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Week
of 12 February 2001
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Monday,
12 February 2001
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Well, for once the weather forecasters were right, more or
less. We woke up this morning to snow on the ground, although it didn't
get cold enough for the snow to stick to the streets, driveways, and other
paved areas. It's about 32F (0C) as I write this, and likely to warm up as
the day goes on, so our "winter storm emergency" looks likely to
pass without causing many problems. Even the local schools, which
ordinarily cancel classes when snow is even predicted, are operating on a
two hour delay. So much for the great winter storm of 2001.
Chris and Wendy
Ward-Johnson (AKA Dr. Keyboard and Mrs. Keyboard) are back from vacation
and have their web sites back up again. They were forced to take the sites
down while they were away because Wendy was receiving telephone death
threats from a deranged woman who was convinced that Wendy had stolen her
husband. All that seems to be resolved now, thank goodness. Wendy called
Barbara last weekend. At first, Barbara mistook Wendy for our friend
Alison Smith who, like Wendy, is from Northern England. That was the first
time Barbara and I had actually spoken with Chris and Wendy. For some
reason their British accents came as a surprise, I guess because their
accents are much less apparent in their emails to me.
My agent and O'Reilly are still in the process of getting the contract
finalized for the next edition of PC/Nutshell, but that doesn't mean I'm
not working on it already. I don't have much choice. There's so much work
involved that we'll be lucky to have the next edition out this calendar
year as it is. And of course I have many other irons in the fire. Some of
which I'd better get back to working on.
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Tuesday,
13 February 2001
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Most of the snow is gone, melted away by the intermittent
cold drizzle that fell most of yesterday. Highs are to be in the mid-40s
(~7C) today, with the 70s returning by the weekend. The dogs enjoyed the
snow, although Malcolm's pleasure was tempered by his having to be on a
leash. As Barbara says, it'll be a while before we trust Malcolm off-leash
again.
It all started Sunday when we had all three dogs off-leash out in the
front yard. We were playing toss the tennis ball. That's the game where I
throw the tennis ball as far as I can, the dogs chase it, and then come
back without the tennis ball. They then watch me while I walk over to
retrieve the tennis ball and throw it for them again. I get lots of
exercise, and they enjoy watching me fetch. If the pleasure of that pales,
they'll get the ball, carry it to the nearest driveway, and drop it,
watching it roll down into the backyard and waiting for me to retrieve it
from there.
At any rate, as we were playing ball with the guys, the teenage punk
who lives diagonally across the street brought their dog out on leash and
started walking it down the street. All three of our dogs ran over to see
that dog, who visits our yard frequently. They are particularly enamored
of this bitch because she is not neutered and her owners, incredibly, have
always allowed her to roam free while she is in heat, with predictable
results. We managed to get Kerry and Duncan under control and back into
the house, but Malcolm was frolicking along beside the bitch as her owner
walked her down the street. We didn't bother to call out to him to ask him
to stand still for a moment because we knew it'd be pointless. As Barbara
said, he probably decided to walk his dog only after he noticed we were
playing with ours loose in our front yard.
So off Malcolm went with me in slow pursuit. I didn't bother running
after him, first because I avoid running at all costs, but second because
he'd just have run away from me and there's no hope of me catching a
Border Collie who doesn't want to be caught. I kept trying to lure Malcolm
with a treat, which usually works. This time, though, he'd let me get
within a few feet of him and then he'd take off and run a few yards
farther away from me. We soon passed the punk and his dog, and the
catch-me-if-you-can continued for several more blocks. I finally abandoned
the pursuit and returned to the house, meeting Barbara in the street about
half way home. I told her we needed to get rid of Malcolm. If there's one
thing I can't abide, it's a disobedient dog, and particularly one that
makes the dog equivalent of "nyah, nyah" sounds each time he
trots away from me.
We returned home and, with memories of Duncan as a pup fresh in my
mind, I got out my 4X4 and drove off in search of Malcolm. I cruised
around the neighborhood checking out the likely spots, and finally found
Malcolm only half a block from home, frolicking along with some people who
were out for a walk with their children, who were riding bikes. One thing
I will say for Malcolm is that he sticks close to home. When Duncan was
Malcolm's age and got loose, he'd disappear over the horizon. But, just as
had always been the case with Duncan, the chance to go for a ride was too
tempting for Malcolm to pass up. I opened the back door of my truck, he
jumped in, and we drove home. He knew he was in trouble, but he had a big
pup grin on his face regardless. I didn't have the heart to yell at him,
but it'll be a long while before we let him off-leash again.
