Month: July 2015

Saturday, 11 July 2015

08:42 – After dinner last night, Barbara was back in her office checking email and reading web pages, including mine. I was surprised when she shouted that she wanted me to order her a printed copy of 100-day Pantry: 100 Quick and Easy Gourmet Meals. She assumed I’d gotten it for Kindle but wanted a hard copy to look over and try out some of the recipes. I shouted back that I’d get it for her. When she finished back in her office and arrived in the den, I handed her the printed copy and told her that I’d ordered it and Amazon had just delivered it via drone.

After she’d finished beating me about the head and shoulders with it, she said that she wanted to try some of the recipes in it to use our shelf-stable food storage stuff. Like Jen, I’m fortunate to be married to someone who’s on-board with my prepping activities. That’s still fairly unusual. Most preppers are married to someone who at best thinks they’re nuts and at worst is actively opposed to prepping in any form, some so much so that they actually discard stored food, water, and other preps when they come across them. Normalcy bias on steroids.

Barbara is off to run some errands and then do some yard work. The rest of the weekend, we’ll both be working on science kits.


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Friday, 10 July 2015

07:46 – For some reason, there’s been a flood of orders for forensic science kits. Our inventory of them is now -1, with (so far) one outstanding order for a kit that I don’t have available to ship. So today I’m building another batch of forensic kits.

Most of my time this week was devoted to working on science kit stuff, as will be true for the next month to six weeks, but here’s what I did to prep this week:

  • I spent a lot of time on relocation issues. We’re gradually getting all our ducks lined up. We’ll probably end up making at least a couple more trips up to look at homes, but it’s very possible we could find a suitable one on our next trip. If so, we’ll need to make the decision to make an offer versus keep looking. Actually, we may do both pending acceptance of our offer. Even though we plan to pay cash for the house, it’ll probably take 45 days or so from getting a house under contract to actually closing on it. I also need to find a good attorney up there, ideally one who can do the closing and also handle our business needs.
  • I read the first book in Glen Tate’s 299 Days series, The Preparation. Tate, like Bracken and Konkoly and unlike most other so-called authors in the PA genre, is a reasonably competent writer. Yeah, he needs an editor, as all of them do, and there are occasional howlers (repel down a cliff), but at least the first volume is readable. Tate is unabashedly conservative/libertarian, which drives the prog reviewers on Amazon to froth at the mouth. The real downside is that the price of these books is outrageous. There are ten in the series, and most of them are priced at $9.95 for the Kindle. I suspect a lot of people just torrent them.
  • I read 100-day Pantry: 100 Quick and Easy Gourmet Meals. “Gourmet” is a gross exaggeration. This book is a collection of recipes that use only shelf-stable foods–mostly canned soups, pasta, canned meats and vegetables, a basic set of spices, and so on–to assemble edible meals as quickly and easily as possible, with minimal actual cooking. If you’re not already experienced at cooking from scratch this is an excellent resource for using the stuff you’ve stored.

So, what precisely did you do to prepare this week? Tell me about it in the comments.


08:55 – Another email from Jen. When her husband got home from work yesterday, he told her about a conversation he’d had over lunch with a guy they shoot sporting clays with. It’s spreading. The other guy remarked that he and his wife were becoming very concerned about social unrest in the cities, and thought maybe it’d be a good idea to keep a bit of extra food and other supplies on hand. Jen’s husband said that he and Jen were also worried, and suggested that the other guy not put it off, but make a Costco run or two to get stocked up on canned foods and other supplies. He also invited the guy and his wife over to their place for a cookout next weekend, where he plans to feel them out to see how serious they are about prepping.

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Thursday, 9 July 2015

07:51 – I laughed this morning when I read a page two article with the headline Tom Selleck accused of stealing water for California ranch. Until I read the article, I assumed that he was accused of taking more than his allotted share from a stream or river. No, as it turns out. Apparently, he has an avocado farm and is accused of pulling a tanker truck up to a fire hydrant, filling the truck, and driving off. Not just once, but regularly over the past two years. I’m guessing he may be forced to resign in disgrace as the police commissioner of New York City.

When the alarm went off as usual at 0645 this morning, I realized that that won’t be happening for much longer. Barbara’s last day at work is 30 September, and after that we’ll have no need for an alarm clock. It’ll be nice to sleep until we wake up naturally. Of course, Colin counts as part of “naturally”. Like all of our Border Collies, he decides when we’ve slept enough. I call them Border Roosters.

More kits to ship today, and I need to build a new batch of forensic science kits, which means I need to put together subassemblies today.


12:58 – Email from Jen. She’d mentioned before that she and her brother both wanted to devote additional resources to prepping, but both of their spouses were comfortable with what they’d already done. Jen’s husband said last evening that the more he read news articles, the more concerned he was getting about where things are heading. He asked her if she thought it’d be a good idea to spend some of the cash in their bank account on more tangible items, particularly firearms and ammunition and more particularly on tactical rifles for everyone. I replied that of course I thought that was a good idea, because hard assets are better than electronic assets in a bank account. It’s not like the price of guns and ammo is going down anytime soon. I recommend entry-level tactical rifles like the Ruger AR-556, along with a dozen spare OEM magazines and 1,000+ rounds for each. What do you folks think?

