy that many of them had massive amounts of food stored. One place was particularly notable. It had a large basement room filled with closely-spaced shelving that contained probably 10 to 20 person-years worth of cased canned goods and bulk staples. Many of the other homes we looked at had similar stockpiles, if not quite that size.


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Monday, 12 September 2016

09:34 – Emails from Brittany and Jen. Both of them are Trump supporters, as I suspect most preppers are, and both are counting the days until the election, wondering what they’ve left undone.

I told them both pretty much the same thing. First, that I didn’t expect anything very bad to happen immediately following the election, particularly if Clinton wins. Second, that both of them are already reasonably well-prepared for any eventuality, and they’re entitled to rest on their laurels for a bit. They’re both prepared in terms of water, food, basic medical (more than basic, in Jen’s case), minimal power, and basic defense.

I suggested to both of them that they think about where their weaknesses are and take action to shore up those weaknesses. In Jen’s case, there really aren’t any glaring weaknesses. They’re well-supplied, and constantly adding more. Among them, they’re also well-covered in terms of skills, and they have backup to their backups in terms of equipment. Brittany’s family doesn’t have the budget that Jen’s does, but are nonetheless extremely well-prepared. Both families have the huge advantage of being located in small-town/rural areas, with lots of support from family and friends, and far from large cities. I suggested to both that it may be time to ramp down the purchasing a bit and focus instead on learning more skills, including cooking as much as possible from LTS foods to reduce their dependence on fresh/frozen foods.


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Sunday, 11 September 2016

11:11 – This 15th anniversary of islam’s attack on the US is a good day for all of us to keep our eyes open. Actually, I’d like to see September 11 declared a national holiday. National Shoot a Fucking muslim Day.

Back in the 19th century, when Americans suffered regular terrorist attacks by indians, there was a common saying: “The only good injun is a dead injun.” I’d like to see the modern analog become common, because really the only good muslim is a dead muslim.


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