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Wednesday,
14 February 2001
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As usual, Tom's Hardware misses
the point. The article, entitled "Tuning instead of disposing:
PCs with Socket 5" starts with the bizarre assumption that a
years-old Socket 5 Pentium/75 system is worth upgrading. Dr. Pabst ends up
spending $230 on an AMD processor, a PowerLeap Socket 5 to Socket 7
adapter, and a 32 MB EDO SIMM. Apparently, Tom is unfamiliar with the
phrase "throwing good money after bad". What he ends up with is
a system that is only marginally faster than the original Pentium/75,
which is to say pathetically slow.
What could he have done better with the same money? How about
discarding the old motherboard, processor and memory? He could buy an
decent quality inexpensive modern Socket 370 AT form factor motherboard
(say a Giga-Byte GA-6VA7+) for perhaps $85. A Celeron to fit it for
another $85. And a 128 MB PC133 SDRAM DIMM with the $60 he had left. What
he'd end up with would be (with the exception of the video, disk drives
and other peripherals) the core of a modern PC, with speed nearly
indistinguishable from a new mainstream system. It would also have stuff
like USB ports and a modern BIOS.
I've seen plenty of moronic upgrades like this made by people who
didn't know any better, but to have someone like Tom Pabst actually put
such a project on his web site flabbergasts me.
I've been harping for years now about the deficiencies of advertising
as a revenue model for web sites, and I've been happy to see more and more
confirmations that what I've said all along is indeed true. The latest of
those is the Letter
from the Editor this week on Byte.com. Reading between the lines, it's
pretty obvious that even Byte.com is struggling to make ends meet on
advertising revenue alone. A lot of people are now saying that we're
seeing the shakeout in ad-supported web sites. They're wrong. What we're
seeing right now is just the cracks beginning to appear on the face of the
dam. I expect that within the next six months to a year, we'll see a
complete collapse in ad-supported web sites, to the extent that not one in
ten will survive and even those that do will be struggling to meet
payrolls.
I don't expect Byte.com to be one of the survivors, either. Byte.com is
a pale shadow of what Byte Magazine once was. The main thing Byte.com has
going for it right now--some would say the only thing--is Jerry
Pournelle's Chaos Manor column. That column was the main draw of the paper
Byte, and remains the main draw of the electronic version. But Pournelle,
as important as he was and is to the success of Byte, cannot carry Byte by
himself. What's missing from Byte.com is the depth of coverage that
typified the printed version and the incisive commentary on a broad range
of technologies.
Pournelle has frequently written about the differences between writing
for Byte.com now versus writing for Byte Magazine back when it flourished
as a paper publication. Then, he had a support staff--technical editors,
people to do research and fact checking for him, people to deal with
manufacturers, and so on. Now, he has me and a few other friends who do a
quick "sanity check" on his column before he submits it. The
miracle is that Pournelle continues to turn out good, interesting columns
while operating under that handicap.
In combat units, the military tries to optimize teeth-to-tail ratio.
When that ratio shifts too much toward tail--logistics and other support
functions--one ends up with a well-supported unit that has limited combat
power because it simply has too few teeth. So the temptation is always to
maximize teeth by handing rifles to the cooks and company clerks and
putting them in the line. But that doesn't work well, either, because
although such a unit has immense firepower in the short term, it has no
stamina. If a combat unit is to continue functioning for the long run,
soldiers must be fed and their injuries treated. Ammunition, fuel, and
other consumables must be resupplied, and so on. All of those are services
provided by the tail. The old saying is that amateurs worry about tactics
and professionals worry about logistics, which is just another way of
saying that ultimately tail is just as important as teeth.
And Byte.com as it is constituted now is essentially all teeth and no
tail. That was really their only option given the current climate. With
the limited funds available from advertising, Byte.com had no choice but
to concentrate those funds on teeth--Pournelle's column and other content.
Without that, there's no reason for readers to visit the Byte.com site.
But this teeth-centric approach has the same drawbacks here that it does
in military operations. Nothing backing up the guys in the front line. And
without that backup, Byte has no option but to continue producing only a
superficial facsimile of the product it produced in its glory days.
But buying tail takes money, and advertising revenue simply won't
suffice. I doubt that it would have been sufficient even in the days when
advertisers were throwing boatloads of money at banner ads, and in the
current Spartan web advertising climate there's simply no way that ad
revenue can sustain an ongoing operation at the level Byte.com needs to
survive, let alone to thrive. In the absence of a micro-money
infrastructure, I suspect that Byte.com will have no alternative but to
begin charging readers a subscription to access its content. Whether or
not they can make a go of that is the question. I suspect they can't, but
I'd love to be proven wrong.