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Wednesday, 8 July 2015

08:20 – I built a batch of chemistry kits yesterday. Today I’ll build more chemistry kits and then get started on forensic science kits. The rest of the week, I’ll be making up solutions, filling bottles, and building subassemblies.

I’m not going to bother following the Greece situation any more. Greece is toast no matter what transpires, Tsipras is finished, and ordinary Greeks are screwed for the indefinite future. Decades, anyway. But the EU is also screwed no matter what happens. If the Brits have any sense, they’ll distance themselves as much as possible from the EU fuster-cluck.

Meanwhile, the Chinese equities crash looms. Unlike Greece, China isn’t a piss-ant little country that no one cares about. China matters. The Chinese stock market is in the midst of a 1929-class crash, and is dragging Australia down with it. It’s a scary world out there. The only refuges are the US and Canada, which is scary in itself.


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Tuesday, 7 July 2015

07:43 – I built a batch of biology kits yesterday. Today I’ll build a batch of chemistry kits and then get started on a batch of forensic science kits.

Barbara’s last day at work is September 30th, which takes some of the pressure off me. Knowing that we’ll be living in Winston-Salem until at least then means we’ll be through the rush period before we move. I’ll still need to have finished kits in both places and the means to ship them from either place, but at least we’ll be down to shipping a couple kits a day by the time we move rather than shipping anything up to 30 a day during the rush period.


09:35 – Watching the Greece farce has me wondering. At this point, it’s quite possible that Greece will crash out of the euro and end up leaving the European Union. If that happens, I think it’s quite likely that the EU will just let them leave with nothing more than strong verbal protests about the inseparability of the EU. Chances must be so near zero as not to matter that the EU will invade Greece with armed forces to forcibly keep Greece as a member of the EU.

And that’s not because the EU would be secretly relieved to see Greece depart. It’s because civilized countries no longer use armed force against their political sub-divisions to enforce compliance. Imagine the world-wide outrage if German panzers once again rolled into Greece. Even ordinary Germans would be outraged at what their political masters had done.

Small-l libertarianism is on the rise, particularly among younger people, but also in general. That’s why we see increased support across the board for things like same-sex marriage, repealing fireworks laws, legalizing marijuana, and so on. A majority of people now generally believe that other people should be free to do what they want, without government interference.

So, what happens if some US states, parts of states, or regions decide to secede? Perhaps only one or two at first, like Texas, conservative parts of Colorado along with Wyoming, New Hampshire, Vermont, South Carolina, and so on? Would the federal government send in armored divisions to stop the secession? If they did, would those US soldiers even obey those orders, let alone fire on other Americans? I don’t believe they would, or at least very few of them would. Despite the best efforts of the federal government, the US military is still largely made up of men and women who are loyal to America rather than to the federal government. Our military is not the SS, and never will be.

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Monday, 6 July 2015

07:56 – Imagine you’re not only dead broke, but owe the bank $500,000 on a previous loan that you’ve refused to make payments on. So you walk into the same bank, sit down with a loan officer, and tell him that you’d like him to lend you $100,000 more, but you won’t agree to the bank’s terms for that loan and you have no intention of ever repaying it. That’s pretty much the position Greece is in now vis-a-vis its lenders, except that the numbers for Greece are a million times larger. And all this time I’ve thought chutzpah was a Yiddish word.

Barbara’s back to work today. I’m shipping orders and building kits. I have orders for chemistry and forensics kits to ship today. Those are in stock. But I also have an order for a biology kit, and zero of those in stock. So my priorities are to ship the orders I have in stock and then to build another batch of biology kits.


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Sunday, 5 July 2015

08:19 – Poor Colin had a bad time of it yesterday evening. Barbara was out with friends for dinner and to watch fireworks, so it was just me to protect Colin from the noise. We shared roast beast sandwiches for dinner, and then Colin curled up next to me on the sofa while we watched Heartland re-runs with the sound turned up loud to drown out the noise of the fireworks. When a particularly loud one went off, he’d crawl up in my lap and snout me to beg me to make it stop.

Barbara and I worked all day Friday and yesterday filling chemical bottles and making up chemical bags for science kits. More of the same today, along with doing final assembly on new batches of kits. And again during all our free time until about mid-September.


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Saturday, 4 July 2015

Happy Birthday USA!

More work on science kits today.


12:35 – The only prepping I did this week was relocation-related stuff. Oh, that and I bought 35 pounds (4.5 gallons) of soybean oil at Sam’s Club yesterday.

Last night, Barbara cooked dinner purely from food storage. A pound of pasta ($0.90), a 14.5-ounce can of Keystone canned chicken ($4.44), and a 15-ounce jar of Bertolli Mushroom Alfredo sauce ($2.12). It made enough for two meals for us, so she froze the excess. It would easily feed four people, for just over $7 total.

In any emergency that lasts longer than a few days, pasta meals and skillet meals will be important. Pasta can be cooked fuel-efficiently simply by transferring the dry pasta to a pre-heated Thermos bottle, adding boiling water, and allowing the pasta to cook in that hot water. And whipping up a skillet sauce is pretty simple, particularly if you have shelf-stable commercially-packaged sauces or flavoring packets on hand. We keep enough of those on hand to produce several skillet meals a week for the two of us plus a couple of guests to last at least one year, and I’d suggest you do the same.

Incidentally, Barbara gave her seal of approval to both the Keystone canned chicken and the Bertolli Mushroom Alfredo sauce. That’s significant, because she has pretty strong food preferences, while I’m not very picky.

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Friday, 3 July 2015

08:34 – Greece is in the toilet. Greek banks cumulatively are down to less than €500 million cash, or about €40 per person. With the daily €50 withdrawal limit, that means the banks will run completely out of cash this weekend. Ambulances aren’t running because more and more of them have run out of gasoline and can’t get more. Not that that really matters, because hospitals have run out of many critical drugs and can’t get more. Foreign tourists have been warned that food and drugs are so short that there’s no guarantee they’ll be able to eat or get urgent medical care. Famously, one Greek newlywed couple in New York is living on the street and begging for food because their credit cards are no longer honored.

It would appear that the goal of the eurocrats is to drive Tsipras from office and force the Greeks to knuckle under, after which a trickle of aid will resume, just enough to keep Greeks from starving. One way or another, Greece is finished, a failed state.

Unless Greece tells the EU to get stuffed, defaults on its existing debt pile, and abandons the euro for a native currency. That’s their best option at this point. The new drachma would be introduced at parity with the euro, and would quickly loose most of its nominal value. Greeks would face at least another decade of grinding poverty, much worse than they’ve already experienced. But the alternative of giving in to the EU and continuing with the euro is worse still.

We’re working all weekend on kit stuff. I was hoping to find a Confederate flag to fly out front tomorrow, but there are none for sale anywhere.


10:29 – We’re back from a quick Sam’s Club run, where we picked up Coke, orange juice, and not much else, other than 35 pounds of soybean oil. Now, to work on kits.

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Thursday, 2 July 2015

08:06 – I’m surprised it took this long. Yesterday, a Montana man, citing the recent SCOTUS decision on same-sex marriage, applied for a marriage license to allow him to marry a second woman. If Montana officials have any sense, they’ll grant it.

The real problem is that everyone has been arguing around the real issue, which has nothing to do with same-sex marriage, plural marriage, group marriage, and so on. The question that should have been before SCOTUS was whether the government has any right to be involved in marriage in any way. My position, of course, is that it’s none of the government’s business. Marriage should be a purely personal arrangement between private persons. The government should be forbidden to be involved in marriage or to consider marital status in any way, particularly with regard to taxation.

By making marriage a purely personal matter, as it should be, we eliminate the problem. Churches cannot be forced to marry a gay couple, nor can gay-owned bakeries be penalized for refusing to bake wedding cakes for heterosexual couples. The IRS could no longer discriminate against married people because everyone would be taxed as an individual. Get government completely out of marriage, and the problems go away.

Barbara has tomorrow off work for the holiday, and we plan to spend most of the long weekend doing science kit stuff. Inventory of finished kits is low, and we need to start building it up for the rush that starts later this month.


16:02 – I just shipped a science kit to Canada, which was apparently the first one I’d shipped there since sometime in May. On 31 May, USPS changed prices for Priority Mail International, but only for Canada. All other countries remain the same: the only factors that determine price are the weight of the package and which country it’s being shipped to.

But USPS now has zoned rates to Canada, taking distance into account. Not zones in Canada, mind you. For a given weight, the price is the same to anywhere in Canada. Instead, the shipping price varies according to where the shipper is located in the US. There are now eight US zones,from 1.1 to 1.8. If you’re in a low zone, 1.1 or 1.2, the shipping price may actually be less than it was before the price change. If you’re in a high zone, it goes up dramatically. For example, a shipper in zone 1.8 (e.g., Honolulu) will pay something like $30 additional to ship a 5-pound package. For what we ship–6+ to 8+ pound packages–our break-even probably would have been Zone 1.2. Unfortunately, Winston-Salem is in Zone 1.4, which means our shipping costs to Canada for a typical package have increased by almost 30%.

The shipping surcharge covers more than just the additional shipping cost. Our actual costs also include higher credit-card charges on international shipments, additional packing materials, and the extra half hour or so it takes to re-package and ship to an international customer. We’ve been charging a $44 shipping surcharge on Canadian shipments for three or four years now, which means we absorbed two or three increases in postage costs by leaving the surcharge the same. Until recently, we were paying $36.43 in actual postage, which left only $7.57 to cover those other costs. The kit I shipped today went at the 6+ pound rate (< 7 pounds) and cost $44.11 in actual postage, leaving us -$0.11 to cover the additional costs.

So I just increased the shipping surcharge for Canadian shipments to $60, which is actually a couple bucks more than our actual cost. But I figure it’ll probably be another three years before I get around to updating it, so this way we won’t end up taking a loss when postage prices go up again next year.

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