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Thursday,
15 February 2001
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I just ran across an obnoxious business practice yesterday
that I'd never heard of before, although I'm sure many of my readers are
familiar with it. It's called Minimum Advertised Price (MAP), and it's
basically just what it says. A manufacturer decides what is the lowest
price it will allow its authorized dealers to advertise for a product and
any dealer who violates that policy by advertising a lower price is
punished.
The dealer is allowed to sell the product for less than MAP,
mind you, they're just not allowed to advertise it for less than
MAP. If they do, the manufacturer doesn't pay them co-op advertising
money, and co-op ad reimbursements can make up a significant part of the
total bottom line for many resellers. In other words, having co-op funds
withheld can mean the difference between turning a profit and showing a
loss. Obviously, the threat of withholding co-op funds is a huge club that
manufacturers hold over the heads of their resellers.
And note that MAP doesn't only apply to advertising that is paid in
part by co-op funds. It applies to all advertising done by a reseller,
including advertising paid for entirely by the reseller. MAP is also in
effect for prices shown on a retailer's web site, although some
manufacturers are "generous" enough to allow reseller web sites
that require an individual username/password for access to show the actual
selling prices.
The manufacturers are treading a fine line here with the FTC. The
courts ruled many years ago that manufacturers weren't allowed to set
minimum selling prices for their products, so manufacturers now use this
nasty little circumvention. In theory, that skirts the law, because
resellers are still free to charge whatever they wish for the product. In
practice, MAP programs act in restraint of trade and to the detriment of
consumers because consumers cannot easily find the actual selling price of
a product, let alone compare actual selling prices among various
resellers.
This all started when I was thinking about what accessories I wanted to
buy for our new telescope. I definitely want a Barlow lens. Barlow lenses
come in various powers--1.5X, 2X, 2.5X, 5X, etc.--which modify the
characteristics of oculars (eyepieces). So rather than buying many
oculars, one can buy half as many oculars and one Barlow lens, which can
be used with any of the oculars, in effect doubling the number of
eyepieces (and therefore magnifications) available.
When I was involved in astronomy 30+ years ago, Barlow lenses had a
horrible reputation because they were not very good optically. That's no
longer the case. It's possible now to buy multi-element, apochromatic,
fully multicoated Barlows that not only do not degrade the optical
performance of decent oculars, but in fact can improve it in many
respects. But, as with most things, there are cheap/poor Barlows and
expensive/good Barlows available. Buying a $25 Barlow would be a mistake,
so I'd about decided to buy a high-end Barlow. By all accounts, the Tele
Vue Powermate is one of the best Barlows available, and I decided that one
of the 2.5X Powermate units was the way to go.
So I went off in search of places that carried the Tele Vue Powermate
2.5X unit. I found a lot of places that carry them, but I was puzzled to
find that every reseller I found was advertising the price for that unit
as $168. Those resellers ranged from the premium places that I'd expect to
charge higher prices to the New York camera stores, which I'd expect to be
selling the product at rock-bottom prices. But every damned one of them
was selling that Powermate for $168.
It wasn't until I found a mention of MAP on the Astronomics
web page (a premium reseller) that I figured out what was going on.
Obviously, the MAP for the 2.5X Powermate is $168. Just as obviously, any
number of resellers would be willing to sell it to me for less, probably
much less, but finding out which ones would do so and how much they'd
charge is impossible, thanks to Tele Vue's MAP policy.
So, what to do? Well, any manufacturer that takes such a
consumer-hostile approach to doing business deserves to fail, so I'll do
what I can to help drive Tele Vue into bankruptcy by publicizing their
obnoxious policy and by refusing to buy any of their products. That means
they lose the sale of that Powermate to me, as well as the likely sale of
several of their (very expensive) oculars and at some point possibly one
of their (extremely expensive) refractors.
That's a drop in the bucket, certainly. By losing me as a customer,
they've probably only lost a few hundred dollars off their bottom line.
After all, my failing to buy a $300 ocular from them costs them maybe $100
in profit max. Even if I might have eventually bought five or six oculars
from them, we're still talking only a few hundred dollars in lost profits.
But one does what one can, and the only other thing I can do is encourage
people who read this to avoid buying Tele Vue products as well.
And, incidentally, I found while I was searching the web for
"Minimum Advertised Price" that Apple is another offender. Yet
another good reason not to buy an Apple computer, as though any more
reasons were needed. Interestingly, Best Buy ignores MAP for Apple
products, which leads me to believe that Best Buy gets co-op funds from
Apple regardless. After all, Apple has a hard enough time keeping
resellers, so if Apple tried to enforce MAP on Best Buy but Best Buy
simply told Apple to go micturate up a rope, what is Apple going to do?
Here's yet another reason
to avoid Windows XP (and Windows Me). Microsoft appears to be in bed
with the record companies, which is no surprise. I have no use for an
operating system that tells my sound card which sound files it can play
and which it can't. The nerve of us users. Thinking we should be able to
play an "unsecured" sound file on a computer that we've bought
and paid for.
The answer here, folks, is "Just Say No". Just Say No to
Whistler/XP. Just Say No to Office 10/XP. Keep using what you have now and
simply don't upgrade. If you buy a system that comes with Windows Me or
Windows XP and you decide to format the drive and install Windows 98SE or
Windows 2000, I won't tell anyone. When I read about what Microsoft is
doing with their new and forthcoming products, I keep thinking of how I
recapture Malcolm when he makes a break for it. I lure him over with a
puppy treat and then get him on leash while he's distracted by the treat.
Well, the new features in XP are the puppy treat, and I'll be damned if
I'll let Microsoft get their leash on me.
The simple fact is that Windows NT 4 and Windows 2000 are Good Enough.
So is Office 2000, and IE 5.01. I don't need anything more to get my work
done, and you almost certainly don't either. So I'm sticking with Windows
NT 4, Windows 98SE, Windows 2000, Office 2000, and IE 5.01. They're the
last Microsoft products I'll ever use, other than on test-bed systems to
support my book writing. But Microsoft isn't going to lure me into acting
against my own best interests by waving some candy in my face.
I'll continue to use these older Microsoft products until Linux on the
desktop is a workable alternative for me. That may take a year. Fine. That
may take two years. Fine. That may take three years. Fine. Whatever it
takes, I can live with it. But after my next upgrade to my production
systems, they won't be running Microsoft software.
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Friday,
16 February 2001
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Here's a very important article from The Register. It's
entitled Welcome
to .NET - how MS plans to dominate digital music sales. Although, as
the title indicates, the article focuses on music, in reality the types of
mechanisms they're talking about will ultimately apply to all forms of
digital content. The operating system will determine what you can do with
your data. It's similar conceptually to the copy-protected hard drives
we've talked about recently, but implemented in the operating system
rather than in hardware. Something must be done to stop this unholy
alliance of Microsoft, the music industry, and the movie industry or
before long we'll need their permission to use the bathroom.
The answer, as I keep saying, is Just Say No. Don't upgrade to a more
recent version of any Microsoft product than you're already running. Ever.
Win98SE is the latest version of Windows 9X that's "safe" and
Windows 2000 is the latest version of NT that's safe (and I have my doubts
about it). Don't upgrade to the latest versions of IE, Windows Media
Player, or Office. Be very cautious about applying service packs, and
always keep the old stuff available so you can back out if you need to.
Don't upgrade, period. Downgrade if you need to.
If some particular software won't run under the earlier version of the
OS, or requires a later version of IE, or whatever, that's probably a good
sign that you don't want to use that software anyway. If a new hardware
product requires a later version of the OS, don't buy that hardware
product unless and until the maker provides drivers for the earlier
version of the OS. If some form of digital content requires that you use a
later version of the OS, or restricts your Fair Use rights, don't buy that
content.
I won't even buy DVD-Video discs, mostly because I have no interest in
watching any of the crap that's published on them, but also because I've
opted out of the protection mechanism they use. I won't buy any form of
protected audio disc, either. If it's not available in unprotected
form, I don't need it. Current CD-DA (audio) discs are fine, as are most
DVD-ROM data discs.
Fortunately for all of us, Linux is an increasingly viable alternative,
and one I intend to use and support. I've had it with Microsoft.
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Saturday,
17 February 2001
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After several days of rain and cloudy skies, the weather
has cleared up today, just in time for the public viewing session being
put on tonight by the Forsyth
Astronomical Society. Of course, with the clearing has also come
falling temperatures. Our temperatures lately have been as high as the
mid-70s (~24C), but tonight is supposed to be in the mid-20s (-5C).
Standard advice to would-be astronomers is to dress for temperatures 20 to
30 degrees lower than forecast, not because the weatherman might be wrong,
but because sitting outside under dark skies whose temperature approaches
absolute zero simply sucks heat out of you.
They're actually starting the event this afternoon, when people who've
just bought a telescope can bring it along to get help in setting it up,
collimating it, and so on. We don't have our new telescope yet, so we'll
give that part of the session a pass, not that I expect to have any
trouble setting up and collimating our scope. After dusk, they'll start
showing newbies the impressive sights--Luna, planets, and so on. Barbara
and I are attending mainly to meet the people involved. Malcolm wants to
go along, too, but that's not going to happen. All we need is Malcolm
roaring around in the dark, knocking over telescopes and herding any
children present into a tight little cluster.
Then, next Wednesday, the FAS monthly meeting occurs. It's held at the
Nature Science Center, which isn't far from us, so we'll probably go out
for our usual library visit and dinner out, followed by the meeting. (Note
to would-be burglars: we leave all three dogs at home, and I give my
mother a riot gun and an assault rifle with six spare 30-round magazines.
You really don't want to visit our home while we're gone.) The FAS has
something like 40 to 50 active members, so we're looking forward to
meeting some potential new friends there.
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Sunday,
18 February 2001
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I've mentioned in the past that Malcolm has a thing about brushes. He
steals them and chews off the handles. Doesn't matter what kind of
brush--paintbrush, hairbrush, kitchen brush. As long as it's fuzzy on one
end and has a plastic or wooden handle on the other, Malcolm steals it and
chews off the handle. Below is a selection of our brushes after Malcolm
has gotten to them. And these are ones with only minor damage. Some of
them, he's started at the handle end and chewed all the way up to the
bristles.
Well, when I say that Malcolm steals and eats any brush, that's not
literally true. He only steals and eats brushes that belong to us. He
leaves the dog grooming brushes pristine, as shown below.
This cannot be a coincidence.
We had a good time at the Forsyth Astronomy Society public viewing last
night. We left home about 5:15 p.m. to drive up to Pilot Mountain, which
is about 20 miles north of here. Sunset was at about 6:00 p.m. by which
time we were settled in. Pilot Mountain, for those of you who have ever
seen The Andy Griffith Show, is what they called Mount Pilot. It's the
closest location with reasonably dark skies, but light pollution is making
serious inroads even there.
Barbara took this picture of me standing next to a 16" (41 cm)
f/4.5 Dobsonian telescope, which is owned by Steve Wilson, the current
president of FAS. To give you an idea of scale, I'm about 6'4" (193
cm) tall. By standing on tippy-toes, I can just barely reach the eyepiece
when the scope is near zenith, but anyone shorter than me needs the
stepladder visible at front right.
Although the skies were clear, the temperature dropped below freezing.
Probably quite a bit below, because it was in the middle 20's (-5C) at
home, and we were at least a couple thousand feet (500 m) up the mountain.
There was a fairly stiff breeze most of the time, which probably dropped
the wind chill to below 0 (-18C). Everyone was bundled up in layered
clothes (I added some sweat pants after this photo was taken) and waddling
around like penguins. Except one guy whom I spotted wandering around in
short sleeves. And I thought I was a Northern Boy.
Barbara was thrilled at the views through the 16" scope. To be
honest, I was afraid she'd be disappointed by the tiny monochrome views
even a large amateur scope provides on any object outside the solar
system. A lot of the visitors were probably expecting to see Hubble-like
views of huge objects in glowing color, but that's simply not possible.
What makes up for it all, though, is that one is actually looking at the
object instead of looking at a picture of it.
Barbara got to see quite a few objects, including Venus, Saturn, and
Jupiter. Her favorite, of course, was Saturn. For some reason, most women
prefer Saturn to Jupiter, and most men prefer Jupiter to Saturn. I think
that pop-fiction book of a few years back was misnamed. Women are from
Saturn and Men are from Jupiter. Barbara also got to see several deep
space objects, including the Orion Nebula. Overall, she was extremely
pleased with the experience.
The 16" scope outguns the 10" f/5 Dobsonian we bought by
about 2.5:1 in light-gathering ability, or about one full magnitude.
Still, a 10" scope is big enough to do some serious work, and it's
small enough to be easily transported and set up. In fact, we'll probably
keep it in the garage on some sort of wheeled platform so that we can
simply roll it out to cool down when a good night's viewing appears to be
in prospect. And, on cold nights like last night, it'll be nice to have
the house to retreat to to warm up periodically. The only real downside of
back yard viewing is going to be light pollution, but we'll see how that
goes. It probably won't be too bad near zenith, which the trees in our
back yard will restrict us to anyway. Our scope should be arriving in a
week or so.
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